Option Investor
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Daily Newsletter, Friday, 12/07/2001

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PremierInvestor.net Newsletter          Weekend Edition 12-07-2001
                                                    section 1 of 3
Copyright  2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

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In section one:

Market Wrap:      Not bad, not bad at all
Play-of-the-Day:  Rising Volume Breakout
Watch List:       INTC, MU, QLGC, MRVL, ADPT, VRTS, QSFT, SRNA,
                  WEBM, EPNY, DCLK, ELNK, GTK, ITRI, PII, IKN, 
                  ITMN, BRL, CTIC, HGSI
Market Sentiment: Jobs Jolt!

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U.S. Market Numbers
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MARKET WRAP  (view in courier font for table alignment)
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       WE 12-07         WE 11-30         WE 11-23         WE 11-16
DOW    10049.46 +197.90  9851.56 -108.15  9959.71 + 92.72  +258.99
Nasdaq  2021.26 + 90.68  1930.58 + 27.39  1903.19 +  4.61  + 70.10
S&P-100  591.78 +  6.98   584.80 -  8.47   593.27 +  5.20  + 10.08
S&P-500 1158.31 + 18.96  1139.45 - 10.89  1150.34 + 11.69  + 18.34
W5000  10745.37 +213.92 10531.45 - 64.95 10596.40 +109.73  +189.46
RUT      481.21 + 20.43   460.78 +  2.36   458.42 +  7.11  + 13.21
TRAN    2628.26 +116.48  2511.78 - 23.12  2534.90 + 37.53  +176.68
VIX       24.89 -  1.25    26.14 +  1.36    24.78 -  2.39  -  1.59
VXN       50.18 +  1.73    48.45 -  2.36    50.81 -  4.23  -  3.55
TRIN       1.18             1.19             0.70             0.99
TICK       +828             +852             +976             +750
Put/Call    .78              .63              .61              .50
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WE= week ended

===========
Market Wrap
===========

Not bad, not bad at all

This week and this day may be one to remember for year's to come.  
I can't begin to tell you just how BULLISH this week's BEARISH 
Treasury bond market action may become.  There's still work to be 
done, but this weeks REJECTION of bonds that began Wednesday and 
continued today bodes well for stock down the road.

Market maker bias

Did you see how shares of 3D-Systems (NASDAQ:TDSC) traded today?  
Last night we talked about "market maker bias."  Folks... I'm 
telling you.  Today's bond market action got the attention of 
just about every NASDAQ market maker there is.  They know there 
was one heck of a lot of selling in the long-end of the bond 
market today.  They know that selling in the bond market is 
beginning to become a cash-generating machine.  They know that 
there are a lot of investors that have been amazed at how 
powerful the recent two-month equity market rally has been.  They 
know there is eagerness among institutional fund managers that 
have been sitting on the sidelines squawking about "valuations" 
that have seen stock surge.

3D Systems Chart - 




By no means should shares of 3D Systems (NASDAQ:TDSC) be a "core 
holding" in an investor/trader's account.  I mentioned the stock 
and trade setup merely to give subscribers some insight into how 
bullish a market environment we may be entering longer-term and 
for you to get a feel for how some NASDAQ stocks can be traded.  
If you get the feeling that things can be "manipulated" a little, 
you're not alone.  As you get some confidence and profits under 
your belt you can play the "manipulation game," but you need to 
be careful.  All I really want to do here (with TDSC) is to try 
and get us all in the mindset of trading some levels and 
understanding what to look for in future trade setups.  We'll 
follow TDSC in future sessions, but I will not concentrate on it.  
Should the stock continue to trade bullish in the coming weeks, 
then I get the feeling that my scenario for a "buy side bias" 
among market makers is still in play.  Today there was no news 
that I could find to explain today's price action in shares of 
TDSC.

For the Day

Today's stock action was that of profit taking.  While early 
morning economic data showed the jobless rate rising to 5.7%, 
which was more than forecasted rise of 5.6%, stocks found the 
news reason enough to lock in some handsome gains found in prior 
sessions trading.  Early on the bond market seemed to "bite" on 
the data and we did see some money flow back into Treasuries.  
Then hours later, the market flushed the longer-term maturities.  

The bond market action (choose to ignore it if you want) is that 
today's jobless data was a short-term blip and perhaps the end to 
a longer-term trend of joblessness.  In recent months, a jobless 
report like today's would have had the bond market surging 
(YIELDS falling).  Instead, only the short-term maturities found 
buyers and hints that money moving there is looking for safety on 
a more near-term basis.  Longer-term maturities got flushed.  Now 
there's some money ready to buy stocks on the pullback.

Weekly performance




The 10-year YIELD unraveled this week and closed today with a 
YIELD of 5.148%.  Should that action continue, look for this 
week's stock gain to grow in the future.

The Semiconductor Index (SOX.X) jumped 10% on the week, but the 
bulk of those gains came Tuesday and Wednesday.  On Thursday and 
again today, the rally in the group stalled, even though there 
was good news today when Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) and Advanced Micro 
Devices (NYSE:AMD) guided analysts higher on their revenue 
numbers.  While last night's upward revenue guidance from Intel 
(INTC) found the stock losing 2.69% of its value today to close 
at $33.24, shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) higher revenue 
guidance found that stock surging 9.84% to $17.85.

Advanced Micro Devices -




Meaningful volume on an upward move is what a bullish trader 
likes to see.  A patient trader will look for a pullback near the 
$15 level for entry and use retracement to understand risk.  Why 
did AMD hold onto gains and show such impressive performance 
compared to Intel (INTC)?  I think "field position" as it relates 
to the retracement range and profit taking on the good news in 
Intel.

Intel Chart - 




Retracement anchored from the same time period as Advanced Micro 
Devices range from the May highs to September lows gives 
subscribers an idea of why Intel's stock didn't perform as well 
as that of AMD's.  Intel trades well above its 200-day moving 
average as well as trading outside of its May-September 
retracement range.  Today's bullishness in AMD and lackluster 
performance on the same type of good news from Intel was most 
likely a result that Intel looks extended compared to AMD.  If 
the bond market will hold where it is or see further selling, I 
like both of these stocks on a pullback, with stops outlined on 
the charts.  A trader willing to take some potential downside 
heat to the $27.50 level is more than welcome to buy the stock at 
current levels.  Longer-term, I think both of these stocks will 
do well, especially if the bond market continues to unravel and 
generate cash.

The Networking Index (NWX.X) had a very bullish week and much 
like the Semiconductor stocks, got most of its gains on Tuesday 
and Wednesday, then stalled a bit on Thursday and again today.

Cisco Systems Chart - 




I'd love to see a good round of profit taking next week in CSCO 
and let the MARKET remove some of the risk in a bullish trade.  
Once again... if bond YIELDS hang where they are or we see 
continued selling in them, then that gives me the confidence to 
pick the stock up near $19.  Keep an eye on the Networking Index 
(NWX.X).  Any move above the $22 level in CSCO coupled with a 
move above the 387 level in the Networking Index (NWX.X) should 
provide some upside action.  The Networking Index should be 
finding support in the $313-$350 range.

Transportation stocks

Here's a group that could be next weeks winner.  If we do see 
some profit taking in technology, this is a place where I think 
equity bulls can find some success.

The bond market action hints that an economic recovery is in the 
making.  If that's the case, then transports should benefit.  Add 
to that the lower fuel prices and there's some catalysts in place 
for an upside move.  On September 10th, the Dow Jones 
Transportation Average (TRAN) closed at 2,676.  Today, the TRAN 
closed at its highest level since its September 10th close and 
the 200-day MA is just above at 2,677.  Look for some bullish 
play selections in the PremierInvestor.net play list.

Brokerage Stocks

Many Wall Street gurus tell us that brokerage stocks perform well 
in the early phase of a bull market.  This weeks performance in 
the Securities Broker/Dealer Index (XBD.X) should have somebody's 
attention.  Today, the XBD.X closed right below its long-term 
downward trend from the September 11, 2000 high of $708.  This 
group has followed bond YIELDS around like a lost dog for the 
past couple of years.  A move above today's high of $524 coupled 
with a higher bond YIELD could see this group trade the $563 
level in a hurry.  Look for a buying opportunity in brokerage 
stocks on any dip near the 465 level.

Downside

Besides longer-term Treasury bonds, some downside was seen in the 
Drug (DRG.X) and Healthcare (HCX.X) sectors.  Not much, but if 
the MARKET is defensive, then these stocks should have performed 
better.

Dow Portfolio "hypothetical" $1,000 investment since 09/10/01




Today's action saw a fairly even distribution of net losses among 
the top 15 and bottom 15 ranked stocks.  This is a sign of normal 
profit taking.  Encouraging is that while fractional, the bottom 
tier didn't give back as much.  In a weak market environment, the 
bottom tier usually outperform to the downside.

For the week, the upper 15 ranked stocks added $363 in "value," 
while the bottom 15 added $297.73 in "value."  The out 
performance of the upper 15 stocks on the weekly basis is sign of 
a bullish market and makes good sense.  In a strong market 
environment, stronger stocks usually show the bulk of gains in an 
advance.

