Option Investor
Archive
HAVING TROUBLE PRINTING?
Printer friendly version
OI Technical Staff : 4/17/2006 9:59:59 PM

The Market Monitor has been archived. You may view it and any previous days here: Link

Disclaimer: Stocks discussed in the Market Monitor are for educational purposes only and any analysis is not meant to imply a recommendation for or against that stock. The analysts in this forum as on any other website are prohibited by the SEC from giving any specific advice to ANY individual trader. All information posted is for ALL readers and is not meant to be directed to any individual. Our analysts cannot answer any email questions regarding any specific stock. Please do not ask and please do not take offense if requests are denied.

Results posted in the Market Monitor are hypothetical and OIN does not claim that any reader achieved these exact results. Due to the lag time between research, writing, posting, uploading, reading and execution there will be differences between the actual signal given and the fill achieved by the reader. Fills may be better or worse but in most cases they will be different. The writers will make every effort to give advance notice of intended signals and indicate potential price targets. Your individual results may vary depending on your activity level and aggressiveness. This forum is intended as an education service only. Trading involves risk and should not be attempted by anyone not ready to accept this risk. By acting on any signal in this forum you agree and personally accept this risk.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 4:53:43 PM

Current OPEN MM Profiles that I've made at this Link

Today's Activity ... I did not profile any trades today.

Vacation orders Should the UTStarcom UTSI Jan $7.50 Calls (OEU-AU) trade $3.00 or more, I would look to sell them long.

I will be out of the office until the morning of Wednesday, 04/26/06.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 4:40:24 PM

Closing Internals found at this Link ... It would currently take a 62% measure for the NYSE 10-day NH/NL ratio to reverse back higher (3-boxes).

It would currently take a 76% measure for the NASDAQ 10-day NH/NL ratio to reverse back higher (3-box reversal).

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 4:22:32 PM

Closing U.S. Market Watch found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 4:22:30 PM

Economic Reports for tomorrow are:
8:30a.m. March Producer Price Index.
8:30a.m. March Housing Starts.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 3:12:35 PM

03:00 Internals found at this Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 3:02:37 PM

03:00 Market Watch found at this Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:57:04 PM

QQQQ $41.49 -1.44% ... after first test of MONTHLY Pivot this month. 3-month average daily volume has been 92.64 million. Running 81.16 million so far today.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:34:11 PM

YM 11,096 ... after that kiss of 11,083.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:34:02 PM

9 out of "big 10" all lower. XOM $61.72 +0.27% despite broader bullishness for energy-related stocks.

Sometimes membership doesn't have its privileges.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:30:00 PM

BA $82.15 -0.94%, IBM $81.67 -0.37%, MMM $79.68 -1.59%, CAT $76.45 -0.63%, MO $68.64 -0.52% ... "big 5" all lower.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:26:38 PM

Cnooc (CEO) $83.72 +2.22% ... clears WEEKLY R2 ($83.57)

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 2:25:02 PM

Not an environment to go long. Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:24:17 PM

TRIN 1.09

VIX 13.02

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 2:24:15 PM

TICKS -800

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:23:53 PM

YM 11,083

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:19:06 PM

Scratch the YM 11,083 for now. Might want to go 11,069-11,070.

Looked at my 01/20/06 low close (10,752) and high close 03/22/06 (11,387) to find its 50% retracement at 11,069.50.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:10:51 PM

YM ... 11,092 ... session low has been 11,077.

I might look for a day trade long back at 11,083, with a target back to 11,135.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 2:05:00 PM

NYSE Comp. ($NYA.X) 8226.06 -0.02% ... slips red.

All major indices now in the red.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 2:02:55 PM

AD line is now -655. The bears certainly pulled a fast one the bulls today.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:53:50 PM

TRIN 1.07 ... ticked to 1.11

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:52:38 PM

YM 11,101

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:47:26 PM

SOX.X 500.07 -1.54% ... slips below WEEKLY S1.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:46:02 PM

Wednesday, Thursday and so far today ... "low octane" trade. Not much volume behind any of these gyrations.

TRIN 1.02 ... low/high so far 0.72/1.03

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:40:45 PM

Sell Program Premium ... SPX 1,284.56 ... YM 11,114

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:40:21 PM

TICKS -800 again. TICKS have not yet made it to -1000, which is a rare event.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:38:07 PM

These have become quite clear. Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:31:09 PM

VIX 12.68 .... low/high has been 12.27/12.71

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:27:06 PM

YM 11,117 ... should go 11,101 and WEEKLY S1/Monthly 61.8% overlap.

TRIN 1.01

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:29:40 PM

I know there is a lot of conflicting evidence that Gold is a good hedge against inflation but you have to wonder how much of today's rally has to do with people thinking it is.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:23:10 PM

Dow Components (sorted by price) found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:21:16 PM

TICKS -800

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:15:49 PM

01:00 Internals found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:07:36 PM

TICKS -800

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:05:25 PM

$RUT ad line is now 587/1088

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 1:04:22 PM

01:00 Market Watch found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 1:02:10 PM

Gold 616.40!!!!! Up 15.80 points today.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:47:02 PM

Newmont Mining (NEM) $54.90 +3.83% Link ... Today's trade at $55.00 negates prior bearish vertical count to $45.00. Preliminary bullish vertical count to $64.00.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:44:48 PM

Goldcorp (GG) $31.10 +3.7% Link ... new 52-week high!

