Editors Note:

I am adding EMR to the watch list to buy on a continued bounce from the post earnings decline. They have so many headline events over the next six months the company is going to be swimming in cash and expenses are going to be significantly lower.


New Watch List Entry:


EMR - Emerson Electric - Company Description

Emerson Electric designs and manufactures products and provides services to industrial, commercial and consumer markets worldwide. They cater to all areas of industry with electrical measurement and control products, power generation products and automation of critical energy infrastructure.

In the Q2 earnings cycle the company reported earnings of 80 cents that missed estimates for 84 cents. Revenue declined 7% to $5.126 billion compared to estimates for $5.309 billion. The major reason for the weakness is the continued decline in the oil and gas sector. However, we are approaching the point in the energy cycle where oil prices will rise late in 2016 an even higher in 2017 as demand catches up with production. We are already seeing a large number of rigs go back to work with more than 50 oil rigs reactivated in the last six weeks.

The CEO said Europe was flat but better than it was just a few months ago and the rest of the world met expectations. The U.S. remained a trouble spot in certain segments.

The company is preparing to spin off its network power segment saw rising demand from data centers and telecom spending. He predicted the overall order book would turn positive when capex spending returned to the energy sector.

Emerson is a solid company. They are not growing earnings significantly because of the energy sector but they are still tending to business. The spinoff of the network power division will provide a boost to the stock and allow Emerson to focus on the more profitable process management and power generation side of the business. The spinoff is expected to be completed by September 30th. The spin will provide cash to Emerson and allow them to put that cash to work in other areas and buyback stock. The CEO said, while they continue to proceed on the spinoff they are also talking to interested parties about an outright sale that would provide even more cash and flexibility. They are also in talks to sell the motors, drives and power generation business, which will further improve the company focus.

They announced the sale of $5.2 billion in noncore assets in a restructuring they have been working on for a year. This is in addition to the spinoff of the network power division previously announced. This is a large step forward in improving their profitability and reducing costs. It will also provide significant liquidity for capex spending and stock repurchases.

The company declared a quarterly dividend of 47.5 cents payable Sept 9th to holders on August 12th.

The company is a steady performer with a lot of headline events coming over the next six months. These sales events will provide cash and improve profitability.

Shares declined from $56 back to support at $52.50 after earnings and buyers were waiting. Options are inexpensive and the spin/sales events should power the stock higher. I expect the shares to break through resistance at $56 in a positive market.

With an EMR trade at $54.25

Buy Jan 2018 $57.50 call, currently $3.30, initial stop loss $49.25.



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