Last week's "bottom 3" remain this weeks bottom three, yet each 
managed to squeak out a gain for the week.  In our "inchworm" 
analogy, the tail end of the inchworm inched higher and will help 
provide an anchoring point in the future.  When the tail of the 
inchworm is moving higher, you get a good feel for direction.

Last Friday we noted that shares of General Electric (NYSE:GE) 
had fallen from our "upper 15" category and had slipped to #19.  
The stock lost 3 slots this week and also traded lower by $1.35 a 
share on the week.

Last Friday we mention that traders might want to keep an eye on 
shares of Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) for a move higher as our Dow 
Industrial analysis and "ranking" showed that big technology 
stock like held the #1, #2, and #3 slots.  Last Friday, our 
thought was that MSFT at a #10 rank could move higher and this 
week the stock jumped an impressive 4 slots higher to #6.  This 
type of continued bullishness should bode well for the Software 
Index (GSO.X).

Individual downside moves are interesting.  I think Du Pont 
(NYSE:DD) may need to firm up near the $42.50 level, but I look 
at this stocks as a "strong stock on pullback" bullish candidate.  
Early this week, the 200-day moving average at $43.36 acted as 
support.  The stock has formed a double top at $45.75, but a 
break above that level could have the stock testing $50.

Philip Morris (NYSE:MO) slipped has made it in our commentary as 
a "downside" stock for the past three Friday's.  Last weekend, 
the stock made its way to our "Non-tech / Active Trader" short-
play list and the stock hasn't disappointed.  As Treasury bond 
YIELDS head higher, look for this one's higher yielding dividend 
to lose its shine and have the stock under further selling 
pressure.  A break in coming days/weeks below the $41.40 level 
will most likely be confirmation to most that the market is not 
all that defensive.  With the 200-day moving average rolling at 
$47.80, this stock is starting to look like Cisco Systems 
(NASDAQ:CSCO) did back in September of last year at $60.

You don't think the MARKET is rolling out of "big MO" and back 
into CSCO do you?  Only if it thinks we're headed for economic 
growth.  If nothing else, Philip Morris (NYSE:MO) is a very good 
stock for traders/investors to keep an eye on.  It was a big 
winner when the broader market indices were declining, but she's 
starting to slip.

Jeff Bailey
Senior Market Technician


=========================
Play-of-the-Day (Bullish)
=========================

NEW BULLISH PLAY
=================

Actrade Fincl. Tech. - ACRT - cls: 30.96 change: +1.46 stop: 28.75

Company Description:
Actrade Financial Technologies, Ltd., is a leading provider of 
electronic payment technologies that deliver financial solutions 
for commercial trade. Administered by the company's subsidiary, 
Actrade Capital, Inc., the company's leading product is the 
Electronic Trade Acceptance Draft (E-TAD(TM)) Program. E-TAD is 
an irrevocable and negotiable electronic payment obligation, 
issued by a buyer for a specific sum, to be paid on a definitive 
date through automatic debiting of a buyer's designated bank 
account. E-TAD technology provides online credit, payment, 
settlement and integration solutions. Through E-TAD, buyers can 
pay for purchases with terms up to six months while suppliers 
receive immediate payment. E-TAD facilitates commercial trade by 
providing a secure, streamlined payment solution for both offline 
and online purchases. Actrade Capital, Inc. has offices in the 
U.S. and Canada, through its subsidiary Actrade Capital Canada, 
Inc. (sources: company press release)

Why We Like It:
It's possible that we have misplaced ACRT in the technology 
section of our newsletter.  Originally, a financial services 
company with its TAD payment service, Actrade has grown into a 
leading electronic financial payment player with its E-TAD 
product.  ACRT announces its most recent earnings in late October 
and the company produced record earnings.  Since that time, 
shares have gradually traded up to resistance at $30.  The last 
couple of weeks have shown how traders have taken profits and 
brought the stock back down to its 200-dma near $26 before buyers 
stepped in to buy the dip.  Now the stock has powered ahead in 
the last few sessions and closed over the $30 resistance level.  
What makes the recent rally even more attractive was the rising 
volume on the last two sessions.  Longer-term trends, like the 
50-dma about to produce a bullish crossover of the 200-dma, are 
also encouraging.  The MACD is about to produce a bullish 
crossover as is the 5-dma over the 15-dma (a short-term indicator 
we like to watch in the office).  Looking ahead we think the 
stock might have enough juice to get to $35.  We would prefer to 
try and buy at a dip to $30 but as evidenced by the late day dip 
to $30.50 on Friday we may not get that chance.  We'd be very 
cautious if shares fell under $30 but aggressive traders may look 
for a bounce at $29.50 if it occurs.  We're going to put our stop 
at $28.75 to begin the play and adjust it higher as ACRT moves in 
our favor.  Confirm stock direction before playing.

Picked on December 7th at $30.96
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date              10/25 (confirmed)






==================================================================
WATCH LIST
==================================================================

The PremierInvestor.net watch list is not designed to be read
as full fledged stock picks.  Rather we would prefer to offer
it as an extra tool in today's investor toolbox.  Think of it
as a radar screen with your own radar operator pointing out
interesting developments, technical patterns or potential plays
that you may or may not have seen on your own.  Due to time
constraints we do glance at the news but rarely do we have 
time to fully read pertinent news stories, due background 
research and other necessary screens that investors should do
before making a decision.  A common exercise is to read the
entry, glance at the sector and other stocks in that industry
and then compare what's happening in the stock to what's 
happening in the broader market indices.  We hope you enjoy
the Watch List and that it proves to be a useful tool for your
own trading success.

STOCKS WORTH WATCHING
---------------------------------

Intel Corp - INTC - close: 33.24 change: -0.92

WHAT TO WATCH: As the king of semiconductor stocks, INTC was a
major factor in the breakout this last week for the SOX.  Yet it
was the SOX that helped lead the tech sector higher for much of
the last couple of months.  To understand how to trade or what to
watch for in this and the following chip stocks we need to pay
attention to the semiconductor index (SOX.X).  Mid-week the SOX
posted to huge rallies to burst through overhead price resistance
at 550 and its 200-dma at 560.  Thursday saw the index trade 
sideways while Friday it actually gave into some profit taking.
The amazing part is the profit taking was relatively mild compared
to the strong gains.  Both the bulls and the bears will be watching
the SOX to see if it breaks down beneath those previous resistance
levels (mentioned above) that should begin to act as support.  
Intel will play a factor in performance of the SOX, the Dow and
the Nasdaq.  The stock had been under extremely heavy resistance
at $33 for months.  A quick look at the point-and-figure chart can
attest to that.  The breakout on Wednesday for INTC was an important
move.  If shares hold above $33 then great and more power to the
bulls.  Yet if the stock does see some profit taking we would look
for a dip to $32 as a potential entry point to go long but keep
your eye on the SOX.




---

Micron Technology - MU - close: 31.75 change: -0.80

WHAT TO WATCH: Micron is another chip stock we would watch closely
for weakness early next week.  If shares can dip back to the $30
level we would look for the beginning of a bounce and strongly
consider new long positions.  The previous three weeks MU saw
strong resistance at the $30 level and a bounce there would be
an extremely attractive entry point for a bullish play.  Both the
100 & 10-dma's are congregating near the $30 level as well.  Of
course you'll want to watch the SOX for this potential play too.
If all goes well, we would target the $35 level or the 200-dma.




---

QLogic Corp - QLGC - close: 52.97 change: -2.52

WHAT TO WATCH: QLGC is a recent successful bullish play for
Premier that was closed with a move of more than four points (8.5%).
The last couple of days have been pure profit taking for the stock
and we are keeping our eyes open for another entry point.  Shares
of QLGC spent the majority of November fighting with resistance
in the $50 area.  Now that the stock has broken through this level
should become new support.  Thus, a bounce at $50, or near $50, 
would be our preferred new entry point for another long play.
If the SOX pulls back to its own 200-dma (560) or price support
(550) then QLGC may dip another 5% to allow us such an entry price.
Be careful to make sure both QLGC and the SOX have actually found
support at these levels and are not just trading lower.  Our 
bullish target for QLGC, given enough time, would be $60.




---

Marvell Technology Group - MRVL - close: 37.00 change: -1.46

WHAT TO WATCH: Yet another chip stock that has enjoyed the recent
gains in the semiconductor sector is MRVL.  The stock spent much 
of November building a base near the $30 level while trying to
tackle resistance at $35.  The strength of the sector has pushed
it through but we believe traders will get another chance to buy
MRVL on the bounce back at $35 again.  We'll be watching for the
$2.00 dip to see if buyers will indeed step in and support the
stock.  If they don't, we might get a better price at $33 but 
if this occurs we would definitely wait for confirmation that 
the up trend is still intact.