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:42:41 PM

Bema Gold (AMEX:BGO) $4.85 +4.07% Link ... new 52-week high!

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:33:18 PM

OI Newsletter Plays found at this Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:29:17 PM

Canada's Monetary Index Rises 52 Pts In April 12 Week DJ- Canada's monetary conditions index rose 52 basis points in the week ended April 12, indicating a tightening of conditions.

The indicator is based on Canada's three-month prime corporate paper rate and on the Canadian dollar's relationship to the C-6 currencies.

The corporate paper rate rose to 4.13% in the week ended April 12 from 4.06% the previous week. The Canadian dollar index against C-6 currencies rose to 105.47 from 104.06 the previous week.

The monetary index, which has a base of zero for 1987, was at 1.03 in the week ended April 12, up from 0.51 the previous week.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 12:27:49 PM

Certainly no clear direction from these two. Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 12:26:54 PM

CARDINAL HEALTH NAMES P&G'S CLARK CEO DJ- R. Kerry Clark is named president and CEO, replacing Robert Walter as CEO effective immediately. Walter to continue as chairman. Clark joins Cardinal from Procter & Gamble, where he served as vice chairman in charge of family health businesses.

CAH $69.62 -0.51% Link

PG $56.31 -0.51% Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 12:11:21 PM

As Jeff would say Good Gravy Gold has hit at high of 614.10

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 11:31:32 AM

$RUT AD line is now 742/911

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 11:12:58 AM

11:00 Internals found at this Link ... Volume very anemic at both exchanges.

Thursday's Internals at this Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 11:05:33 AM

11:00 Market Watch found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 11:02:24 AM

I continue to be leary of the short side because AD volume is making new daily highs. But the AD line is not confirming the volume so it would be hard to be long either. Be patient and a set up will come along, it is just not here yet. Link

Tab Gilles : 4/17/2006 10:55:57 AM

Murphy Oil (MUR) $52.18 Link

Jan '07 $45 Call Bid $10.30/Ask $10.50

PnF Chart Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:55:50 AM

SCHWAB NET RISES 68% ON TRADING, FEES DJ- Brokerage's 1Q net rises to $243 million, or 19c a share, in line with analysts' expectations, as client trading grows in response to rising markets and fees grow off higher asset base. Revenue climbs 21% to $1.28 billion.

SCHW $17.36 -1.30% Link ...

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:52:19 AM

WACHOVIA POSTS 7% HIGHER PROFIT DJ- Bank posts 1Q net of $1.73 billion, or $1.09 a share, on higher fee income. Excluding acquisition costs and including stock-compensation costs, EPS of $1.12 matches expectations. Revenue rises 9% to $7.06 billion.

WB $55.54 -0.55% Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 10:50:47 AM

$RUT Issues rising 811 Issues falling 803. This is about as neutral as you can get.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:48:06 AM

SUNTRUST BANKS 1Q NET CLIMBS 8% DJ- SunTrust earns $531.5 million, or $1.46 a share, as revenue rises 9% to $2.05 billion. Analysts expected earnings of $1.43 a share on revenue of $2.01 billion.

STI $73.37 -0.59% Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 10:43:36 AM

Dateline WSJ SEC to charge Tyco with $1 billion in accounting fraud, and Tyco agrees to pay $50 million to settle charges.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:37:02 AM

UTStarcom (UTSI) $6.68 -2.76% Link ... Weak after company said late Thursday that its COO Mike Sophie will resign effective May 5, to pursue other opportunities.

The company said CEO Hong Lu would assume Mr. Sophie's operational duties until a permanent replacement is named.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:31:27 AM

TiVo (TIVO) $9.02 +12.04% Link ... Atop this morning's most actively traded and new 52-week high after recent victory in a key patent-infringement lawsuite.

AP Story Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:26:05 AM

JB HUNT TRANSPORT 1Q NET UP 3.1% DJ- Trucking firm has net income of $49 million, or 31c a share, as revenue rises 10% to $779.9 million. Mean estimates of analysts polled by Thomson First Call were for EPS of 31c on revenue of $788.7 million. Firm sees demand continuing to outstrip supply.

JBHT $22.64 +5.30% Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:24:07 AM

YAHOO EXECS CASH IN WITH OPTIONS DJ- Yahoo executives exercise almost $300 million in options last year as Silicon Valley tech managers turn up the pace of turning stock grants into cash. CEO Semel realizes $173.6 million from exercising options and Chief Technical Officer Nazem earns $63.8 million.

