Friday, June 19, 2009
The Contrarian Has Been Discontinued
By OI Staff |
The Contrarian section of the website has been discontinued. Older articles will remain available but new content will be provided as part of the nightly market wraps.
Thursday, June 18, 2009
The Contrarian
The overall bias is NEGATIVE
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall bias is NEGATIVE with all three indicators on negative signals. It is rare to have all three indicators pointing in the same direction. Usually we are neutrally positioned with a bullish or bearish skew.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
The Contrarian
The overall bias is NEUTRAL
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall bias is NEUTRAL with one positive, one negative and one neutral. If the VIX indicator shifts to a NEGATIVE tomorrow, then the overall indicator will become SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE.
Saturday, May 16, 2009
The Contrarian
The overall bias is NEUTRAL
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall bias is NEUTRAL with one positive, one negative and one neutral.
Wednesday, May 11, 2009
The Contrarian
Buyer Beware
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall bias is Positive but not fully Positive due to the Neutral indication from the Put/Call indicator.
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
The Contrarian
Cautiosly Negative Bias
By Robert Ogilvie |
The Overall signal stays Negative but not a fully established bias due to one Neutral component
Monday, April 27, 2009
The Contrarian
The Contrarian
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall signal is one indicator away from suggesting a full Negative bias.
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
The Contrarian
Volatility is Compressing ahead of Uptick Rule
By Robert Ogilvie |
There is an overall Neutral bias that is slightly leaned to the upside
Wednesday, April 1, 2009
The Contrarian
Understanding the Contrarain Within
By Robert Ogilvie |
This article spends a little more time explaining the methodology.
Wednesday, March 25, 2009
The Contrarian
Revised Article with VIX chart
By Robert Ogilvie |
Some of the signals may be changing course which could provide
Monday, March 23, 2009
The Contrarian
Sentiment Update
By Robert Ogilvie |
Here is a summary update of the contrarian indicators
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
The Contrarian
A Load the Boat Signal may be Near
By Robert Ogilvie |
With all nearly all of the contrarian indicators on a Positive bias, the overall signal to be fully exposed to the upside may be near.
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
The Contrarian
Still looking for a green light to go
By Robert Ogilvie |
For the most part, the cumulative contrarian indicator signals are neutral. Therefore, one has to learn to trade with no market directional bias.
Thursday, February 26, 2009
The Contrarian
Put Call Indicator Update!
By Robert Ogilvie |
A quick change in the Put/Call ratio has altered our overall trading bias.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
The Contrarian
Staring into the Abyss
By Robert Ogilvie |
All three indicators are negatively biased which usually helps determine some directional bias for ones portfolio.
Friday, February 13, 2009
The Contrarian
Updating the Bias
By Robert Ogilvie |
One of our most reliable indicators has turned back to a Positive bias.
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
The Contrarian
Signal Reversal
By Robert Ogilvie |
Contrarian indicators are suppose to suggest peaks in investor sentiment. We want to trade the opposite direction of the crowd.
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
The Contrarian
All Indicators Signal an Overall Positive Bias
By Robert Ogilvie |
All three signals from the Contrarian Indicators we follow are signaling a Positive Bias.
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
The Contrarian
Still stick in Neutral
By Robert Ogilvie |
The overall bias of the contrarian indicators we follow is still Neutral. However, there is a positive bias.
Friday, January 23, 2009
The Contrarian
Contrarian Indicator Signal Change
By Robert Ogilvie |
Put/Call Ratio Indicator signals a Positive bias
Thursday, January 22, 2009
The Contrarian
Market Psychology Metrics
By Robert Ogilvie |
Identifying market sentiment is akin to being an amateur psychologist
Friday, January 16, 2009
The Contrarian
Market Sentiment is Leaning to the Negative
By Robert Ogilvie |
Last week marked a time when a lot of investors' good feelings began to subside a little which may point to a near term top and further weakness in the markets.
Thursday, January 8, 2009
The Contrarian
Put/Call Ratio Signal change
By Robert Ogilvie |
contrarian indicator commentary
Wednesday, January 7, 2009
The Contrarian
Contrarian Indicators on the Verge of Change
By Robert Ogilvie |
Everything is about to change, but we are still positively biased.
Earlier articles:
2008