NEW BEARISH Plays
Financial Engines, Inc. - FNGN - close: 35.11 change: -1.04
Stop Loss: 36.60
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Entry on August -- at $---.--
Listed on August 11, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 663 thousand
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
FNGN is in the financial sector. They provide investment advice, retirement planning services and more. According to the company's press release they describe themselves as "America's largest independent investment advisor, is dedicated to making high-quality retirement help available to everyone â€” regardless of how much money they have. Weâ€™re proudly independent, which means we donâ€™t sell products or earn commissions based on our investment
recommendations. The companies that choose to work with us offer our services to their workers as a valuable employee benefit."
Shares of FNGN went public back in 2010 at $12.00. They opened at $15.00 on their first day of trading. Since then the stock has definitely had its ups and downs. Shares took off in July 2012 and soared to a high of $70 in December last year thanks to a very bullish stock market performance in 2013.
Unfortunately 2014 has been a very disappointing year as FNGN continues to frustrate investors. When FNGN reported earnings on February 20, 2014 they missed estimates by a penny, missed the revenue number, and guided lower for 2014. When FNGN reported earnings in May they missed by 2 cents, missed the revenue number, and guided lower for 2014. Their most recent earnings report was July 31st and FNGN managed to beat Wall Street's bottom line estimate by 2 cents. Revenues were in-line with (lowered) expectations. Yet FNGN management lowered their guidance for 2014. Is anyone picking up on a trend here?
The disappointing earnings results have fueled a six-month decline. Shares are now in a bear market. FNGN is currently testing support near the $35.00 level. The recent low was $34.88. Tonight we're suggesting a trigger to open bearish positions at $34.70.
I am tempted to label this a more aggressive, higher-risk trade because of the short interest. The most recent data listed short interest at 16.7% of the 50.8 million share float. That does raise the risk of a short squeeze. If you have noticed investors have been using the rallies to exit.
You could try and limit your risk with put options but the option spreads are pretty wide so we're not listing them here.
We are not setting an exit target tonight but I will point out that the Point & Figure chart is bearish and forecasting a $24.00 target.
Trigger @ $34.70
- Suggested Positions -
Short FNGN stock @ $34.70