NEW BULLISH Plays
RF Micro Devices Inc. - RFMD - close: 12.02 change: +0.24
Stop Loss: 11.20
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Entry on August -- at $---.--
Listed on August 19, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 14.5 million
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
We are more than halfway through 2014 and it's shaping up to be another bullish year for stocks. The S&P 500 index is up +6.6% year to date. The NASDAQ composite is up +7.9%. That's because the NASDAQ is getting a boost from strong groups like biotechs and semiconductors. The SOX semiconductor index is up +17.2% in 2014. Yet one stock in this industry has been sprinting past the competition. That is RFMD with a +128% year to date gain.
According to the company website, "RF Micro Devices, Inc. is a global leader in the design and manufacture of high-performance semiconductor components. RFMD's products enable worldwide mobility, provide enhanced connectivity and support advanced functionality in the cellular handset, wireless infrastructure, wireless local area network (WLAN), CATV/broadband and aerospace and defense markets. RFMD is recognized for its diverse portfolio of semiconductor technologies and RF systems expertise and is a preferred supplier to the world's leading mobile device, customer premises and communications equipment providers."
What you may not know is that RFMD is a big supplier of components to Apple Inc. They provide components and chips for AAPL's iPhones. AAPL is expected to announce their iPhone 6 in September and could sell tens of millions of phones before year end. That could be a boon for companies like RFMD.
This year has also been bullish for mergers and acquisitions with Wall Street applauding a number of deals. One winning deal so far has been RFMD's merger with TriQuint Semiconductor (TQNT). RFMD announced this deal in February this year and the stock soared on this news. Since then both RFMD and TQNT stock have been outperformers. The company expects synergies of $150 million in just the first two years.
Meanwhile RFMD is developing a bullish trend of beating earnings estimates, rising margins, and raising guidance. Back in April they beat estimates and raised guidance. They did it again at their last report on July 24th. Wall Street expected a profit of $0.17 a share on revenues of $304.8 million. RFMD delivered $0.24 cents a share on revenues of $316.3 million. Margins surged to 42%. Management raised their EPS and revenue guidance for the current quarter.
Technically the stock is marching higher and just recently broke out from a two-week consolidation. Today's display of relative strength (+2.0%) left RFMD at multi-year highs. The shorts are getting killed. The most recent data listed short interest at 16% of the 266.7 million share float. If this rally continues the stock could get a boost from short covering.
Today's high was $12.10. We are suggesting a trigger to open bullish positions at $12.15.
NOTE: We will tentatively set a time frame of 8 to 12 weeks but we might choose to exit at Apple's iPhone 6 announcement in September.
Trigger @ $12.15
- Suggested Positions -
Buy RFMD stock @ (trigger)
- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -
Buy the NOV $12 call (RFMD141122C12) current ask $1.10
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike