Option Investor
Newsletter

Daily Newsletter, Thursday, 11/21/2013

Table of Contents

  1. Market Wrap
  2. New Option Plays
  3. In Play Updates and Reviews

Market Wrap

Dow 16,000

by Thomas Hughes

Click here to email Thomas Hughes
The Senate Banking Committee backs Yellen, the BOJ back the economy, earnings guidance is poor and the markets rallied.

Introduction

There was a lot for the global markets to digest this morning. Not only were heads still spinning from yesterday's somewhat confusing FOMC minutes there was a central bank statement and a fresh round of economic data. Asian markets were impacted most heavily by the Bank Of Japan policy meeting and statements. The Nikkei climbed nearly 2% on the announcement that Japanese recovery was on track and that the BOJ saw the global economy in a positive light. BOJ Governor Kuroda stated that the Eurozone and U.S. economies are “gaining strength” and went on to say the outlook for Japan and the world was “brightening”.


Data from the Eurozone did not fully support the stance of the BOJ. EU PMI data came in a little weaker than expected at 51.5, still expansionary but not as strong as last months 51.9 and the expected 52. The drop caused some concern that the EU recovery is loosing steam. EU indices opened lower but climbed throughout the day to close at or near yesterday's closing highs. U.S. futures trading was positive and gained some strength going into the open. Unemployment and inflation data were in line with the current trends and helped to support prices. The U.S. markets opened broadly higher and extended early gains going into the morning. Around 10:15 we got word that the Senate Banking Committee was backing Yellen for fed chief and the markets hit their early high.

Other talk this morning centered around concerns for the holiday shopping season. A few companies have issued warnings and/or cautions that the consumer may not be as strong as expected. This sentiment flies in the face of other estimates I have heard and read that this could be a record holiday season. A few companies such as Lowes and Target are two notable disappointments but they are balanced by positive reports from other retailers like Home Depot. If you balance the extremes somewhere in the middle is an OK shopping season. The fears were not too great however, as the major indices were able to extend the early gains into the afternoon.

The Data

Initial jobless claims fell 21,000 from an upward revision of 5,000 to last week data, making a net drop of 16,000. This weeks figure of 323,000 is the lowest level since the California back log first came into the data nearly two months ago. This week's drop is a reassurance that pre-shut down trends in labor were not affected. The four week moving average also fell, hitting 338,500 and a four week low. Initial claims are now sitting at the levels seen just prior to the Cali snafu and government shut down. Only one state reported a drop in claims more than 1,000. 12 states reported a jump in claims of more than 1,000 led by California's +4,737 for a total near 25,000. This means that there were mild declines in claims across the remaining 37 states.


Continuing claims rose in this weeks data, adding 66,000 for a total of 2.876 million. The gain is a wash because last weeks continuing claims were revised lower. The two weeks cancel each other out and remain flat for the past 4-8 weeks. Based on this it appears as if job growth may have stalled out during the October period. Total claims fell this week and may be indicate that the long term decline in unemployment may be gaining momentum. Total claims fell by -32,376 to hit 3.875, just off the long term low and more than 26% lower than last year's total claims and nearly 50% lower than 2 years ago. The question now is if jobs growth will pick back up in November and December.



The Consumer Price Index was released simultaneous to the employment claims. Consumer level inflation declined at the rate of -0.2%, in line with the expectations. Last month's reading was -0.1%. This is an important factor in the Fed's taper decision, if inflation is not rising they will be less inclined to begin the taper. The Philly Fed survey declined as expected but surprised with the extent. The actual number was 6.5, the expected was 15.0 (last month's 19.8 was a big surprise). Tomorrow be on the look out for housing starts and building permits. The calendar on my platform has two releases listed for each, September and October, so it looks like it will be a double dose of shut down delayed data points.