---

Adaptec Inc - ADPT - close: 16.25 change: +0.29

WHAT TO WATCH: Shareholders in ADPT can enjoy (or suffer) the
best and worst in both the chip sector (SOX) and the disk drive
sector (DDX).  ADPT makes chips and cards specifically designed
for hard drives.  Their stock price has enjoyed the tech rally
these last two months and traders appear to switch back and 
forth from taking cues to buy and sell from the SOX.X and the
DDX.X.  This last week, specifically, the last four days have
produced a huge surge higher.  This time the move can be 
contributed to the most recent breakout in the DDX.X index.  
Readers glancing at a chart of the disk drive index can see
that the group broke out from a bullish wedge through resistance
at the 100 level.  A dip back to 100 in the DDX.X might offer
traders a chance to buy ADPT on a dip back to $15.00.  Even 
though the MACD has just produced another bullish crossover we
would wait for some kind of pull back before chasing the stock
higher.  




---

VERITAS Software - VRTS - close: 41.46 change: -1.23

WHAT TO WATCH: Investors would be hard pressed to discuss the
technology rally without considering the software sector.  The
GSO.X software index managed a strong rally mid-week straight
to its 200-dma.  Thursday was spent trading sideways and Friday
produced some end of the week profit taking.  Shares of VRTS
traded in similar fashion and we feel they could offer traders
an attractive entry point for new long plays if they pull back
to support early next week.  We will be watching for VRTS to
dip back to the $40 or $39.50 level and begin to bounce higher
again.  From this level we would consider going long with a
relatively tight stop and aim for a rally back towards the 
$45 or $47.50 area (currently the 200-dma).  Keep an eye on 
the GSO.X for support near 180, 175 or 170.




---

Quest Software - QSFT - close: 25.17 change: -1.78

WHAT TO WATCH: Shares of QSFT have been range bound between
$24 and $20 through the middle of November and towards the
end of the month began to tackle resistance at its 200-dma.
Now that shares have broken through this level we will be
watching for profit taking early next week to bring QSFT back
to its 200-dma and its 10-dma, which can both be found near
$24.  Depending on our entry we would probably consider stops
between $22 and $23.




---

SERENA Software - SRNA - close: 25.42 change: -0.45

WHAT TO WATCH: SRNA is another software stock that has rewarded
investors with a very strong upward trend that has rarely traded
below its 10-dma in the last two months.  Shares have recently
broken through resistance at $25.00.  This level could hold as
new support but if the sector and SRNA see profit taking next
week we would look for new entry points between $24.50 and $23.75.
A bounce at these levels could set up for a move towards $30
over the next few weeks.




---

WebMethods Inc - WEBM - close: 17.10 change: -0.90

WHAT TO WATCH: Navigating the line between software company and
Internet company, WEBM has produced a tremendous rebound during
the last month.  The stock seems to be a little volatile so
traders should expect some price swings but the current trend 
appears strong and WEBM might make it to its 200-dma, near $20 
soon.  We would be watching for the stock to dip towards the $16
level as a potential entry point for new long plays.  Don't forget
to play with a stop!




---

E.piphany Inc - EPNY - close: 8.98 change: -0.01

WHAT TO WATCH: Some how shares of EPNY only managed to lose one
cent when most technology stocks gave into Friday profit taking
after the week's strong gains.  This could be a show of strength
for the Internet stock but we'd still prefer to try and jump
in on a bounce.  As an Internet company, shares probably qualify
as more "high risk" than some investors would prefer.  A quick
glance at the chart shows that shares have been range bound between
$7 and $8 for much of November and this last week produced a 
strong rally through the top of the channel.  If given the chance 
we will be watching for potential entry points between $8 and $9.
EPNY's first level of resistance will be its 200-dma at 9.35.




---

DoubleClick Inc - DCLK - close: 11.07 change: -0.06

WHAT TO WATCH: DCLK is another Internet stock that has managed to
hold on to most of its gains while other tech sectors have given into
profit taking heading into the weekend.  The low of Friday was a 
clear bounce off its 200-dma (10.62).  The question is whether this
level will hold up if we see the markets consolidate some more
next week.  We would probably look for potential new positions
at dips to 10.50 (or 10.60).  There is also support at $10 should
the sector slip next week.  DCLK will probably find resistance at
$12 and again at $14.




---

EarthLink, Inc - ELNK - close: 13.80 change: -0.85

WHAT TO WATCH: The Internet Service Provider, ELNK, has been 
left behind in the technology and Internet rally this last
month.  It is unclear whether investors are concerned that 
the same troubles that brought Excite@Home to ruin may be
quietly plaguing ELNK or whether the depressed stock price
is a result of ELNK's purchase of bankrupt Omnisky.  The 200-dma
is nearing 13.60, only 20 cents from current levels.  We would
watch ELNK for a breakdown below its 200-dma for a possible
short play.  We don't have a target but shares could fall to
$11 or lower.




---

Gtech Holdings Corp - GTK - close: 46.61 change: -0.47

WHAT TO WATCH: GTK is an operator of computerized lottery systems.
We're unclear how they derive their income (and the watch list
is only for brief appraisals of the stock price).  What we do 
know is that the company is expected to announce earnings on 
Monday, Dec. 10th.  The recent run could be in anticipation of
a strong earnings report or it could be due to some other factor.
Shares have been very strong from Sept. 21st, 2001.  If the
earnings report is positive and investors and analysts respond
well to it, we would look for a potential entry at a dip to $45.
Follow with a relatively tight stop.  Wait for earnings to come
first and more conservative traders may want to give the stock
a couple of days to let any temporary excitement abate.




---

Itron Inc - ITRI - close: 32.00 change: -1.70

WHAT TO WATCH: Itron is a communications equipment company 
that works with hardware and software for water and utility 
companies.  Shares have a very strong longer-term up trend
and the stock recently broke out above month-long resistance
at $30.  You've probably guessed it but we would watch for a
pull back towards $30 as a potential entry point for a new
long play.  The breakout came on very strong volume while the
profit taking was on very low volume.




---

Polaris Industries - PII - close: 54.84 change: +0.85

WHAT TO WATCH: Maybe it's the weather.  Shares of Polaris,
the maker of snowmobiles and other recreational vehicles
have been doing very well.  PII recently broke out above 
very long-term resistance of 51.50 in mid-November.  Soon
thereafter the stock traded to 55.70.  Profit taking was
quick to follow and traders brought it back to $50 before
buying the dip.  Now the stock has slowly built its way 
back to resistance near $55.  An upside breakout looks
imminent but we would wait for confirmation.




---

Ikon Office Solutions - IKN - close: 11.40 change: +0.15

WHAT TO WATCH: Shares of IKN have been on quite a tear recently.
Regular readers of Premier know that we're bullish on the 
sector and recently did well with a long play on ODP.  We'd
like to move into IKN but would prefer an entry point near
the $10.50 level.  The stock is short-term overbought so we
are waiting for the overdue profit taking to hit before we 
commit any capital.




---

InterMune Inc - ITMN - close: 51.15 change: +1.81

WHAT TO WATCH: The drug sector hasn't been the hottest lately
and even the biotech sector is looking questionable.  Despite
these factors, shares of ITMN have done very well and
broken through resistance at $47.50.  Shares closed strongly
over the $50 level.  There appears to be potential resistance
near $55 and thus we'd rather try and grab an entry point
closer to $50 or even a dip back to $47.50 but make sure it's
bouncing back.  We would not expect any help from the DRG.X
as traders will probably rotate out of defensive issues if
the tech sector remains hot.




---

Barr Labs Inc - BRL - close: 77.14 change: +2.63

WHAT TO WATCH: It is has been rather uncommon lately that a 
company will raise earnings guidance for 2002.  BRL did just
that on Thursday this last week and shares have surged higher
ignoring weakness in the sector.  The stock has spent the last
couple of weeks range bound between $70 and $75.  Now shares
have broken through resistance at $75 and closed above its
50-dma.  Overhead hurdles for the bulls are $80, $85 and $90.
Fortunately for shareholders, BRL has a tendency to trade to
$90 before traders decide to take profits and bears really
begin to lean on it.  Buyers will be hoping for a repeat 
performance.  




---

Cell Therapeutics - CTIC - close: 26.21 change: -2.00

WHAT TO WATCH: Shares of CTIC reflect more closely with the
DRG.X drug index but recent moves may have it leading to the
downside.  We didn't notice any new headlines related to Friday's
loss but the stock is approaching its 200-dma.  A close below
its 200-dma or the $25.00 could signal a new bearish trend
that might take the stock price to $21 or $20.




---

Human Genome Sciences Inc - HGSI - close: 36.09 change: -3.92

WHAT TO WATCH: This biotech stock was a definite loss leader
for the group on Friday with a 9.8% drop.  The move came on
news that their trials for a new drug repifermin produced 
disappointing results.  The stock had already been showing
weakness the prior week and a half and Friday's move confirmed
the downtrend.  HGSI saw huge volume of 7.4 million shares on
Friday.  The next level of support for the stock may be as
low as $28 to $30.







