NEW BULLISH Plays

Theravance Inc. - THRX - close: 19.56 change: +0.34

Stop Loss: 17.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Entry on March -- at $---.--
Listed on March 3, 2015
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 1.0 million
New Positions: Yes, see below

Company Description

Why We Like It:
Biotech stocks were huge performers last year. One biotech that underperformed its peers and the broader market was THRX. It looks like the bear market in THRX is over. Shares have been surging from their February lows.

A concise summary of who THRX and what they do is the following, "Theravance (NASDAQ: THRX), A Royalty Management Company, is focused on stockholder returns by: maximizing the potential value of our respiratory assets partnered with GlaxoSmithKline plc (GSK), providing capital returns to our stockholders and reducing the overall corporate cost of capital."

If you would like a more detailed description of who they are and what biotech assets they are trying to leverage the company has provided this description: "Theravance, Inc. is focused on maximizing the potential value of the respiratory assets partnered with Glaxo Group Limited (GSK), including RELVAR®/BREO® ELLIPTA® and ANORO® ELLIPTA®, with the intention of providing capital returns to stockholders. Under the Long-Acting Beta2 Agonist (LABA) Collaboration Agreement with GSK, Theravance is eligible to receive the associated royalty revenues from RELVAR®/BREO® ELLIPTA® (fluticasone furoate/vilanterol, "FF/VI"), ANORO® ELLIPTA® (umeclidinium bromide/vilanterol, "UMEC/VI") and if approved and commercialized, VI monotherapy. Theravance is also entitled to a 15% economic interest in any future payments made by GSK under agreements entered into prior to the spin-off of Theravance Biopharma, and since assigned to Theravance Respiratory Company, LLC, relating to the combination of UMEC/VI/FF and the Bifunctional Muscarinic Antagonist-Beta2 Agonist (MABA) program, as monotherapy and in combination with other therapeutically active components, such as an inhaled corticosteroid, and any other product or combination of products that may be discovered and developed in the future under these agreements with GSK (other than RELVAR®/BREO® ELLIPTA®, ANORO® ELLIPTA® and VI monotherapy)."

We are adding THRX as a momentum play. This appears to be a short squeeze in progress. Biotech stocks delivered steady consistent gains in the first half of February but then started to see upward momentum fade. THRX did consolidate a little bit the rally started anew this week and today's display of relative strength (+1.7%) also produced a bullish breakout above technical resistance at its simple 200-dma.

THRX has about 60.7 million shares outstanding. Short interest is about 50% of the float. THRX has already rallied from about $10.60 to $19.50 in just the last four and a half weeks. Right now it's hovering just below significant resistance at the $20.00 mark. A breakout here could spark another leg higher.

Regular readers know that we consider biotech stocks more aggressive, higher-risk trades. The right or wrong headline could send shares gapping open up or down in a big way. Stop losses don't always work. THRX should definitely be considered a more aggressive trade. It does have options available but after the recent rally the option spreads are too wide to trade.

Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to launch small bullish positions at $20.10 with an initial stop loss at $17.75.

Trigger @ $20.10 *small positions to limit risk*

- Suggested Positions -

Buy THRX stock @ (trigger)

Intraday Chart:

Daily Chart: