Option Investor
Newsletter

Daily Newsletter, Tuesday, 7/5/2016

Table of Contents

  1. Market Wrap
  2. New Plays
  3. In Play Updates and Reviews

Market Wrap

Lack of Buyers

by Jim Brown

Click here to email Jim Brown

Today's decline was not caused by a surplus of sellers but more likely a lack of buyers.

Market Statistics

We are entering that period in the summer where the "Why Buy?" question becomes the market driver. We are in the summer doldrums, July earnings are likely to be disappointing, Brexit fallout is continuing and political headlines are ramping up ahead of the conventions. Uncertainty is rampant. Why buy now?

I cannot give you a good answer and that is why the markets are likely to fade away in the days ahead. There is no reason to be a seller either. This is the period when quite a few investors become dormant. They hold on to their favorite positions but they do not add additional positions unless there is a good reason like an unexpected decline that provides a buying opportunity. Otherwise they just wait for the normal Aug/Sep declines that lead into the October rebound and the start of the Q4 rally.

The European markets are still declining from the Brexit vote. Banks were hit hard after the ECB told the oldest bank in the world to cut its bad loans by 2018 or else. Banca Monte dei Paschi di siena (BMPS) was started in 1790, 20 years before Columbus discovered America. The ECB said the time has passed for a government bailout, the provision expired on January 1st, and the bank has to recapitalize or the ECB will act. There are currently about $29 billion in bonds that are owned by mom and pop investors. Under the new ECB rules they can force a "bail in" and force investors to take a haircut on those bonds. The ECB forced this in Greece and can also do it in Italy. They can also force bond holders to swap their debt for equity in the bank. BMPS must cut its nonperforming loans or NPLs by 40% to $16.2 billion from roughly $28 billion. With the ECB forcing the sale of bad loans, the bank could be forced to raise $4 to $6 billion in additional capital. With a share price that has declined 99% over the last year to 27 cents it is unlikely they can do another secondary offering. The Italian government is prohibited by the EU from bailing out its own banks.

If the ECB demands additional bail-ins for European banks it will be another threat to EU cohesion. For most Europeans the ECB is a bunch of unelected bureaucrats and more draconian actions will cause further unrest and votes to leave the EU. The EU is in trouble and these types of headlines are simply additional chapters in the EU decline story. The weight of the ECB on the various banks caused a new round of market declines.


RBS (RBS) shares have fallen from $12.50 in 2015 to $4.25 today. They are down -43.5% in 2016. Barclays (BCS) shares have fallen from $18 to $7 and -27% this year.

Standard Life (SL.L) suspended trading in a UK property fund after heavy outflows after Brexit. Two other lesser-known companies also suspended redemption requests becaus eof outflows.

In the U.S. the Factory Orders for May declined -1.0% after a +1.9% gain in April. That was in line with expectations but still an ugly report. Since last June orders have declined 7 of the 12 months. Durable goods orders declined -2.3% and the biggest decline since the -3.3% drop in February. Capital goods orders fell -4.8%. Orders for defense goods fell -28.1% and the second biggest decline this year. Transportation orders fell -5.7%.

With the pound continuing to decline, U.S. exports are going to slow to a crawl and that will further depress future factory orders. The strong dollar is going to be a stiff headwind.

The ISM-New York rose slightly from 37.2 to 45.4 for June. This is still in contraction territory under 50. Employment crashed from 44.6 to 35.9 and the lowest reading in over a year. Employment has contracted in nine of the last ten months. The Brexit complications will impact the financial services industry in New York City. However, New York could actually see a boost in activity if the EU puts additional restrictions on the UK and London fades as a financial center.

The big report for Wednesday is the FOMC minutes as analysts try to figure out what changed the Feds outlook from strongly hawkish two weeks before the meeting to strongly dovish in the meeting.

The payroll reports will be critical for obvious reasons. If the Nonfarm Payrolls posts another weak month, we could see a negative change in market sentiment. The numbers are not going to be significant to the Fed in their current mindset but they will be important for investors worried about the next recession.


The continued headlines out of Europe are weighing on the equity market but the big hit is to currencies and treasuries. The pound declined another 2% to close well under 130 at 127.38. The dollar strengthened and that is going to be tough on earnings guidance.