================
Market Sentiment
================

Jobs Jolt!
by Russ Moore

Investors were hoping for signs of stabilization on the 
employment front, especially after yesterday’s improved weekly 
claims data. Hope turned to fear with the unveiling of an 
unemployment rate at 5.7 percent with 331,000 jobs lost, a level 
last seen in August of 95’.

The disappointing number gave investors an excuse to take some 
profits, giving Wall Street a negative close to a positive week. 
The DOW was off -0.5 percent while the NASDAQ dropped -1.6 
percent and the NDX -2.6 percent. Volume was light with 716 
million shares changing hands on the big board and 1.3 billion 
shares moving on the tech index. Losers held the edge with a 
16/13 victory on the NYSE and 18/15 triumph on the NASDAQ.

Despite the generally negative tone, airline, oil, 
transportation, utility and natural gas sectors were able to post 
green arrows.

The weak employment numbers were not enough to help the bond 
market with the yield on the 30yr bond reaching a one-year high. 
The move in treasuries was somewhat puzzling considering the 
increased likelihood of another Fed rate-cut on Tuesday and a 
continuing stream of mixed economic data. 

On a positive note, the Michigan Sentiment number increased to 
85.8 from 83.9. 

Yes, today’s job number has to be viewed as a chink in the bull’s 
armor, but make no mistake, the bull’s have momentum going for 
them and it’ll take a lot more than one negative to derail this 
rally.


VIX 
Friday 12/07 close: 24.89


VXN
Friday 12/07 close: 50.18


30-yr Bonds
Friday 12/07 close: 5.60


Total Put/Call Ratio: .78


Equity Option Put/Call Ratio: .69


Index Option Put/Call Ratio:  1.55


===

NASDAQ 100 Index (NDX/QQQ)
52-Week High: 103.51
52-Week Low:   28.19
Current close: 41.73

Volume/Open Interest
Maximum calls: 40/144,472
Maximum puts : 40/128,860

Moving Averages
 10 DMA 40
 20 DMA 39
 50 DMA 36
200 DMA 40

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 51.95 (05/22/01)
Relative Low:  27.00 (09/21/01)
38% 36.60
50% 39.57
62% 42.59

===

S&P 100 Index (OEX)
52-Week High:  834.93
52-Week Low:   491.70
Current close: 591.77

Volume/Open Interest
Maximum calls: 640/5,636
Maximum puts : 500/8,000
Moving Averages
 10 DMA  588
 20 DMA  588
 50 DMA  568
200 DMA  604

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 680.03 (05/22/01)
Relative Low:  480.07 (09/21/01)
38% 556.14
50% 579.65
62% 603.55

===

S&P 500 (SPX)
52-Week High:  1530.01
52-Week Low:    965.80
Current close: 1158.28

Volume / Open Interest
Maximum calls: 1150/50,917
Maximum puts : 1050/41,864

Moving Averages
 10 DMA 1148
 20 DMA 1143
 50 DMA 1105
200 DMA 1174

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 1315.93 (05/22/01)
Relative Low:   944.75 (09/21/01)
38% 1086.75
50% 1130.62
62% 1175.23

==

DJIA (INDU)
52-Week High:  11,518.83
52-Week Low:    8,235.81
Current close: 10,049.46

Volume / Open Interest
Maximum Calls: 98/25,661
Maximum Puts   90/47,852

Moving Averages:
 10 DMA  9,916
 20 DMA  9,865
 50 DMA  9,500
200 DMA 10,135

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 11,350.05 (05/22/01)
Relative Low    8,062.34 (05/21/01)
38%  9,308.92
50%  9,693.99
62% 10,085.60

==

Biotech Index (BTK)
52-Week High:  811.61
52-Week Low:   383.28
Current close: 601.07

Volume / Open Interest
Maximum Calls: 620/  861
Maximum Puts:  540/1,154

Moving Averages
 10 DMA 603
 20 DMA 592
 50 DMA 544
200 DMA 537

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 811.61 (09/25/00)
Relative Low:  383.28 (03/22/01)
38% 546.22
50% 596.57
62% 646.71

==

Semiconductor Index (SOX)
52-Week High: 1280.84
52-Week Low:   362.00
Current close: 571.72

Volume / Open Interest
Maximum Calls: 520/ 577
Maximum Puts:  470/1250

Moving Averages
 10 DMA 542
 20 DMA 531
 50 DMA 479
200 DMA 559

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 710.78 (05/22/01)
Relative Low:  343.93 (09/27/01)
38% 484.50
50% 527.18
62% 570.57

==

Pharmaceutical Index (DRG)
52-Week High:  455.28
52-Week Low:   339.49
Current close: 395.48

Volume / Open Interest
Maximum Calls: 420/406
Maximum Puts:  360/330

Moving Averages
 10 DMA 397
 20 DMA 395
 50 DMA 394
200 DMA 392

Fibanocci Retracements
Relative High: 448.43 (12/29/00)
Relative Low:  339.49 (03/22/01)
38% 382.22
50% 395.69
62% 409.03

*****

CBOT Commitment Of Traders Report: Friday, 12/07. 
Weekly COT report discloses positions held by small specs
and commercial traders of index futures contracts on the 
Chicago Board Of Trade. 

Small specs are the general trading public with commercials being 
financial institutions. Commercials are historically on the 
correct side of future trend changes while small specs are not. 
Extreme divergence between each signals a possible market turn in 
favor of the commercial trader’s direction.   

S&P 500
Commercials   Long      Short      Net     %Change 
11/20/01     369,784   415,822   (46,038)   13.6%
11/27/01     371,336   421,405   (50,069)    8.7%
12/04/01     360,315   420,919   (60,604)   21.0%

Most bearish reading of the year: (111,956) - 3/6/01
Most bullish reading of the year: (41,144)  - 5/1/01

Small Traders   Long      Short      Net      %Change
11/20/01       140,507    86,861    53,646     9.8%
11/27/01       151,317    92,807    58,510     9.1%
12/04/01       159,336    86,534    72,802    24.4%

Most bearish reading of the year:  36,513 - 5/01/01
Most bullish reading of the year:  91,122 - 3/06/01

NASDAQ-100
Commercials   Long      Short      Net     %Change 
11/20/01      38,042    46,446    (8,404)  (20.0%)
11/27/01      37,259    48,315   (11,056)   31.5%
12/04/01      42,191    51,426    (9,235)  (16.5%)

Most bearish reading of the year: (15,521) - 3/13/01
Most bullish reading of the year:  (1,825) - 1/02/01

Small Traders  Long      Short      Net      %Change
11/20/01       12,933     8,230    4,703      (7.1%)
11/27/01       12,540     8,359    4,181     (11.1%)
12/04/01       11,808     8,311    3,497     (16.4%)

Most bearish reading of the year:  (1,028) - 1/02/01
Most bullish reading of the year:   8,460  - 3/13/01

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL
Commercials   Long      Short      Net     %Change 
11/20/01      25,033    11,525   13,508     (3.1%)
11/27/01      24,243    11,496   12,747     (5.6%)
12/04/01      22,703    10,739   10,739    (15.7%)

Most bearish reading of the year: (8,322) - 1/16/01
Most bullish reading of the year:  8,925  - 5/22/01

Small Traders  Long      Short      Net      %Change
11/20/01       3,609    10,565    (6,956)    (13.3%)
11/27/01       4,228    10,630    (6,402)     (8.0%)
12/04/01       3,677     9,799    (6,122)     (4.4%)
 
Most bearish reading of the year:  (7,572) - 5/08/01
Most bullish reading of the year:   1,909  - 1/16/01


                    Small Specs               Commercials
S&P 500         (Current)  (Previous)     (Current) (Previous)
Open Interest
Net Value        +72,336     +58,510        -60,604     -50,069

Total Open
Interest %       (+29.61%)  (+23.97%)      (-7.76%)   (-6.32%)
                 net-long   net-long       net-short  net-short


                     Small Specs             Commercials
DJIA futures     (Current) (Previous)    (Current) (Previous)
Open Interest
Net Value          -6,122     -4,228          +11,964    12,747
Total Open
interest %       (-45.43%)    (-43.09%)      (+35.78%)  (+35.67)
                 net-short   net-short     net-long    net-long


                     Small Spec              Commercials
NASDAQ 100      (Current) (Previous)    (Current) (Previous)
Open Interest
Net Value         +3,497      +4,181         -9,235    -11,056

Total Open
Interest %        (+17.38%)   (+20.01%)     (-9.86%) (-12.92%)
                 net-long   net-long      net-short net-short


What COT Data Tells Us
----------------------
Indices:.It appears the Commercial players are not ready to join 
the bull’s party just yet. For the third consecutive week we’ve 
seen the Commercials add to their net-short positions (bearish). 
More importantly, the Small Specs gobbled up more long contracts 
thereby increasing the divergence between Commercial and Small 
Spec players.

Gold: Commercials engaged in a modest reversal as they flipped 
from net-long to net-short. Current holdings do not indicate a 
directional bias.

11/06 35,435 contracts net-short
11/13 23,637 contracts net-short
11/20  2,489 contracts net-short
11/27  1,738 contracts net-long
12/04  2,534 contracts net-short

Data compiled as of Tuesday 12/04 by the CFTC.