The Yen Trade

The yen weakened considerable following the BOJ statement and press conference. Although the BOJ did not enact any further QE they indicated it could happen and that they were still committed to the long term plan currently underway. In the face of impending tapering that could be enough to push the USD/JPY back up to retest it's highs around 103.75. Kuroda's statements in support of the U.S. and EU recovery while at the same time standing firm on long term QE underscore what some traders may have already determined; soon dollar printing will slow down while yen printing keeps on going. Since the BOJ's targets for inflation are expected to be met in 2015 we may also expect Japanese QE policy to go on until then as well (which is there own target). Over the last week the USD/JPY moved above the 100 level which had been a resistance several times in the past. The pair held firm until today's meeting and then began to move up. At this time the move is being driven more on expectations than actual changes to fundamentals so it may not be very strong. Momentum is weakly bullish and on the rise.

USD/JPY

The Gold Index

BOJ Governor Kuroda's stance on the economy may have added pressure to gold. His comments in support of the U.S. recovery could be taken as an indication that tapering is fast approaching. Adding this to the FOMC minutes it looks more and more likely that it will start sooner rather than later. Regardless, gold prices fell another $15-$20 in the early part of today's trading dropping from previous support at $1250 to hit a 5 month low. The Gold Index has finally succumbed to the dead weight of low gold prices. The index broke through the bottom of the long term pennant formation and is approaching a long term low. Momentum is bearish and on the rise, but still weak compared to the past few months. The momentum could grow if gold prices remain at such low levels. If the index's break below the pennant is confirmed my next target is around $75.

Gold Index

The Retail Sector

A couple of bad reports have been focused on by the media. I'm not saying that the retail sector is in good shape but I don't think it's quite as bad as some may believe. This morning Target reported an earnings miss that shocked investors, not good by any means, but offset by other positive reports from other retailers. This is the same for Lowe's report yesterday. Lowe's missed on revenue, earnings and provided an earnings caution for the fourth quarter. Just the day before that Home Depot reported better than expected earnings. The point, this sector like the entire market is still in stock picker mode. The XRT has been trending up for the past 11 months and still looks fairly strong. The momentum is bullish and since breaking out to new highs last month convergent with higher prices. The long term charts are equally bullish at this time and we are heading into the holiday season. Numbers for Black Friday and Cyber Monday could be elevated simply because there are 6 less days of shopping between Thanksgiving and Christmas.

Retail Spyder

Target's third quarter results were an improvement over last years third quarter but not by enough. Comps in the quarter rose by 0.7%, well below expectations, and resulted in EPS 13% below the consensus. The company cited a cautious consumer environment and negative impacts from dilution in the Canadian unit. The company went on the guide fourth quarter and full year guidance lower as well. If the consumer is weaker than expected this holiday then the current guidance could be right on. The stock, which has been trending sideways for over a year, dropped more than 3% in today's session. The price is now below a long term support/resistance line the stock has been trading around since the middle of last year at the $65-$66 level.

Target

Dollar Tree was not immune to third quarter softness. The discount retailer also reported earnings below estimates and guided lower in the fourth quarter. Profits fell to $0.58 per share from last years $0.68, just below the expected $0.60 analysts had predicted for this quarter. The company reduced full year EPS guidance to $1.01-$1.07 from a previously expected $1.10. Dollar Tree is another area where fourth quarter earnings could be a positive surprise, especially since the guidance has been lowered. Third quarter spending may have been impacted by the shut down but other data have shown this impact is negligible in the longer term. This stock has been trending up strongly for 9 months, today's 4% drop brought price down to a potential support area. Volume buying stepped in and helped to drive prices up off the lows.

Dollar Tree

The Indices

The major indices hit new highs last week and then spent the first half of this week cooling off. The FOMC minutes, economic data and evolving taper out look helped to hold index prices down. Today the markets bounced back from the downward pressure. The SPX moved up by nearly 1% led by the Blue Chips which set a new closing high. The NASDAQ made today's biggest percent move at just under 1.25%. Looking at the daily chart of the SPX we can see a market that is drifting higher in fits and starts. At this time the MACD and the stochastic are displaying wicked divergences and suggest a correction in the short term could be coming. Today's action is bullish although light on volume. The 1800 level is current resistance and is the important level for to watch tomorrow. If the bulls fail to advance then next week could some sideways to down action.