YHOO $31.71 +1.86% Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:22:04 AM

POGO PRODUCING TO BUY LATIGO PETE FOR $750M DJ- Pogo Producing agrees to buy privately held Latigo Petroleum for $750 million in cash. Pogo expects the acquisition to increase its oil and gas reserves by 13% to 2,317 billion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent.

PPP $52.07 +0.25% Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 10:20:35 AM

TICKS +800. Love to see those ticks up there when long.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:20:20 AM

NY FED MANUFACTURING INDEX SLIPS DJ- Pace of manufacturing activity growth slows in April, with the New York Fed's overall index slipping to 15.81 from a downwardly revised 29.03 in March. Economists expected a more modest decline in April to a reading of 22.0.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 10:19:38 AM

These are telling me the bulls still have the reins but the AD line lollygagging around +550 to +600 is also saying they are tired. Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:19:20 AM

UNITEDHEALTH OPTION GRANTS RAISE QUESTIONS DJ- UnitedHealth executives frequently received stock-option grants dated at or near quarterly low points in the company's share price, raising new questions about how the giant health insurer timed option grants.

UNH $52.75 -1.40% Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:17:41 AM

NET FOREIGN BUYS OF US SECURITIES JUMP DJ- Net foreign purchases of U.S. securities rebound in February to $86.9 billion, 26% above January's upwardly revised total. Foreign net purchases of U.S. Treasury notes and bonds soar five-fold to $21.9 billion.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:10:37 AM

CITIGROUP NET UP 3.6% ON BANKING BUSINESS DJ- Citigroup reports 1Q net income of $5.64 billion, or $1.12 a share, which includes $520 in stock-compensation costs, more than offset by a $657 million tax benefit. Revenue rises 4.7% to $22.18 billion. Analysts expected the banking giant to earn $1.02 a share on revenue of $23.2 billion. Citigroup plans an additional $10 billion in share buybacks.

C $48.47 +0.87% Link ...

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 10:03:10 AM

10:00 Market Watch found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 9:50:14 AM

I would not be short here. Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 9:46:51 AM

OI Newsletter Plays found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 9:45:17 AM

Both the VIX and TRIN are falling and making new daily lows confirming the bullishness I am seeing in the AD line/volume.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 9:44:31 AM

AD line is +417 and AD volume is above 0 and rising so the bulls have the upper hand here.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 9:44:28 AM

YM 5-minute interval chart with DAILY(drk green), WEEKLY (blue) and MONTHLY (pink) pivot retracement at this Link

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 9:06:54 AM

Fair Value for the NASDAQ-100 is $13.13.

HL Camp & Company has their computers set for program buying at $+14.76 and set for program selling at $+11.78. If you would like to watch these premium execution levels, the symbol is NQ-PREM.Z or $NQIQX from two relatively good data vendors that do it correctly.

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 9:04:24 AM

Dateline WSJ Crude-oil futures remained higher Monday after hitting $70 a barrel overnight for the first time in seven-and-a-half months, lifted by concerns over declining gasoline stocks in the U.S., supply disruptions in Nigeria and tension over Iran's nuclear program.

Light, sweet crude for May delivery was up 32 cents to $69.64 in electronic trading after briefly touching $70 a barrel in Asia. Pit trading at the New York Mercantile Exchange, which was closed on Friday, resumes at 10 a.m. EDT. The last time crude surpassed $70 a barrel was on Aug. 30, when it traded at a record $70.85 a barrel, after Hurricane Katrina struck the U.S. Gulf coast.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 9:04:58 AM

Fair Value for the Russell 2000 is $4.02.

HL Camp & Company has their computers set for program buying at $+5.32 and set for program selling at $+3.04. If you would like to watch these premium execution levels, the symbol is RM-PREM.Z or $ER2IUX from two relatively good data vendors that do it correctly.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 9:04:22 AM

Program Trading Levels for Monday ... HL Camp & Company has their computers set for program buying at $+7.76 and set for program selling at $+5.59.

QCharts Symbol: $prem.x

Fair Value for the S&P 500 today is $6.48.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 8:57:29 AM

Dollar Index (dx00y) 88.70 -1.02% ... notably weak early.

Jeff Bailey : 4/17/2006 8:56:58 AM

Index Pivot Matrix found at this Link

Jane Fox : 4/17/2006 8:52:03 AM

Dateline WSJ Citigroup Inc. said Monday that its first-quarter net income rose 3.6% on strong results in its investment-banking and brokerage operations, offsetting a revenue decline in its retail consumer division.

The New York financial-services firm, the largest in terms of market capitalization, earned $5.64 billion, or $1.12 a share, versus $5.44 billion, or $1.04 a share, in last year's first quarter. Revenue rose 4.7% to $22.18 billion from $21.2 billion.

The results included $846 million of pretax compensation expense related to stock grants to retirement-eligible employees, and a $657 million tax benefit related to the resolution of a federal tax audit. After taxes, the charges totaled $520 million.

Citigroup's per-share earnings bested analyst expectations, as the consensus estimate was for earnings of $1.02 cents a share, according to Thomson First Call. However, revenue fell short of the $23.2 billion-estimate.

Market Monitor Archives