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PremierInvestor.net Newsletter          Weekend Edition 12-07-2001
                                                    section 2 of 3
Copyright  2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

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In section two:

Net Bulls
 >New Long-term Play:    EMC
  New Bullish Plays:     ACRT, XMSR
  Bullish Play Updates:  EXEL, NXTL
  Bearish Play Updates:  WWCA
  Long-term Play Update: ERICY

Stock Bottom / Active Trader
  New Bullish Plays:     CAL
  Bullish Play Updates:  IRM
  Bearish Play Updates:  MO
  Closed Bullish Plays:  SEE
  Closed Long-term Play: ODP

High Risk/Reward
  New Bullish Plays:     MTSN
  Bullish Play Updates:  T, TDSC

Split Trader
  - none -


==================================================================
Net Bulls (NB) Tech Stock section
==================================================================

===============================
New Long-Term Tech Bullish Play
===============================

EMC Corp - EMC - close: 17.17 change: -0.81 stop: 15.84

Company Description
EMC Corporation is the world leader in information storage 
systems, software, networks and services, providing the 
information infrastructure for a connected world. 
(source: company press release)

Why We Like It:
We like EMC as a long-term tech play with a three to four month 
time horizon to achieve our goal.  The stock has really been beat 
to death these last 15 months having fallen from the $100 level 
to $10 this last September and October.  The good news is the 
worst seems to be behind it.  EMC's sales suffered at the hands 
of stiff competition from the likes of IBM but EMC remains the 
number one player in the data-storage market.  Corporate 
America's flight from IT spending this last year, coupled with 
stiff competition, brought EMC's 3Q net loss to almost $1 
billion.  It's not every day we see a $17 stock with a P/E of 350 
but then valuations are never pretty at the end of a bear market.

EMC management recently re-divided the company into three units 
as software sales now account for almost 20% of total sales and 
they'd like to raise that number to 30% in the next two years.  
Market sentiment is an important factor in EMC's future.  Readers 
have probably heard multiple commentaries on this "tech rebound" 
and "economic recovery", etc.  If Wall Street truly is buying 
tech for an economic rebound in 2002 and corporate IT spending 
begins to pick up again then EMC's sales should return as well.  
Considering that the stock market is an anticipatory machine, it 
will begin to discount next year's recovery now and it may have 
already begun.

A quick glance at EMC's chart will show that the share price has 
begun a new bullish trend and has re-conquered its 50-dma and 
100-dma.  The new trend seems to be sticking to a narrow 
ascending channel and Friday's close put it near the bottom edge 
of this channel.  Thus, we're choosing EMC now due to this entry 
point near "support".  We also looked at the point-and-figure 
chart for EMC because we're aiming for a longer-term price 
objective.  The p-n-f chart shows EMC has a bullish price 
objective of $29.00.  This just happens to coincide with the 
descending bearish trend line on the p-n-f chart.  We would 
encourage readers to check out the point-and-figure chart 
themselves.  However, we are not aiming for $29.00 due to heavy 
resistance.  A quick glance back at the daily chart shows the 
200-dma is just above the $25.00 level.  This alone could be 
sturdy resistance but there is also the matter of the large gap 
down in early July from $30 to $24.  Instead we are going to 
target $23.50 as our exit point.  Let someone else fight for the 
last $1.00 between round number resistance at $25 and the bottom 
of the window (where shares opened back in July when it gapped 
down to $24.00).  

One might think that EMC looks ripe for the picking.  We 
definitely agree that it has a lot of potential but traders need 
to protect the capital and wisely obey their stop losses.  There 
are at least two factors that could seriously weigh on EMC's 
advance. Number one, December usually sees a lot of tax loss 
selling and given the steep decline in shares of EMC this year, 
it is a strong candidate to feel this sort of pressure.  
Hopefully, the bullish sentiment for next year's recovery can 
inspire enough buyers to absorb any tax loss selling.  Number 
two, the Nasdaq has made an incredible run and could easily 
produce a strong multi-day pull back due to profit taking (and/or 
tax loss selling).  Even though EMC is traded on the NYSE it is a 
tech stock and will feel the pressure if investors begin to sell 
technology.  Again, bulls can hope that the typical year-end 
Christmas rally comes early and keeps stocks like EMC a float.  
Once we make it to January, investors should be more forgiving 
and willing to place bets that EMC will execute on its new sales 
tactics and new revenue streams during the expected economic 
recovery (in 2002).  

So where do you put your stop?  Placing your stop is a personal 
decision based on your risk tolerance.  Since we're aiming for 
$23.50 or a +30% gain in the stock price some investors might be 
willing to risk 15% or place their stop near $14.60.  That might 
make sense for you, as the $15.00 level should act as strong 
support.  However, that seems like a lot of risk when we're 
trying to enter the play with it is already near the bottom edge 
of its ascending channel.  If EMC breaks down from here, we want 
out and can re-consider a new position later.  We've chosen to 
place our stop at $15.84 after carefully considering both the 
daily chart and the point-and-figure chart.  More conservative 
traders could probably squeeze theirs even tighter with a stop at 
$15.98.  We are using the low on Monday, Dec. 3rd as support.
A couple of more notes for entry points are worth mentioning.  
More aggressive traders might look for further weakness this week 
and hop in on a bounce near $16.50 to $16.75.  The key word in 
this strategy is "bounce" as in wait for shares to start trading 
higher again.  More conservative players who prefer to see 
confirmation can wait for EMC to close above current resistance 
near $18.25 to $18.30.

Picked on December 7th at $17.17
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date              10/17 (confirmed)





===============
NB New Plays
===============

  -----------------
  New Bullish Plays
  -----------------

Actrade Fincl. Tech. - ACRT - cls: 30.96 change: +1.46 stop: 28.75

Company Description:
Actrade Financial Technologies, Ltd., is a leading provider of 
electronic payment technologies that deliver financial solutions 
for commercial trade. Administered by the company's subsidiary, 
Actrade Capital, Inc., the company's leading product is the 
Electronic Trade Acceptance Draft (E-TAD(TM)) Program. E-TAD is 
an irrevocable and negotiable electronic payment obligation, 
issued by a buyer for a specific sum, to be paid on a definitive 
date through automatic debiting of a buyer's designated bank 
account. E-TAD technology provides online credit, payment, 
settlement and integration solutions. Through E-TAD, buyers can 
pay for purchases with terms up to six months while suppliers 
receive immediate payment. E-TAD facilitates commercial trade by 
providing a secure, streamlined payment solution for both offline 
and online purchases. Actrade Capital, Inc. has offices in the 
U.S. and Canada, through its subsidiary Actrade Capital Canada, 
Inc. (sources: company press release)

Why We Like It:
It's possible that we have misplaced ACRT in the technology 
section of our newsletter.  Originally, a financial services 
company with its TAD payment service, Actrade has grown into a 
leading electronic financial payment player with its E-TAD 
product.  ACRT announces its most recent earnings in late October 
and the company produced record earnings.  Since that time, 
shares have gradually traded up to resistance at $30.  The last 
couple of weeks have shown how traders have taken profits and 
brought the stock back down to its 200-dma near $26 before buyers 
stepped in to buy the dip.  Now the stock has powered ahead in 
the last few sessions and closed over the $30 resistance level.  
What makes the recent rally even more attractive was the rising 
volume on the last two sessions.  Longer-term trends, like the 
50-dma about to produce a bullish crossover of the 200-dma, are 
also encouraging.  The MACD is about to produce a bullish 
crossover as is the 5-dma over the 15-dma (a short-term indicator 
we like to watch in the office).  Looking ahead we think the 
stock might have enough juice to get to $35.  We would prefer to 
try and buy at a dip to $30 but as evidenced by the late day dip 
to $30.50 on Friday we may not get that chance.  We'd be very 
cautious if shares fell under $30 but aggressive traders may look 
for a bounce at $29.50 if it occurs.  We're going to put our stop 
at $28.75 to begin the play and adjust it higher as ACRT moves in 
our favor.  Confirm stock direction before playing.