Yields on the ten-year treasury closed a historic low of 1.367%. Records date back to the year 1789 so a record low is a real headline. This is due to cash coming from overseas where yields are negative and you have to pay the government to hold your money for you.

The yield on the 30-year treasury fell to a record low at 2.138% and analysts expect it to fall under 2%. It is time to refinance your mortgage again.

The yield on the German 10-yr Bund fell to a new record low at -0.19%. This is a major cause of the flight to the U.S. treasuries for ratings conscious investors.




Tesla (TSLA) shares fell at the open after they reported another miss on deliveries in Q2. They had previously guided to deliveries of 17,000 and only delivered 14,370. For Q1 they estimated deliveries of 16,000 and delivered 14,820. Tesla blamed it on the "extreme production ramp" as they restructure their auto flow and try to get to 2,400 cars a week by year-end. They also blamed the 5,150 cars still in shipment to customers on trucks, trains and ships for missing the target.

For reference this is only the fifth year Tesla has produced cars and they have never hit their delivery targets yet they expect to up to 90,000 vehicles in 2016. Despite the production misses in Q1/Q2 they maintained their 80,000-90,000 target for the year. That means they have to deliver more than 50,000 cars in the next six months compared to the 29,000 cars in the first six months. Tesla ended the quarter with production rates around 2,100 cars per week and expect that to rise to 2,200 in Q3 and 2,400 in Q4.

Tesla plans to produce 500,000 cars per year by 2019. That would require more lithium ion batteries than the world currently produces. The Gigafactory is expected to be fully operational by 2020 and will produce more batteries annually than were produced globally in 2013 and at a 30% reduction in cost. With all the side projects Musk has going plus his plans for Tesla Energy/SolarCity, I could see the need for another gigafactory after 2020.

Historic shipments:

2012  2,650
2013 22,450
2014 31,655
2015 50,580
2016 Q1/Q2 29,190
2016 Q3/Q4 55,000 est
2018 300,000 est
2019 500,000 est


Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) was downgraded from overweight to neutral at Pacific Crest but that was not the damaging part of the broker action. Michael McConnell joined a long list of analysts warning that Apple iPhone 7 sales are going to be disappointing. McConnell said channel checks of Apple suppliers suggested Apple was still lowering production quantities. "Conversations with multiple supply-chain partners indicate Apple is taking an extremely conservative approach toward the iPhone 7 build in 2H16." Pacific Crest is modeling 72-76 million units, which would be a 15% to 20% decline over the 6S in 2H15. The analyst also cut Cirrus Logic (CRUS) but all Apple suppliers saw their shares collapse. These analyst production warnings are becoming a weekly occurrence.


Netflix (NFLX) had a busy day. Needham started off the day cutting Neflix from buy to hold, warning that exposure to Europe should accelerate subscriber churn or slow subscriber growth. They also cited negative currency translation risks and EU legal changes proposed in May that would force Netflix to fund European films at higher costs. Shares dropped at the open on the Needham downgrade.

A couple hours later Guggenheim added Netflix to their "Best Idea List" reiterating a buy rating and $150 price target. Guggenheim said they believe all the negative concerns are already priced into the stock and the catalysts ahead will be positive.

Lastly ReCode reported Comcast and Netflix have buried the hatchet and future Comcast X1 interactive cable boxes will include the Netflix application. This is a big plus for Netflix because it puts their application on every cable box Comcast delivers.


XBiotech (XBIT) shares fell -50% intraday after a late-stage study of its lead drug raised questions about any potential benefits for patients. The study took an abnormal approach to analyzing the results and came up with an unexpected result. The study compared symptom progression during treatment of the colorectal cancer with the drug Xilonix.


Crude oil fell -4.5% after Barclays said "The deterioration in the global economic outlook, financial market uncertainty and ripple effects on key areas of oil demand growth are likely to exacerbate already-lackluster industrial demand growth trends." They were referring to the impact of the Brexit vote and its aftermath. Analysts cautioned that Asia and China were already weak and the impact of Brexit on Europe could lower demand growth globally. A Reuters survey found that 17 of the top 30 U.S. shale producers had significantly increased their hedges last quarter. That suggests they do not expect oil prices to continue higher or they would not have locked in their future sales price. For some of them it was the first increase in hedges in more than 6 months. They are locking in prices in case we retest the lows once the summer demand is over.