SPX daily

Longer term the index is more bullish. The momentum is bullish and rising, stochastic is bullish and crossing above the upper signal line. Both are also in the process of erasing long term divergences that have been casting a shadow on the longer term bullish outlook. There is still reason for caution though. On this chart the MACD could be rising or it could be peaking, the candle is not fully formed. Tomorrow will be a key day for analysis on this chart. If the bulls can get the SPX above 1800 at the close then the index could keep rallying. A failure to break 1800 would be bearish, at least in the near to short term. The first major support zone if prices fall is about 50 points below the current level around 1750.

SPX weekly

The Dow Industrials moved up to make a new high today, crossing above 16,000. There are short term divergences on this chart as well but if the Transports can be relied upon as an indicator of future Dow prices then I expect to see this index move higher even if there is a correction of some sort. Long term momentum is bullish and rising with more strength than the SPX. Stochastic indicates the index is neither overbought or oversold and is being accumulated.

Dow Weekly

The Transports gained more than 1% today as well but did not make a new high. This index has some a glaring divergence in the short term similar to the SPX. The recent all-time intra day high set earlier this week could provide the resistance for a short term consolidation or correction. In the long term this index is also still bullish but the current wave may be peaking. The 7,250 level will be important to watch on this chart tomorrow. A break above could result in a renewal of the rally while a failure could lead to consolidation and/or correction.

Transports daily

Loose fiscal policy is still on the table around the world. Even though we now also have tapering back on the table. The taper fear helped to push stocks lower this week but I think it is very short lived. If the Fed tapers it means the economy is on track and growing. If the Fed tapers it means QE is still happening, just a little less, and so long as money is flowing in the markets are flowing up. The divergences showing up on the short term daily charts are a cause for caution going into tomorrow. If the markets can not break to new highs then some form of correction may occur. If they can then it may be rally on until the next market hurdle appears. The Dow may have already tipped the hand by making its new high today. With or without a correction the long term trends are still up and there is no sign of reversal.

Until then, remember the trend!

Thomas Hughes


New Option Plays

Trading Technology

by James Brown

Click here to email James Brown

Editor's Note:

In addition to tonight's new candidate(s), consider these stocks as possible trading ideas and watch list candidates. Some of these stocks may need to see a break past key support or resistance:

(bullish ideas)
IWM, SBUX, FISV, ECL, GD, APH, ABC, STZ, CVS, CL, HSIC, SPY, YUM, CRR, MHK, SM, MCK, FLT, MON, AXP, IBB, JAZZ, ANDE, MMM, ETN.



NEW DIRECTIONAL CALL PLAYS

Western Digital Corp. - WDC - close: 74.83 change: +0.89

Stop Loss: 72.75
Target(s): 79.75
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below

Company Description

Why We Like It:
WDC is in the technology sector. The company makes data storage products. The most recent earnings report was a bit lackluster and the stock didn't see a lot of post-earnings movement. However, after a two-week consolidation sideways WDC resumed its rally with a surge to new all-time highs last week.

Traders have been buying the recent dip at its rising 10-dma. We believe the trend continues. Today's high was $75.15. I am suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $75.25. More conservative traders may want to wait for a rally past the November 15th high at $76.10 before initiating positions.

Our target is $79.75 but more aggressive traders may want to aim higher. The Point & Figure chart for WDC is bullish with a $91 target.

Trigger @ 75.25

- Suggested Positions -

Buy the 2014 Jan $80 call (WDC1418a80) current ask $1.40

Annotated Chart:

Entry on November -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 2.4 million
Listed on November 21, 2013



In Play Updates and Reviews

S&P 500 Snaps 3-Day Losing Streak

by James Brown

Click here to email James Brown

Editor's Note:

The stock market bounced after a three-day pullback. The Dow Industrials closed above the 16,000 mark for the first time. Stocks look poised to resume the up trend.