Picked on December 7th at $30.96
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date              10/25 (confirmed)




---

XM Satellite Radio - XMSR - close: 12.94 chg: +0.91 stop: 11.49

Company Description:
XM will transform radio, an industry that has seen little 
technological change since FM, almost 40 years ago. XM is 
offering its 100 channels of digital-quality, coast-to-coast 
sound for $9.99 a month. Leading manufacturers including Sony, 
Alpine and Pioneer are offering a broad array of XM radios 
including universal models that will easily enable any existing 
car stereo system to receive XM service (Sony Plug-n-Play, 
Pioneer Universal Receiver), and new AM/FM/XM systems offering 
many other great features. In addition, factory-installed Delphi-
Delco systems will be available in Cadillac DeVille and Seville 
models beginning in November 2001 expanding to more than 20 GM 
models next year.  XM's strategic investors include America's 
leading car, radio and satellite TV companies -- General Motors, 
American Honda Motor Co. Inc., Clear Channel Communications and 
DIRECTV. XM has a distribution agreement with General Motors to 
integrate XM radios into its vehicles commencing in 2001. 
(sources: company press release)

Why We Like It:
You've probably seen their commercials and didn't know it.  Or 
maybe you have noticed their ads but didn't know where to get 
one.  XM Satellite Radio just launched their service this 
Thursday, Dec. 6th, 2001.  With 100 channels of digital quality 
music they probably have a product people will buy.  If the 
awards XMSR has received for their product is any indication then 
they should benefit from a booming business.  According to XMSR, 
their XM radio and service was named an "Invention of the Year" 
by Time, won Popular Sciences "Best of What's New" for 2001 in 
addition to several other accolades.  What I think has got 
analysts applauding is XMSR's launch that beat out the company's 
only rival, Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI).  XMSR claims 
they will have over 100,000 XM radios on the shelves for this 
Christmas season.  One analyst from DB Alex Brown recently 
started the company with a "buy" and estimates that XMSR will 
sign up more then 375K subscribers for their $9.99 a month 
service.  

What draws us to the stock is the strong bullish wedge forming 
under resistance at $13.00 and the huge increase in volume both 
before and after the launch of their service.  There are a couple 
of ways traders can play this one.  More aggressive traders could 
jump in now or look for a possible dip back to $12.50 or $12.00, 
which is certainly a possibility.  However, we feel that a 
breakout is imminent but instead of guessing when it will occur 
we're going to use a trigger point to tell us when to go long.  
On Wednesday, XMSR traded to $13.05 but closed at $12.78.  We're 
going to set our trigger to go long at $13.06, only twelve cents 
away.  Once we are triggered we'll start the play with a stop at 
$11.49.  More conservative traders may be able to get away with 
stops closer to 11.90 but you'll need to make that judgement call 
based on the current market environment.  By waiting for the 
stock to trade at our trigger point we can avoid any stress if 
shares of XMSR continue to wander under the $13.00 level for a 
few more days.  A bullish wedge has an upside bias for a breakout 
but they are not guaranteed.  We would consider targets between 
$14.65 and $15.00 (12% to 15%) but we're willing to wait and see 
what happens after shares trade through resistance.  Ultimate 
resistance lies near $17.00, more than 30% away.

Picked on December 7th at $ x.xx <-- see trigger point
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date               N/A  






===============
NB Play Updates
===============

  --------------------
  Bullish Play Updates
  --------------------

Exelixis - EXEL - close: 15.76 change: +0.03 stop: 15.24

EXEL tested support at the 10-dma of 15.44 today, but buyers 
stepped back in to push the stock slightly higher on the day.  
Resistance at 16.00 is proving to be formidable but if shares can 
pierce the level, we like the stock’s chances for a continued 
move higher.  The biotech sector posted an overall loss today but 
remained above the 600 level.  The index needs to find strength 
next week or jeopardize its current bullish up trend.  A close 
below the 600 level would make us cautious and a close below 580 
would make us short-term bearish.  Traders should note that 
today's low in EXEL ($15.35) was the same level of support shares 
found on Monday.  We would still wait for the breakout over $16 
before considering new positions.

Picked on December 1st at 15.85
Loss since picked:        -0.09
Earnings Date             11/13 (confirmed)




---

Nextel Comm - NXTL - close: 11.96 change: -0.05 stop: 11.38

The telecom sector succumbed to some profit taking on Friday but 
the minor decline in NXTL suggests that the stock may have found 
some strength near the $11.80 level.  Perhaps a breather was in 
order after the impressive gains posted earlier in the week.  We 
would have preferred a close above 12.00 to reinforce buying 
conviction but the sideways trading over the last three days 
suggests that investors simply needed to digest the earlier 
gains.  As we mentioned in Thursday's update, we'd prefer to see 
the stock stay above $12.00 but more aggressive traders may want 
to look for entry points if shares bounce at the 11.80 level 
again.  If the Nasdaq sees more profit taking next week, NXTL 
could fall to 11.50.   

Picked on December 4th at 11.88
Gain since picked:        +0.08
Earnings Date             01/23 (unconfirmed)





  --------------------
  Bearish Play Updates
  --------------------

Western Wireless - WWCA - cls: 23.68 chg: +0.06 stop: 24.51 *new*

The slow bleeding for WWCA has not stopped even though shares of 
the wireless venture posted a six-cent gain on Friday.  The last 
couple of days have produced lower highs from Wednesday's trading 
in addition to lower lows.  Traders are still using the 10-dma as 
overhead resistance and thus we would not expect WWCA to trade 
above $24.40.  If it does we will plan to be stopped out at our 
new stop of $24.51.  We plan to close the play for a profit the 
moment WWCA trades to $20.00 but we will remain flexible on exit 
points as long as the stock continues to move in our favor.

Picked on November 10th at $26.40
Gain since picked:          +2.72
Earnings Date               11/07 (confirmed)





  ---------------------
  Long-Term Play Update (bullish)
  ---------------------

LM Ericsson Telephone Co. - ERICY - cls: 5.96 chg: -0.10 stop: 5.39

Our telecom play from early November is moving along nicely.  
After picking ERICY at $4.86 we are currently up over 22%.  We 
felt the need to raise our stop while also discussing potential 
new entry points for new positions.  Traders will want to 
remember that our target exit price was $7.00, which could come 
sooner than previously expected.  Before we discuss trading 
details we wanted to share some positive news for ERICY.   
Cingular Wireless, the 2nd largest U.S. wireless operator, 
announced in October that it would upgrade its entire network to 
a European-based system that delivers Internet data faster than 
standard mobile networks (Reuters).  As of a few days ago, 
analysts have estimated that Cingular's makeover will run about 
$4 billion and ERICY said it would claim a $2 billion-sized slice 
of the Cingular's deal.  In addition to the Cingular news, ERICY 
told analysts that they are excited about potential growth 
opportunities in India.  Now, back to trading the stock.  Shares 
have maintained their upward trend in this bullish market 
environment and have reclaimed its 200-dma.  This 200-dma (at 
5.44) should act as support.  We also see the 15-dma (5.55) 
acting as support and a dip to either could make great buying 
opportunities for new bullish positions.  Our new stop at 5.39 
would significantly reduce exposure at either entry.  If ERICY 
trades to $7.00 we'll close the play for a profit.

Picked on November 9th at $ 4.86
Gain since picked:         +1.10
Earnings Date              10/26 (confirmed)






==================================================================
Stock Bottom / Active Trader (AT) section
==================================================================

===============
AT New Plays
===============

  ----------------
  New Bullish Play
  ----------------

Continental Airlines - CAL - cls: 25.77 chg: +1.60 stop: 23.75

Company Description:
Continental Airlines is the fifth largest airline in the U.S., 
offering more than 1,900 departures daily to 122 domestic and 89 
international destinations. Operating hubs in Newark, Houston, 
Cleveland and Guam, Continental serves more international cities 
than any other U.S. carrier, including extensive service 
throughout the Americas, Europe and Asia. (source: company press 
release) 

Why We Like It:
It would appear that the airline industry is slowly gaining 
altitude again.  The last four weeks have been very positive for 
many of the major players and CAL is leading the charge.  There 
are multiple factors in the rebound.  One that falls straight to 
the bottom line is the huge decrease in the price of oil.  Oil 
remains under $20 a barrel and even a 10% increase would keep 
crude near the bottom range of where OPEC would like to see it. 
The airline industry is also climbing due to positive comments 
seen from increased traffic over October's numbers.  CAL recently 
released their November traffic numbers and there was much 
improvement in the 2nd half of the month over the 1st.  Demand 
seems to be strengthening as we move into the holiday travel 
season and stocks have plenty of upside between current levels 
and pre-9-11 prices.  The XAL.X airline index is building a 
bullish wedge of its own and if it breaks out above 93, bulls 
might push it to 100.  Shares of CAL have already broken out of 
their own bullish wedge on Friday and have closed over resistance 
at $25.00.  We would look for a pull back on Monday to $25.00 as 
the preferred entry point to go long.  We're going to start the 
play with a stop at $23.75 but will adjust it higher once the 
stock re-established support or moves higher in our favor.  Long-
term traders can look to the 200-dma near $40 (bear in mind that 
could take a LONG time).  We are going to aim for a move to $30 
(and potentially higher).  Buying a bounce at $25.00 for a rally 
up to $30.00 looks like the best bet.

Picked on December 7th at $25.77
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date              10/31 (confirmed)






===============
AT Play Updates
===============

  --------------------
  Bullish Play Updates
  --------------------

Iron Mountain  - IRM - close: 45.63 change: +0.05 stop: 43.25

Our storage play edged slightly higher today, though volume in 
the stock was particularly anemic.  We’re encouraged by the fact 
that shares held on to the gains of the week after breaking above 
the quadruple top that we highlighted yesterday.  We will 
probably adjust our stop higher as soon as IRM can close above 
the $46 level.  Yesterday we mentioned how traders tend to use 
even numbers as short-term support and resistance for the share 
price (in addition to round number psychological resistance like 
$45.00).  Thus, once shares close above $46 we'll be looking for 
the stock to trade to $48 and then to $50.