There was some new research released on Tuesday showing proved reserves in the U.S. at 264 billion barrels was now above Russia at 256 billion and Saudi Arabia at 212 billion. This is meaningless in the long term because our reserves cost significantly more to extract than Saudi Arabia. Our cost of production is $30 to $85 a barrel compared to $10-$12 for Saudi Arabia. If it comes down to a price war, we lose.


Markets

Why buy? That was how I started this commentary and the premise has not changed. August and September are the weakest months of the year. July is only slightly better. In election years they tend to be weaker because of the uncertainty. This year that uncertainty is at an all time high given the two candidates for president and the diverse economic impact each would bring to the job.

The S&P is locked in below resistance at 2,100. There is no need for me to describe all the various potential moves because they have not changed in the last four months. The major indexes are in a congestion range in a topping pattern. Until that pattern changes with a breakout above resistance, we are just passing time. Unfortunately, we may spend some time at lower levels as we approach the political conventions later this month.


The Dow has the same strong resistance at 18,000 and with financials and energy stocks crashing and the potential for guidance warnings with earnings, it would be a real surprise if we moved over that resistance. The Dow congestion range is 17,400 to18,000 and we could spend the next several weeks chopping around in that range with a bias to the downside.



The Nasdaq has a more pronounced bearish pattern with a series of lower highs over the last month. This is unlike the Dow and Nasdaq with level resistance at 18,000 and 2,100. The Nasdaq has been hit by the biotech sector decline and weakness in semiconductors and Apple component suppliers.

Resistance is 4,900 and support is 4,700 assuming there are no earthshaking headlines.



The Russell 2000 has the same lower high pattern as the Nasdaq and strong resistance at 1,150 and 1,165. Support does appear to be solid at 1,095.


It should be no surprise that my bias is negative for the rest of July. There are too many negative catalysts and very few positive events. I am counting the potential for some positive earnings surprises in those catalysts otherwise there would be almost no potential for positive headlines. The Brexit hangover could last for months and that is going to be damaging to stocks, currencies and the global economic outlook.

I am sure we can pick up some individual stocks when buying opportunities appear but they may be limited for the next three weeks. S&P futures are down -10 points as I type this.

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Jim Brown

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New Plays

Catching a Falling Knife

by Jim Brown

Click here to email Jim Brown
Editor's Note

It is always best to buy when the opportunity presents itself rather than force a move. Today we do not have any apparent buying opportunities. The S&P futures are down -10 points as I type this. Adding a bullish play would be trying to catch a falling knife since we do not know if/where any opening decline will stop. Adding a bearish play would only mean we would be filled in a gap down open that could significantly inflate any put options and then a sudden rebound would leave us with a loss. The market could be volatile this week and we need to wait for a fat pitch before we swing the bat.



NEW BULLISH Plays

No New Bullish Plays


NEW BEARISH Plays

No New Bearish Plays



In Play Updates and Reviews

Minor Decline

by Jim Brown

Click here to email Jim Brown

Editors Note:

The Dow lost -108 points and the resistance at 18,000 remains intact. The market gapped lower at the open to find support at 17,800 and the buying was minimal before the close at 17,838. That leaves the Dow -162 points below resistance and in the prior congestion range. We could go either way from here.

It was a down day in a weak market and all the bullish positions declined. No surprise there.




Current Portfolio





Current Position Changes


QQQ - Nasdaq 100 ETF
The short position in the QQQ was opened with a trade at $106.85.


VNET - 21Vianet
The short position was entered at $9.57.


Profit Targets

Check the graphic above for any profit stops in green. We need to always be prepared for a profit exit at resistance.


Stop Loss Updates

Check the graphic above for any new stop losses in bright yellow. We need to always be prepared for an unexpected decline.


BULLISH Play Updates


EXAS - Exact Sciences -
Company Profile

Comments:

No specific news. Minor decline in a weak market.

Original Trade Description: June 25th.

Exact Sciences Corporation, a molecular diagnostics company, focuses on developing products for the early detection and prevention of various cancers. The company develops the Cologuard, a non-invasive stool-based DNA screening test for the early detection of colorectal cancer and pre-cancer. Its Cologuard test includes a protein marker to detect blood in the stool, utilizing an antibody-based fecal immunochemical test. The company has a collaboration, license, and purchase agreement with Genzyme Corporation, as well as with MAYO Foundation for Medical Education and Research for developing tests to detect lung, pancreatic, and esophageal cancers.