CB and EBAY hit our entry triggers.


Current Portfolio:


CALL Play Updates

Aon Plc. - AON - close: 81.38 change: +0.95

Stop Loss: 79.45
Target(s): 85.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: - 5.8%
Time Frame: 4 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: AON bounced and ended the session with a +1.1% gain. The stock is nearing short-term resistance in the $81.80 area.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $82.50 call (AON1418a82.5) entry $1.70

11/18/13 new stop loss @ 79.45
11/13/13 new stop loss @ 78.75

Entry on November 08 at $80.50
Average Daily Volume = 2.3 million
Listed on November 06, 2013


Alliant Techsystems Inc. - ATK - close: 118.43 change: +2.41

Stop Loss: 113.90
Target(s): 124.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 8.3%
Time Frame: 3 to 4 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: Defense-related names performed well in Thursday's market bounce. ATK surged +2.0% and is challenging its recent highs.

STRATEGY UPDATE: I am adjusting our exit target for ATK. It is true that the 2007 highs near $120.50-121.00 could be resistance. More conservative traders may want to exit near $120.00. I am adjusting our exit target to $124.00.

- Suggested Positions -

Long DEC $120 call (ATK1322L120) entry $1.80

11/21/13 new exit target @ 124.00 (was $120.00)
11/14/13 trade opened on gap higher at $116.80. trigger was 116.55

Entry on November 14 at $116.80
Average Daily Volume = 321 thousand
Listed on November 13, 2013


Cardinal Health, Inc. - CAH - close: 65.35 change: +0.57

Stop Loss: 62.80
Target(s): 67.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: +102.3%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: CAH weathered the market's recent dip very well. Today saw shares closed above potential round-number resistance at the $65.00 mark. I am raising our stop loss to $62.80.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $65 call (CAH1418a65) entry $0.84

11/21/13 new stop loss @ 62.80
11/19/13 investors may want to take some money off the table with our option up +84%.
11/16/13 new stop loss @ 61.80
11/13/13 new stop loss @ 61.40

Entry on November 11 at $62.50
Average Daily Volume = 3.8 million
Listed on November 09, 2013


The Chubb Corp. - CB - close: 96.12 change: +1.56

Stop Loss: 93.75
Target(s): 99.75
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 25.9%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: Our CB play has been triggered. The stock was very strong today and shot through resistance near $95.00. Our suggested entry trigger was hit at $95.25. CB outperformed the market with a +1.6% gain and closed at a new record high.

FYI: The Point & Figure chart for CB is bullish with a $104 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $95 call (CB1418a95) entry $1.85*

Entry on November 21 at $95.25
Average Daily Volume = 967 thousand
Listed on November 18, 2013


Costco Wholesale - COST - close: 123.89 change: +1.13

Stop Loss: 121.40
Target(s): 129.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 83.0%
Time Frame: Exit PRIOR to earnings on Dec. 11th
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: Thankfully there was no follow through on yesterday's bearish performance in COST. The stock bounced with a +0.9% gain. Shares remain below resistance in the $125.00 area. I am not suggesting new positions

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $125 call (COST1418a125) entry $1.30

11/18/13 today's session has created a bearish reversal candlestick pattern. Traders may want to take profits now
11/16/13 new stop loss @ $121.40
11/09/13 new stop loss @ $119.40

Entry on November 06 at $120.50
Average Daily Volume = 1.9 million
Listed on November 02, 2013


Cognizant Technology - CTSH - close: 93.74 change: +0.78

Stop Loss: 91.85
Target(s): 99.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: +18.6%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: CTSH ended its three-day pullback with a +0.8% bounce from its 10-dma. I am raising our stop loss up to $91.85.