Picked on December 6th at $ 45.58
Gain since picked:          +0.05
Earnings Date               01/23 (unconfirmed)





  --------------------
  Bearish Play Updates
  --------------------

Phillip Morris - MO - cls: 45.08 chg: -0.24 stop: 46.56 *new*

MO closed the trading session down for the fifth consecutive day 
as investors continued to unload the defensive position.  What 
makes the move more convincing than usual is the heavy volume on 
the declines.  The last three days have seen very strong volume 
which suggests that MO could be reaching critical mass and we 
could see a stronger downside breakout in the near future.  On 
the other hand five down days in a row seems a bit much and it is 
a common trading maxim that stocks tend to cycle a few days one 
direction broken by a couple of days in the opposite direction 
when following a larger trend.  The $45.00 level is important 
support and it needs to break before bears can aim for the next 
leg down.  Thursday we mentioned using Wednesday's high as an 
area to adjust your stop.  We're going to follow through on that 
suggestion and put our stop just a couple of cents above 
Wednesday's high.  If the stock trades to our target of $42.50 
we'll close the play for a profit.  Speaking of profits, MO is 
not normally a fast moving stock.  Those investors who were only 
looking for a 5% move in the play should be preparing to close 
their positions as MO is current down 4.4% from our pick price.

Picked on December 1st at $47.17
Gain since picked:         +2.09
Earnings Date              10/17 (confirmed)





===============
AT Closed Plays
===============

  --------------------
  Closed Bullish Plays
  --------------------

Sealed Air Corp. - SEE - cls: 42.29 chg: -4.61 stop: 44.95

A jury ruled against Halliburton today and awarded $30 million in 
damages for asbestos related claims.  What does this have to do 
with SEE?  Guilt by association.  Though we haven’t been able to 
quantify the level of exposure that SEE has to future asbestos 
litigation, investors concluded today that the best course of 
action was to unload the stock ASAP.  The ensuing 10% decline 
came on nearly 10 times the average daily volume, stopping us out 
at 44.95 on its way down.

Picked on December 1st at $45.90
Gain since picked:         -0.95
Earnings Date              10/24 (confirmed)





  ---------------------
  Closed Long-Term Play
  ---------------------

Office Depot - ODP - close: 16.80 change: -0.38 stop: 16.95 

As expected we were stopped out of our long-term bullish play for 
ODP.  Unfortunately, the stock opened at $16.90 and we can only 
claim a move of $2.00 in the stock price but that's good enough 
for 13.4%.  We do think the intraday bottom on Friday, at $16.50, 
should encourage bullish investors but further weakness could 
bring the stock down to $16.00 if the markets see more profit 
taking.  We are still positive on the group and are currently 
looking for a new entry point in IKN.

Picked on October 12th at $14.90
Gain since picked:         +2.00
Earnings Date              10/17 (confirmed)






==================================================================
HIGH RISK/HIGH REWARD (HR) section
==================================================================

============
HR New Plays
============

  -----------------
  New Bullish Plays
  -----------------

Mattson Technology - MTSN - close: 8.16 change: +0.38 stop: 6.99

Company Description:
Mattson Technology Inc., is a leading supplier of thermal, plasma 
and wet semiconductor processing equipment. The company's 
products combine advanced process technology on a high 
productivity platform, backed by industry-leading support. Since 
beginning operations in 1989, the company's core vision has been 
to help bring technology leadership and productivity gains to 
semiconductor manufacturers worldwide. Headquartered in Fremont, 
Calif., the company maintains sales and support centers 
throughout the United States, Europe, Asia/Pacific and Japan. 
(sources: company press release)

Why We Like It:
We like MTSN for multiple reasons.  At first glance one might 
look at the chart and think that we've found a chip stock that 
isn't overextended from the huge rallies in the chip sector these 
last couple of weeks.  Basically, that's true, but compared to 
the rebound shares of MTSN have seen from their October low near 
$3.00 it's hard to say they are not overbought.  Yet long-term 
shareholders in the stock who didn't use a stop loss could argue 
that the four-month drop from $19 (June) to $3 (Oct) might still 
put it in the oversold category.  If we use the range of $19 to 
$3, then a 50% retracement or bounce higher would put the stock 
at $11, still some 30% away.  The recent change in sentiment 
regarding the semiconductor sector has given many investors both 
big and small hope that the rebound in the economy next year 
truly is coming and may be here sooner than expected.  While that 
is still a much debated argument the stock market is a 
discounting machine that bases prices on future events not 
current day.  The move from $3 to $8 in MTSN from October to mid-
November was huge.  Fortunately, the chart is telling us that 
MTSN has spent the last few weeks digesting those gains and is 
ready for the next leg up.  

We're placing MTSN in the high risk/high reward section of the 
website due to the volatile nature in the SOX.X lately.  No one 
expected the index would rocket through resistance so easily and 
the group could just as easily give it all back.  At the moment, 
the SOX has maintained its gains and closed above its 200-dma at 
560, which should act as support.  Even if the SOX falls below 
the 200-dma, it should also find support at previous resistance 
of 550.  Using the strength of the SOX as a background, we paint 
a bullish trend on MTSN.  The stock has been digesting gains and 
trading sideways between $6.50 and $7.50.  Now shares have closed 
above the $8.00, which was resistance in mid-November and support 
in mid-August.  Friday's close also put it above the 100-dma at 
8.00.  We think shares could trade anywhere from $10 to $12 near 
its 200-dma.  However, a quick glance at the point-and-figure 
chart shows the descending bearish trend line is near $11.00.  
Thus, we'll target the $11.00 level as our exit point.  We're 
going to start the play with a stop at $6.99.  This is wider than 
we normally like to place stops and thus another reason this 
strategy belongs in the high risk section of the newsletter.  

Picked on December 7th at $ 8.16 
Gain since picked:         +0.00
Earnings Date              11/13 (confirmed)






===============
HR Play Updates
===============

  --------------------
  Bullish Play Updates
  --------------------

AT&T Corp - T - close: 17.68 change: -0.40 stop: 16.95

Drum roll, please.  Evidently, the Board of AT&T is meeting this 
weekend to discuss and possibly choose among the different bids 
for its AT&T Broadband unit.  Readers know that Cox Cable, 
Comcast and AOL Time Warner are all bidding on the cable unit and 
MSFT remains a prominent player in the negotiations.  It is 
believed that the rivalry between MSFT and AOL could lead to a 
premium for the broadband unit of $59 billion or more for AT&T.  
MSFT is willing to help Cox or Comcast seal the deal as long as 
AOL doesn't win the bid.  The software behemoth is even willing 
to invest in the broadband unit if AT&T's board decides to go 
with their original plan of spinning it off in an IPO.  Monday 
could be a big announcement day but if they don't announce shares 
could see investors sell in frustration.  The trading activity on 
Friday was frustrating but the stock did bounce off its 200-dma 
and closed back above the 10-dma and the 50-dma (plus that pesky 
$17.50 level that's so important).  If shares dip again, 
aggressive traders may want to look for entry points near the 
$17.25 level.  Be aware that as a news-event strategy, shares of 
T are definitely high-risk as no one knows how investors will 
react to the deal, if any deal is made.

Picked on November 29th at $17.62 
Gain since picked:          +0.06
Earnings Date               10/23 (confirmed)




---

3D Systems - TDSC - close: 11.75 change: +0.72 stop: 10.74 

Sometimes it is down right scary!  Shares of TDSC broke through 
its descending bearish lines of resistance and triggered our 
entry price of 11.52.  The stock posted a 6.5% gain heading into 
the weekend while the rest of the tech sector, specifically the 
Nasdaq was feeling a little bit of profit taking.  Where do we go 
from here?  The stock rallied right to price resistance at 
$12.00, which was strengthened by the 50-dma at 11.98.  The stock 
has three clear hurdles to overcome between 11.75 and our target 
of 13.65.  There is price resistance and the 50-dma near $12.00.  
TDSC has potential price resistance and a retracement level at 
$12.50.  There is potential price resistance and its 100-dma at 
$13.00.  Each of these levels should be watched for potential 
resistance and we'll probably use them to gauge our stop 
placement as the stock moves in our favor.  If we're lucky, the 
combination of short-covering along with some eager bullish tech 
buying might propel the stock through these obstacles with little 
delay.  If the stock dips, we would look for a bounce at 11.50 or 
11.25 (its 5-dma).  We will leave our stop at 10.74 for the 
moment and wait for confirmation of the breakout.

Picked on December 7th at $11.52 
Gain since picked:         +0.23
Earnings Date              10/17 (confirmed)







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=================================================================
DISCLAIMER
=================================================================

This newsletter is a publication dedicated to the education
of stock traders. The newsletter is an information service
only. The information provided herein is not to be construed
as an offer to buy or sell securities of any kind. The
newsletter picks are not to be considered a recommendation
of any stock but an information resource to aid the investor
in making an informed decision regarding trading in stocks. It
is possible at this or some subsequent date, the editors and
staff of PremierInvestor.net may own, buy or sell securities
presented. All investors should consult a qualified professional
before trading in any security. The information provided has
been obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not
guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. PremierInvestor.net
staff makes every effort to provide timely information to its
subscribers but cannot guarantee specific delivery times due to
factors beyond our control.