Shares of EXAS fell from $18.50 to $7 in October after the U.S. Preventative Services Task Force, an independent panel of health care experts, issued preliminary screening test recommendations that did not include Cologuard as a recommended product. The draft listed Cologuard as an "alternative" screening test. Exact Sciences protested strongly about the classification.

On June 14th, the same task force issued its final cancer screening recommendations and clarified the inclusion of Cologuard. The information was accidentally leaked and the panel had to release the report earlier than the planned June 21st date. With the final recommendation for Cologuard the company has begun advertising strongly and sales should increase. Cologuard is now an A-rated preventative service under the Affordable Care Act.

Earnings July 26th.

Shares have broken out of their 9-month consolidation base and could close the gap back to $18 in the coming weeks.

Position 6/27/16:

Long EXAS shares @ $11.50, stop loss $9.45.

No options recommended.



HPE - Hewlett Packard Enterprise - Company Profile

Comments:

No specific news. Minor decline despite a price target hike to $25.50 by Jefferies and they reiterated a buy rating.

Original Trade Description: June 2nd.

Hewlett Packard Enterprise was spun off from Hewlett Packard (HPQ) to be the high growth segment of the company. The remaining HPQ was the slower growing PC and printer company.

HPE reported adjusted Q1 earnings of 42 cents and in line with estimates. Revenue of $12.711 billion would have been up +4% on a constant currency basis. Analysts were expecting $12.419 billion.

For the current quarter, HPE guided to earnings of $1.10 to $1.14. For the full year, they expect $1.85-$1.95 and that was more than analysts expected at $1.89. They increased free cash flow +101% to $1.1 billion for the quarter.

The good news came from their plans for the cash flow. HPE expects to generate $2.0-$2.2 billion in free cash flow in 2016. They are receiving $2 billion from the Tsinghua transaction which closed in early May and the money will be used for share repurchases. In 2016, HPE is increasing its commitment to return 100% of the free cash flow to investors in dividends and buybacks.

This means over the next couple of months we should see significant share activity as funds position themselves to be the beneficiaries of all this buyback/dividend activity that could exceed $4 billion in 2016. $2.5 billion of that is in an "accelerated" buyback program. The board authorized another $3 billion in buybacks to bring the current authorization to $4.8 billion.

They also announced a tax-free spinoff of their services division to Computer Sciences Corporation (CSC), which is expected to close in March 2017. This will produce another $8.5 billion in value to HPE shareholders in the form of $4.5 billion in equity in the combined company and $1.5 billion in a cash dividend and the removal of $2.5 billion in debt from HPE.

Earnings Aug 23rd.

HPE shares have shaken off their May weakness and closed today at a historic high. I am recommending we buy this stock in anticipation of additional fund investors moving in ahead of future dividends, buybacks and the spinoff.

Position

Position 6/28/16: Long HPE shares @ $17.50, see portfolio graphic for stop loss.

Position 6/3/16: Long August $20 call @ 40 cents. No stop loss.

Previously closed 6/24/16: Long HPE shares @ $18.40, exit $18.61, +.21 gain



SCTY - Solar City - Company Profile

Comments:

No specific news. Down slightly on the drop in Tesla shares when they missed delivery estimates.

Original Trade Description: June 27th.

SolarCity Corporation designs, manufactures, installs, monitors, maintains, leases, and sells solar energy systems to government, residential, and commercial customers in the United States. The company provides solar energy systems; solar lease and solar power purchase agreements; mypower loan agreements; grid control/energy storage systems; zep solar mounting systems; and proprietary software, including SolarBid sales management platform, SolarWorks customer management software, PowerGuide proactive monitoring solutions, and Energy Designer, a proprietary software application used by field engineering auditors to collect site-specific design details on a tablet computer. It also sells electricity generated by solar energy systems to customers.

SolarCity has had a troubled past with the rise and fall of solar based on the whims of governments and the on again-off again investment credits and tax rebates. SolarCity is still humming right along and building up their base of installed systems into one giant annuity that will pay for decades to come. The problem is that it takes cash to build and install those systems that they sell to customers. Cash up front for a long and profitable payout.

SolarCity was co-founded by Elon Musk. He also started Paypal, SpaceX and Tesla. Last week he (Tesla) offered to buy SolarCity, where he is the largest stockholder and Chairman of the board, for $26-$28. Tesla shares cratered. SolarCity shares spiked for one day then fell back again. Numerous analysts were against the plan. Now shares are rising again.