Our target is $99.00. More aggressive traders may want to aim higher. The Point & Figure chart for CTSH is bullish with a $107 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $95 call (CTSH1418a95) entry $2.15

11/21/13 new stop loss @ 91.85
11/18/13 new stop loss @ 91.45
11/16/13 new stop loss @ 89.85

Entry on November 12 at $91.25
Average Daily Volume = 2.1 million
Listed on November 11, 2013


The Walt Disney Co. - DIS - close: 69.94 change: +0.71

Stop Loss: 67.00
Target(s): 77.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
11/21/13: The bounce in DIS today left shares hovering just below resistance at the $70.00 mark. I am suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $70.25. If triggered our multi-week target is $77.50. More aggressive investors could aim higher. The Point & Figure chart for DIS is bullish with an $83 target.

Trigger @ 70.25

- Suggested Positions -

buy the 2014 Jan $70 call (DIS1418a70) current ask $1.52

Entry on November -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 6.6 million
Listed on November 14, 2013


eBay Inc. - EBAY - close: 50.21 change: -0.18

Stop Loss: 49.45
Target(s): 56.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: -17.3%
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: We were certainly expecting a better performance out of EBAY today. That's especially true given the widespread market bounce. Shares of EBAY gapped open higher at $50.77, almost immediately failed, and then traded back down to retest support near the $50 mark.

Our play was triggered on the gap higher since our suggested entry point was $50.65. I would still consider buying a bounce but traders may want to wait for a new rise past $50.75 before initiating new positions.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $52.50 call (EBAY1418a52.5) entry $1.73

11/21/13 trade opened on gap higher at $50.77. suggested trigger was $50.65.

Entry on November 21 at $50.77
Average Daily Volume = 11 million
Listed on November 20, 2013


GNC Holdings - GNC - close: 58.53 change: +0.38

Stop Loss: 57.95
Target(s): 64.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 3 to 4 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
11/21/13: The bounce in GNC was disappointing. If shares don't show more improvement tomorrow we will likely drop this stock in the weekend newsletter.

Currently our plan is unchanged with a suggested trigger to buy calls at $60.50.

Trigger @ 60.50

- Suggested Positions -

Buy the DEC $60 call (GNC1322L60)

Entry on November -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 1.5 million
Listed on November 05, 2013


Johnson & Johnson - JNJ - close: 95.20 change: +0.05

Stop Loss: 93.40
Target(s): 99.75
Current Option Gain/Loss: - 1.9%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: JNJ garnered a new triple-digit price target today from an analyst but shares failed to see much movement on the announcement. I would still consider new positions at current levels.

Earlier Comments:
If JNJ can breakout past the $95.00 level the next logical spot for resistance is the $100.00 mark. Our multi-week target is $99.75.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $95 call (JNJ1418a95) entry $1.51

Entry on November 20 at $95.25
Average Daily Volume = 6.8 million
Listed on November 19, 2013


Michael Kors - KORS - close: 80.44 change: +1.35

Stop Loss: 77.75
Target(s): 89.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
11/21/13: KORS is bouncing as we expected just not where we expected. The market snapped a three-day losing streak and KORS outperformed with a +1.7% gain. Instead of waiting for a dip near its 50-dma we are adjusting our entry point strategy. Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $81.05. If triggered we will aim for $89.00. Please keep in mind that the prior highs near $83.00 could still be overhead resistance. More conservative traders may want to limit their position size. We will move the stop loss to $77.75. We will adjust the option strike to the 2014 Jan. $85 call.

Trigger: buy the dip @ $81.05

- Suggested Positions -

Buy the 2014 Jan $85 call (KORS1418a85) current ask $1.75

11/21/13 adjust entry strategy. Instead of buying a dip at $76.50, move the entry trigger to $81.05. Adjust the stop loss to $77.75. Adjust the option strike to 2014 Jan. $85 call.

Entry on November -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 7.2 million
Listed on November 20, 2013


Lockheed Martin - LMT - close: 138.67 change: +1.48

Stop Loss: 134.90
Target(s): 148.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 4.5%
Time Frame: 4 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: Good news. There was no follow through on LMT's close below short-term support at its 10-dma yesterday. The stock bounced with a +1.0% gain. Although technically we can label today's move as an inside day. We should stay cautious. I am not suggesting new positions at this time.