Please read our disclaimer at:
http://www.optioninvestor.com/page/oin/aboutus/disclaimer.html

*****************************************************************
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Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form.





PremierInvestor.net Newsletter         Weekend Edition 12-07-2001
                                                   Section 3 of 3
Copyright  2001, All rights reserved.
Redistribution in any form is strictly prohibited.

The entire newsletter is best viewed in COURIER 10 for alignment
=================================================================
To view this email newsletter in HTML format with imbedded
charts and graphs, click here:
http://www.PremierInvestor.net/htmlemail/2660_3.asp
=================================================================

In section three:

Market Watch for Week of December 10th
   - Major Earnings
   - Stock Splits
   - Economic Reports

Trading Ideas
  Value Plays With Bullish Signals
  Breakout to Upside (Stocks $5 to $20)
  Breakout to Upside (Stocks over $20)      
  Breakout to Downside (Stocks over $20)      

=================================================================


==================================================
Market Watch for the week of December 10th
==================================================

  ------------------------
  Major Earnings This Week
  ------------------------

Symbol  Company               Date           Comment      EPS Est   

------------------------ MONDAY ------------------------

GTK     Gtech Holdings        Mon, Dec 10  Before the Bell   0.71

------------------------ TUESDAY ------------------------

CMVT    Comverse Technology   Tue, Dec 11  After the Bell    0.11
FDS     FactSet Research Sys. Tue, Dec 11  Before the Bell   0.26
IBC     Interstate Bakeries   Tue, Dec 11  -----N/A-----     0.39
KR      Kroger                Tue, Dec 11  Before the Bell   0.32
ROP     Roper Industries      Tue, Dec 11  After the Bell    0.56

------------------------ WEDNESDAY ------------------------

ADIC    Advanced Dig. Info.   Wed, Dec 12  After the Bell    0.03
TOL     Toll Brothers         Wed, Dec 12  -----N/A-----     1.64

------------------------ THURSDAY ------------------------

CIEN    CIENA                 Thu, Dec 13  Before the Bell   0.05
COST    Costco Cos            Thu, Dec 13  Before the Bell   0.28
DRI     Darden Restaurants    Thu, Dec 13  After the Bell    0.28
HNZ     Heinz                 Thu, Dec 13  Before the Bell   0.59
MDZ     MDS                   Thu, Dec 13  -----N/A-----      N/A
ORCL    Oracle                Thu, Dec 13  After the Bell    0.10
TEK     Tektronix             Thu, Dec 13  After the Bell    0.10

------------------------ FRIDAY ------------------------

-no major earnings-


  -------------------------------
  Upcoming Stock Splits This Week
  -------------------------------

Upcoming Stock Splits This Week...

Symbol  Company Name          Splits  Payable    Executable
  
CHBS    Chrisotpher & Banks  3:2     11/30      12/03
MBVT    Merchants Banc       3:2     12/01      12/04
FMBI    First Midwest Banc   5:4     12/03      12/04
TWRI    Trendwest Resorts    3:2     12/04      12/05


  --------------------------
  Economic Reports This Week
  --------------------------

Last Friday's employment number was the big economic report that
the Fed was waiting for.  The Fed meets next week, on Tuesday,
and is expected to cut rates again.  In addition to the Fed's
official announcement on interest rates, traders will focus on
the November retail sales numbers on Thursday and the wholesale
inflation figures.  Retail inflation figures will be released
on Friday.


Monday, 12/10/01
----------------
None


Tuesday, 12/11/01
-----------------
Wholesale Inventories  Oct  Forecast:  -0.3%  Previous:   -0.1%
FOMC Meeting


Wednesday, 12/12/01
-------------------
Export Prices ex-ag.   Nov  Forecast:    N/A  Previous:   -0.7%
Import Prices ex-oil   Nov  Forecast:    N/A  Previous:   -0.7%
Current Account         Q3  Forecast:-$94.2B  Previous:-106.5B


Thursday, 12/13/01
------------------
Retail Sales ex-auto   Nov  Forecast:   0.2%  Previous:    1.0%
Retail Sales           Nov  Forecast:  -2.8%  Previous:    7.1%
PPI                    Nov  Forecast:  -0.3%  Previous:   -1.6%
Initial Claims       12/08  Forecast:    N/A  Previous:    475K
Core PPI               Nov  Forecast:   0.0%  Previous:   -0.5%
FOMC Minutes         11/06


Friday, 12/14/01
----------------
Business Inventories   Oct  Forecast:  -0.4%  Previous:   -0.5%
CPI                    Nov  Forecast:  -0.1%  Previous:   -0.3%
Core CPI               Nov  Forecast:   0.2%  Previous:    0.2%
Industrial Production  Nov  Forecast:  -0.5%  Previous:   -1.2%
Capacity Utilization   Nov  Forecast:  74.2%  Previous:   74.6%



==================
  Trading Ideas 
==================

This section contains stocks that meet criteria which may make 
them of interest to long and short side traders.  These are not 
recommendations, nor have they been reviewed by PremierInvestor 
editors for investment potential.  However, each of them has 
technical and fundamental characteristics that make them worthy 
of further review by traders and investors looking for fresh ideas. 
New stocks will appear daily following the market close.  

--------------------------------- 
Value Plays With Bullish Signals 
--------------------------------- 
Ticker  Company Name               Close     Change 

ACF     Americredit Corp           28.61     +0.73
MDU     Mdu Resources Group        26.77     +1.22
ACAS    Amercian Capital           29.86     +0.60
NX      Quanex Corp                27.65     +0.67
ACRT    Actrade Financial Tech     30.96     +1.46
INT     World Fuel Service Corp    17.59     +0.89

--------------------------------------- 
Breakout to Upside (Stocks $5 to $20) 
--------------------------------------- 
Ticker  Company Name               Close     Change 

AMD     Advanced Micro Devices     17.85     +1.60
ENTU    Entrust Inc                10.11     +1.91
BMRN    Biomarin Pharmaceuticals   14.16     +1.19
TXCC    Transwitch Corp             6.34     +1.63
APOG    Apogee Enterprises Inc     17.85     +1.31

--------------------------------------- 
Breakout to Upside (Stocks over $20) 
--------------------------------------- 
Ticker  Company Name               Close     Change 

PKX     Pohang Iron & Steel        24.21     +1.01
TSG     Sabre Holdings Corp        37.90     +1.22
AMR     Amr Corp                   23.34     +1.30
BG      Bunge Ltd                  23.75     +2.60
AMG     Affiliated Managers Group  73.34     +1.09
RBK     Reebok Intl. Ltd           26.45     +1.66
ITMN    Intermune Inc              51.15     +1.81

----------------------------------------- 
Breakout to Downside (Stocks over $20) 
------------------------------------------- 
Ticker  Company Name               Close     Change 

GCI     Gannett Co                 68.23     -2.22
ALL     Allstate Corp              32.15     -1.08
CSG     Cadbury Schwepps           24.25     -1.03
BSX     Boston Scientific Corp     25.15     -1.11
MLNM    Millennium Pharmaceutical  28.41     -1.15

----------------------------------------- 
Recently Overbought With Bearish Signals (Stocks over $20)
------------------------------------------- 

PBI     Pitney Bowes Inc           40.45     -1.08
APD     Air Products & Chemicals   46.65     -0.83
BDX     Becton Dickinson & Co      32.50     -0.87
IMCL    Imclone Systems Inc        70.45     -1.49
PECS    Pec Solution Inc           34.00     -3.05





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This newsletter is a publication dedicated to the education
of stock traders. The newsletter is an information service
only. The information provided herein is not to be construed
as an offer to buy or sell securities of any kind. The
newsletter picks are not to be considered a recommendation
of any stock but an information resource to aid the investor
in making an informed decision regarding trading in stocks. It
is possible at this or some subsequent date, the editors and
staff of PremierInvestor.net may own, buy or sell securities
presented. All investors should consult a qualified professional
before trading in any security. The information provided has
been obtained from sources deemed reliable but is not
guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. PremierInvestor.net
staff makes every effort to provide timely information to its
subscribers but cannot guarantee specific delivery times due to
factors beyond our control.

Please read our disclaimer at:
http://www.optioninvestor.com/page/oin/aboutus/disclaimer.html

*****************************************************************
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Copyright  2001  PremierInvestor.net. and
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Do not duplicate or redistribute in any form.




DISCLAIMER

Option Investor Inc is neither a registered Investment Advisor nor a Broker/Dealer. Readers are advised that all information is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor is it to be construed as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security. All opinions, analyses and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable and written in good faith, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, we do not necessarily update such opinions, analysis or information. Owners, employees and writers may have long or short positions in the securities that are discussed.

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