Elon Musk believes he can marry his battery business with the solar business and have a winning combination. He already makes battery backups for your home but they run off regular utility company power. With SolarCity he can power those battery systems with solar and it makes a lot more sense for customers.

Shares have established a base at $21 and with the $26-$28 offer under consideration along with "other strategic alternatives" it would appear there is limited downside.

Earnings August 8th.

Position 6/28/16:

Long SCTY shares @ $23.40, see portfolio graphic for stop loss.




BEARISH Play Updates

ATHM - AutoHome - Company Profile

Comments:

No specific news. Resistance at 421.25 held.

Original Trade Description: June 29th.

Autohome Inc. operates as an online destination for automobile consumers in the People's Republic of China. The company, through its Websites, autohome.com.cn and che168.com, delivers comprehensive, independent, and interactive content to automobile buyers and owners, including professionally produced content that comprises automobile-related articles and reviews, pricing trends in various markets, and photos and video clips; automobile library, which includes a range of specifications covering performance levels, dimensions, powertrains, vehicle bodies, interiors, safety, entertainment systems, and other unique features, as well as manufacturers suggested retail prices; new and used automobile listings, and promotional information; and user forums and user generated content. Autohome Inc. also offers advertising services for automakers and dealers; dealer subscription services that allow dealers to market their inventory and services through its Websites; used automobile listings services, which allow used automobile dealers and individuals to market their automobiles for sale on its Websites.

In April, Telstra Corp, which owns 55% of Autohome, said it was going to sell a 48% stake to Ping An Insurance Group for $1.6 billion. CEO James Qin is now leading a revolt against his previous benefactor that helped launch the company and get it listed on the NYSE. There is a suit and Qin is launching a rival bid. When the company needed startup capital Telstra was the investor. Qin and other minority shareholders representing 11% of the outstanding shares have lodged a petition with the Grand Court of the Cayman Islands where the company is registered. The suit claims Telstra's representatives on the board of Autohome allegedly acted in bad faith and breached the rules. Qin is trying to form a coalition with multiple private equity firms to launch a competing bid. Qin made a firm offer of $31 a share in April including a bank letter of credit to finance the deal and it was rejected. The next day Telstra said it was selling its shares for $29.55 to Ping An. Qin's group countered at $31.50 that caused a peak in Autohome shares at $32.15 in expectations for a bidding war that never appeared.

The board is deeply divided and Telstra will not provide any supporting documents for the "purported" sale to Ping An. Telstra has 5 directors on the board and there are 5 independent directors. On May 13th Telstra convened a board meeting to approve the deal. The 5 independent board members refused to show up so there was no majority. The 5 Telstra directors appointed a 6th director on the spot, completely against the corporate rules, and the 6 directors approved the deal. The group aligned with Qin filed the petition with the court to put a hold on any acquisition until the proper documents are submitted and the full board can review the documents vote on the matter. Telstra still refuses to provide any documentation and the fight continues.

Meanwhile shares are crashing. On Monday, the company reported the CEO Qin and the CFO had been replaced and five new directors had been appointed. The company stated the sale of 47.4% of the outstanding shares to Ping An had been completed on June 22nd. It appears the hostile takeover has been completed but the court fight is ongoing.

On Wednesday, shares closed at a historic low at $20.54. This company appears broken and normal shareholders are fleeing to the exits. There was no bounce on either is the last two days when the markets were up big.

Zacks changed their rating to Strong Sell. Credit Suisse changed their rating to Sell.

Earnings August 3rd.

Position 6/30/16:

Short ATHM shares @ $20.50, initial stop loss $22.15.



QQQ - Nasdaq 100 ETF - ETF Profile

Comments:

We entered the August $106 put when the QQQ traded at $106.85. The alternate recommendation of the $108 put at a higher level has been cancelled.

Original Trade Description: July 2nd.

The Dow has struggled with the 18,000 level since last November. Eventually there will be a breakout but I strongly doubt it will be during the summer doldrums between July 4th and Labor Day. The volume will be to low and other factors are weighing on the index. The 30 Dow stocks are all exposed to the strong dollar and falling pound as a result of the Brexit. I would be very surprised if less than two-thirds of the Dow stocks did not warn for Q3 on the strong dollar problem. With Q2 earnings starting on July 11th, i would expect some investors to begin moving to the sidelines to avoid the rush.