Earlier Comments:
I would not be surprised to see LMT paused at the $140 level, which might be temporary round-number resistance.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $140 call (LMT1418a140) entry $2.20

11/13/13 new stop loss @ 134.90

Entry on November 07 at $137.25
Average Daily Volume = 1.5 million
Listed on November 06, 2013


National Oilwell Varco, Inc. - NOV - close: 83.86 change: +0.50

Stop Loss: 81.25
Target(s): 88.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: -12.8%
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: NOV continues to bounce from short-term technical support at its rising 10-dma. Given the market's rebound today I would be tempted to buy calls on NOV here at current levels.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $85 call (NOV1418a85) entry $2.25

11/16/13 trade opened on gap higher at $83.98. suggested trigger was $83.75

Entry on November 15 at $83.98
Average Daily Volume = 3.0 million
Listed on November 14, 2013


United Parcel Service - UPS - close: 101.13 change: +1.00

Stop Loss: 98.95
Target(s): 108.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: -31.6%
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: After a two-day dip UPS managed a +0.99% bounce from its 10-dma. It will be interesting to see how the stock trades tomorrow. After the closing bell tonight UPS it was raising its rates by an average of +4.9% in 2014. Pricing power is usually seen as a sign of confidence.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $105 call (UPS1418a105) entry $0.98

11/20/13 new stop loss @ 98.95

Entry on November 14 at $101.25
Average Daily Volume = 3.8 million
Listed on November 13, 2013


WellPoint Inc. - WLP - close: 92.08 change: -0.68

Stop Loss: 88.25
Target(s): 99.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: +36.5%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: After a multi-day rally in WLP the stock finally hit some profit taking. I would not be surprised to see WLP retest the $90.00 level, which should be new support.

FYI: The Point & Figure chart for WLP is bullish with a $103 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $95 call (WLP1418a95) entry $1.15

Entry on November 18 at $90.50
Average Daily Volume = 2.6 million
Listed on November 16, 2013


PUT Play Updates

SPDR Gold ETF - GLD - close: 119.94 change: -0.18

Stop Loss: 124.25
Target(s): 115.50
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 1.6%
Time Frame: 3 to 6 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: It was a relatively quiet day for both the U.S. dollar and gold prices. The GLD did tag a new relative low. I don't see any changes from my earlier comments.

Earlier Comments:
Traders may want to limit their position size to limit risk.

Our target is $115.50. More aggressive traders may want to aim lower since the Point & Figure chart for GLD is bearish with a $110 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Jan $115 PUT (GLD1418m115) entry $1.80

Entry on November 20 at $121.00
Average Daily Volume = 7.0 million
Listed on November 12, 2013



Longer-Term Play Updates



Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF - VGK - close: 56.64 change: +0.49

Stop Loss: 53.90
Target(s): Sell half @ $58.00, sell the rest at $63.00
Current Option Gain/Loss: +44.4%
Time Frame: exit PRIOR to 2014 March option expiration
New Positions: see below

Comments:
11/21/13: The VGK kept pace with the market's gains on Thursday with a +0.8% bounce.

Earlier Comments:
Don't forget that we have two exit targets for this trade!

We are taking a multi-month time frame with this trade. FYI: The Point & Figure chart for VGK is bullish with a $63 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2014 Mar $55 call (VGK1422C55) entry $1.80*

10/22/13 Strategy Update: Plan to exit half @ $58.00 and exit the rest at $63.00. New stop loss @ 53.90
10/19/13 new stop loss @ 52.75
09/11/13 trade opens. VGK @ 53.60
*option entry @ 1.80 is an estimate. Ask closed at $1.75 yesterday
09/10/13 entry trigger met. open positions tomorrow.
09/10/13 new stop loss @ 50.95
08/24/13 adjust the option strike from 2013 Dec $55 to $2014 Mar $55.

Entry on September 11 at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 3.0 million
Listed on August 10, 2013