Editor's Note

Despite some rough times during the energy decline the railroad sector is healthy. The need for railcars has not gone away but it did moderate over the last two years. With the OPEC decision to raise prices, the energy sector is going to heal and that means higher demand for railcars.



NEW BULLISH Plays

TRN - Trinity Industries - Company Profile

Trinity Industries, Inc. provides various products and services for the energy, transportation, chemical, and construction sectors in the United States and internationally. Its Rail Group segment offers railcars, including autorack, box, covered hopper, gondola, intermodal, tank, and open hopper cars; and couplers, axles, and other equipment, as well as railcar maintenance services. This segment serves railroads, leasing companies, and industrial shippers of various products. The company's Railcar Leasing and Management Services Group segment leases tank and freight railcars to industrial shippers and railroads; and provides management, maintenance, and administrative services. As of December 31, 2015, this segment had a fleet of 76,765 owned or leased railcars. Its Construction Products Group segment offers highway products, such as guardrail, crash cushions, and other protective barriers; aggregates, including expanded shale and clay, crushed stone, sand and gravel, asphalt rock, and other products, as well as other steel products for infrastructure-related projects; and trench shields and shoring products for the construction industry. This segment offers aggregates to concrete producers; commercial, residential, and highway contractors; manufacturers of masonry products; and state and local municipalities. The company's Energy Equipment Group segment manufactures structural wind towers; utility steel structures for electricity transmission and distribution; storage and distribution containers; cryogenic tanks; and tank heads for pressure and non-pressure vessels. Its Inland Barge Group segment provides deck barges, and open or covered hopper barges to transport grain, coal, and aggregates; and tank barges to transport chemicals and various petroleum products, as well as fiberglass reinforced lift covers for grain barges. Company description from FinViz.com.

Trinity reported earnings of 56 cents that beat estimates for 52 cents. Revenue was $1.11 billion. They guided for full year earnings of $2.10-$2.20 per share. They currently have a trailing PE of only 8.94. Liquidity is currently over $2 billion.

They booked orders for 1,260 railcars in the quarter. Their order backlog is $3.7 billion representing orders for 34,870 railcars. The inland barge segment has an order backlog of $177.3 million. The order backlog for wind towers was over $1.0 billion.

Earnings Jan 25th.

Trinity has a good business. They have received fewer orders because of the energy slowdown but they have plenty of backorders to work through as the energy sector rebounds.

Shares rose nearly $1 today in a weak market and are holding right at 52-week resistance at $28. A breakout here could run to $35.

With a TRN trade at $28.25

Buy TRN shares, initial stop loss $25.85.

Optional: Buy Jan $30 call, currently 60 cents.



BOJA - Bojangles Inc - Company Profile

Comments:

Shares dropped with the market to stop us out. I am adding the position back in with an entry trigger at $18.65.

Original Trade Description: November 28th.

Bojangles', Inc. operates and franchises limited service restaurants in the United States. Its restaurants serve chicken items, made-from-scratch buttermilk biscuits, flavorful fixin's, and iced tea. As of September 25, 2016, the company had 699 system-wide restaurants, including 301 company-operated and 398 franchised restaurants primarily located in the Southeastern United States. Bojangles', Inc. was founded in 1977. Company description from FinViz.com.

In early November they reported earnings of 25 cents that beat estimates for 21 cents. Revenue of $133.2 million missed estimates by only $200,000. They guided for the full year to earnings of 92-95 cents and revenue of $530.5-$533.5 million.

Earnings February 2nd.

Shares spiked $1.50 on the earnings and continued to make solid progress until today's minor bout of profit taking. However, after the bell they announced that certain existing shareholders had filed to sell six million shares in an underwritten public offering. Nearly every broker on the street is participating in the offering so there will not be a problem selling the shares. The company will receive none of the proceeds with everything going to the shareholders.

Shares fell to $18.30 in afterhours after closing at $19.70. Typically, when a company gets hit on a secondary, it rebounds almost immediately to the original price unless the shares are sold significantly under the market, which is not expected in this case.

On Wednesday shares dropped with the market to stop us out. I still believe the company will set a new high once the secondary is priced.

With a BOJA trade at $18.65

Buy BOJA shares, initial stop loss $17.45

No options recommended because of wide spreads.



NEW BEARISH Plays

No New Bearish Plays