The S&P 500 has solid resistance from 2,100 to 2,115. It has failed at those levels on every attempt since August of last year. With earnings expected to be weak, economics weak and Europe weak, I would expect the S&P to fail at those levels again.

The Nasdaq has strong resistance at 4,900 and 4968. These are lower highs from the peak last November. The biotech sector is still weak and Merrill Lynch just downgraded the semiconductors. Oil prices are likely to remain around $50 for the rest of the year and that means the bloom is fading on the energy stocks.

The Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) is approaching solid resistance at $110. I actually doubt it will get there but that appears to be the target. If the QQQ reaches that level I would recommend shorting the ETF. I know that is a big ticket item for Premier Investor readers but there are no low dollar index ETFs that will accomplish the same thing. I am going to recommend a long put in place of the actual short.

I would like to enter the position at $110 but that would take about a 200 point gain on the Nasdaq 100 ($NDX) and I seriously doubt that will happen.

Since we cannot count on that $110 level being reached I am going to recommend buying the put with a trade at $106.85. If the index does go higher then we can target the $110 level as well.

With a QQQ trade at $106.85

Buy August $106 put, currently $2.05. No initial stop loss.



VNET - 21Vianet Group - Company Profile

Comments:

No specific news. VNET was relatively stable today with a very minor range and a 7 cent gain. Heavily sold shares typically rally when the market is weak. They are seen as a relatively safe play because they have already been sold.

Original Trade Description: July 2nd.

21Vianet Group, Inc. provides carrier-neutral Internet data center services to Internet companies, government entities, blue-chip enterprises, and small-to mid-sized enterprises in the Peoples Republic of China. It offers hosting and related services to house servers and networking equipment in its data centers, and connects them through a data transmission network; and other hosting related value-added services.

In June 2015 the Chairman of the board, Kingsoft Corporation and Tsinghua Unigroup International proposed a deal to take the company private. Shares were trading around $20 at the time. On Thursday the same group rescinded their "non-binding" go private offer. The group said "after careful consideration, the group had determined not to proceed with the proposal under the current circumstances." Those circumstances were not described.

After keeping the stock price around $20 for the last year based on this offer the group decided to pass on the deal. While it may have had something to do with the earnings, I suspect it had more to do with the current problems with taking companies private in China. Qihoo (QIHU) and YY (YY) are also struggling. The China Securities Regulatory Commission is considering limits on the numbers of reverse mergers from previously foreign listed companies. There are worries they could impose an outright ban.

In an attempt to counter the drop in the stock the company announced a $200 million share repurchase plan. However, in the first sentence reads, "The Board has authorized, but not obligated, to repurchase up to $200 million in outstanding shares within the next we months." The key words there are "not obligated" which means they do not have to buy the shares if they change their minds. This is a Chinese company and the generally accepted rules are rarely followed. This is just another ploy to try and support the stock price.

Earnings August 24th.

Position 7/5//16:

Short VNET shares @ $9.57, initial stop loss $10.65.

Optional

Long August $9 put @ 85 cents. No initial stop loss.



VXX - Ipath VIX Short Term Futues ETN - ETN Profile

Comments:

No material gain despite the weak market. We are probably going to be in this position for a long time as it declines to new lows well under $13 this summer.

Original Trade Description: June 22nd.

The VXX is a ETF type product that is based on the Volatility Index futures. It is a flawed product with a perpetual decline built in from the monthly roll over in the futures contracts.

We have played the VXX before with big gains. The object is to short it on a bounce and then hold the position until the volatility fades again.

On the big declines last week the VXX spiked to $17. Back in January and February is spiked to $30 on the market corrections. While I do not expect that to happen from this lower level, I do expect some volatility to appear regardless of the vote outcome.

I am recommending we enter a short position with a return to $17. If it continues higher I would add to that short at $20 and again at $25 and then we wait for the post event decline in the volatility and the return to $13 or lower.

Because this is a flawed product it will always go lower. It has already had several 1:4 reverse splits to keep it from being delisted back in November 2010, October 2012 and November 2013. If it falls under $10, they will do another reverse split and start the decline all over again.

Position:

6/24/15: With a VXX trade at $17, now short VXX @ $17, no stop loss.





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