NEW BULLISH Plays

Silicon Motion Technology - SIMO - close: 29.59 change: -0.20

Stop Loss: 27.85
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Entry on February -- at $---.--
Listed on February 07, 2015
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 538 thousand
New Positions: Yes, see below

Company Description

Why We Like It:
Shares of this technology stock are trading at all-time highs as sales growth surged last year. SIMO is part of the technology sector. They're considered part of the diversified electronics industry.

The company describes itself as "We are a fabless semiconductor company that designs, develops and markets high performance, low-power semiconductor solutions to OEMs and other customers in the mobile storage and mobile communications markets. For the mobile storage market, our key products are microcontrollers used in solid state storage devices such as SSDs, eMMCs and other embedded flash applications, as well as removable storage products. For the mobile communications market, our key products are LTE transceivers and mobile TV IC solutions. Our products are widely used in smartphones, tablets, and industrial and commercial applications."

Last year (2014) saw SIMO's revenues soar. Their Q2 revenues grew +19% from the year ago period. Q3 revenues were up +51.5%. Their Q4 revenues surged +53.4% to $80.5 million, which was just a hair below expectations.

Earnings are seeing similar improvement. Their most recent earnings report was January 26th. SIMO reported a profit of $40.48 a share. That is a +60% improvement from a year ago and one cent above Wall Street's estimate. Their fourth quarter saw sales of SIMO's embedded storage product soar +70% from a year ago. Their full year 2014 revenues were a company record.

Guidance was mixed. SIMO warned that Q1 could see some seasonal weakness but they still provided guidance that was relatively bullish compared to analysts' estimates. SIMO's 2015 guidance is forecasting revenue growth in the +15% to +25% range.

After peaking in September 2014 the stock did experience a correction but SIMO has since recovered. Actually that's an understatement. The NASDAQ is only up +0.6% in 2015 while SIMO is already up +25% this year. The recent strength has created a buy signal on the point and figure chart that is forecasting a long-term target of $47.00.

Currently SIMO sits just below round-number resistance at $30.00. We are suggesting a trigger to open bullish positions at $30.15.

Trigger @ $30.15

- Suggested Positions -

Buy SIMO stock @ (trigger)

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Buy the MAR $30 CALL (SIMO150320C30) current ask $1.60

Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

Daily Chart:

Weekly Chart: