From the Desk of
This time last year the title on the EOY commentary was Dow 20,000. We closed 2016 at 19,762 and we have come a long way since last December. As of December 1st the Dow is up 22.6% for the year with the Nasdaq up +27% and S&P +18%. The semiconductor sector rose 39%, biotechs 38% and housing 44%. It was a great year.
With the potential for a major tax cut just around the corner the outlook for 2018 and 2019 are outstanding. Analysts believe the corporate tax cut will add 8% to S&P earnings and 250-270 S&P points.
The GDP forecast for Q4 is already 3.5% and next year should be even better. There is no sign of a recession on the horizon and the current bull market could continue another 18-24 months according to analysts.
With some expecting the Dow to hit 25,000 by the end of December, there are already forecasts for 30,000 by the end of 2018. The S&P could be well over 7,000. Earnings are expected to grow double digits even without the tax cut. Revenue is actually growing again after nearly two years of declines.
Oil prices could rebound over $75 as the OPEC production cuts finally reduce the supply glut and put the oil markets back into balance.
The Fed will have a new Chairman in Jay Powell in 2018 and he is expected to continue Yellen's dovish monetary policy. The Fed is expected to hike rates only three times in 2018 and the market is ok with that outlook since it will lift interest rates only to 2.0%-2.25%. That is very accommodative especially with a booming economy.
While nobody can accurately predict market direction, the long-term trend is normally up. Obviously, you cannot benefit from the next market rally if you are not in the market. If you are in the market, we hope you will be reading the Option Investor Newsletter for market guidance and winning option plays.
I want to thank everyone for continuing to support the Option Investor family of newsletters. Everyone at Option Investor could not do what we do without your loyalty, support and feedback.
As a thank you for your support we are launching the 19th Annual End of Year Renewal Special. Thanksgiving weekend marked our 20th anniversary! We have no advertising on the website or in the emails. The newsletters are entirely subscription supported.
||The Year End Renewal Specials provide our core newsletter products at absolutely the BEST PRICE AVAILABLE to our most valued subscribers. No one gets a better deal!
Nearly 50% of our readers take advantage of the annual renewal special each year. The reason is simple we offer our best package of newsletters at the best possible price for the entire year. Nobody gets a better price than the End of Year Subscription special.
2017 EOY Offer Details
As usual I am not going to waste your time with several more pages describing the various benefits of the renewal package. Our current subscribers already know about our products. If you are not convinced that our newsletter products are worth every penny of the deeply discounted price then a flashy marketing campaign will not help. It may convince a few readers to act but I believe our faithful supporters know what they want and don't need to be talked into clicking submit on some cleverly worded advertisement.
An Added bonus this year!
Several years ago, we offered a free silver dollar with an EOY subscription. It was our most successful promotion since the Financial Crisis. We are going to repeat that again this year with a specific coin this time. Each EOY subscriber will receive a genuine Morgan Dollar, which is thought to be one of the best looking silver coins ever minted. These make great Christmas presents!
Genuine Morgan Silver Dollar
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Instead of just one package that we put together we are giving everyone the opportunity to build their own special. The base package will still be the four main newsletters but you can add any other newsletter you want for half price.
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2018 promises to be another exciting and opportunity filled year as the economy accelerates into a longer term growth cycle. Make sure you are poised to take advantage of world-class trading advice and analysis with Option Investor.
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All Option Strategies Used, Longer Hold Time Using Special Situation Stocks - In today's volatile market a buy and hold investor is more accurately described as a buy and hope investor. Volatility can be a bad thing for some option traders but it can also present some spectacular opportunities. Volatility can knock you out of carefully crafted positions and produce expensive losses. However, buying certain stocks after a volatility event sometimes produces an outstanding trade. Volatility can come from an earnings miss, a guidance warning, broker downgrade, etc or it can come from a sector event where some other stock in the sector falls off the cliff and drags the sector down with it. Buyouts in the sector, rumors of buyouts or even failed buyouts all produce volatility events that can be used to our advantage. More Info
Are you ready to start trading smart? Have you been trading directionally and losing money? What are you trying to prove? You can generate a healthy cash-flow using our non-directional option strategies and I can teach you how. In the last two years we've more than doubled our money in our posted portfolio -- using these same conservative "hands-off" non-directional strategies. We minimize our risk and put percentages in our favor. More Info
The OilSlick.com newsletter focuses on plays in the energy sector with both short and long term portfolios. With crude oil playing such an important part in our lives and such a big impact on the market any investor should have an energy component in their portfolio. Peak Oil is not mentioned much in the press today because the decline in the global economy has slowed the growth of oil demand. This will change in the coming months as China and Europe rebound out of their economic weakness and oil demand accelerates. Be prepared for the next move in oil prices with the OilSlick newsletter.
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