Editor's Note:
Equity markets around the globe reacted to the Ukraine-Russian situation with selling. The Chinese market was the exception with a minor gain.

The U.S. markets spiked lower at the open but eventually pared their losses.

AAL and SWI hit our stop loss.


Current Portfolio:


BULLISH Play Updates

Alcoa Inc. - AA - close: 11.62 change: -0.12

Stop Loss: 11.45
Target(s): 12.95
Current Gain/Loss: + 0.6%

Entry on February 19 at $11.55
Listed on February 11, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 39 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: The stock market's widespread decline this morning almost pushed AA to our stop loss. The intraday low was $11.46 and our stop is at $11.45. If there is any follow through lower tomorrow our play could be closed. I am not suggesting new positions at this time.

Earlier Comments:
Our multi-week target is $12.95. The Point & Figure chart for AA is very bullish with a $20.00 target.

current Position: Long AA stock @ $11.55

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long APR $12 call (AA1419D12) entry $0.47

02/26/14 new stop loss @ 11.45
02/22/14 new stop loss @ 11.25
02/19/14 triggered at $11.55



DR Horton Inc. - DHI - close: 24.29 change: -0.27

Stop Loss: 23.25
Target(s): 27.50
Current Gain/Loss: -0.2%

Entry on February 26 at $24.35
Listed on February 25, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 8.0 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: DHI gapped open lower at $23.79 but that proved to be the low of the day. Shares bounced back and pared their losses to -1.0%. I would be tempted to launch new positions on a new rally past the $24.50-24.60 area.

current Position: Long DHI stock @ $24.35

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long Apr $25 call (DHI1419D25) entry $0.96*

02/26/14 triggered @ 24.35
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.



Dunkin' Brands Group - DNKN - close: 51.43 change: -0.24

Stop Loss: 49.75
Target(s): 57.50
Current Gain/Loss: + 1.5%

Entry on February 19 at $50.65
Listed on February 18, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 1.1 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: DNKN briefly traded below short-term technical support at its 10-dma before bouncing back. The stock almost made it back into positive territory by the closing bell. If you were looking for a dip to the 10-dma as your entry point then you got it.

Earlier Comments:
FYI: The Point & Figure chart for DNKN is bullish with a $60.00 target.

current Position: long DNKN stock @ $50.65

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long MAR $50 call (DNKN1422C50) entry $1.50*

02/25/14 new stop @ 49.75
02/19/14 triggered @ 50.65
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.



Electronic Arts - EA - close: 28.09 change: -0.50

Stop Loss: 27.45
Target(s): 34.00
Current Gain/Loss: unopened

Entry on March -- at $--.--
Listed on March 01, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 5.0 million
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
03/03/14: EA garnered some bullish analyst comments this morning but they failed to help the stock price. Shares underperformed with a -1.74% decline. If EA closes below today's low we might drop it as a candidate.

Earlier Comments:
I am suggesting a trigger to open small bullish positions at $28.85. We do want to keep our position size small since EA is arguably already overbought. Of course stocks can stay overbought for a long time so we want to hop on this momentum now. We'll try and limit our risk with a stop loss at $27.45. Our multi-week target is $34.00. The Point & Figure chart for EA is bullish with a $43.00 target.

Trigger @ 28.85 *small positions*

Suggested Position: buy EA stock @ $28.85



Flotek Industries - FTK - close: 25.62 change: +0.17

Stop Loss: 24.40
Target(s): 29.75
Current Gain/Loss: + 1.9%

Entry on February 24 at $25.15
Listed on February 18, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 976 thousand
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: Traders bought the dip in FTK near $25.00 and the stock almost hit $26.00 before trimming its gains this afternoon. I am adjusting our stop loss to $24.40.

Earlier Comments:

FYI: The Point & Figure chart for FTK is bullish with a $31.00 target.

*small positions*

current Position: long FTK stock @ $25.15

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long Mar $25 call (FTK1422C25) entry $0.90*

03/03/14 new stop loss @ 24.40
02/24/14 triggered @ $25.15
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.



The Manitowoc Co. - MTW - close: 30.47 change: -0.47

Stop Loss: 29.60
Target(s): 34.85
Current Gain/Loss: - 1.0%

Entry on February 27 at $30.79
Listed on February 26, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 3.9 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: The market's widespread decline this morning pushed MTW to short-term support near $30.00. A rebound above today's high (30.69) could be used as a new entry point if you missed buying the dip near $30 today.

Earlier Comments:
The plan was to keep our position size small to limit risk.

*Small positions*

current Position: Long MTW stock @ $30.79

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long Apr $30 call (MTW1419D30) entry $2.05*

02/27/14 trade opens at $30.79
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.



Penn Virginia Corp. - PVA - close: 15.14 change: -0.01

Stop Loss: 14.29
Target(s): 18.50
Current Gain/Loss: - 0.4%

Entry on February 28 at $15.20
Listed on February 27, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 2.8 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: PVA held up relatively well. While the market was sinking this morning, PVA was pushing higher. Shares reversed their gains by the close to end up virtually unchanged.

Earlier Comments:
A breakout could spark some short covering. The most recent data listed short interest at 14% of the very small 19.4 million share float.

current Position: Long PVA stock @ $15.20

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

Long APR $15 call (PVA1419D15) entry $1.25*

02/28/14 triggered @ 15.20
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.



Tyson Foods, Inc. - TSN - close: 38.81 change: -0.64

Stop Loss: 38.45
Target(s): 44.50
Current Gain/Loss: unopened

Entry on March -- at $--.--
Listed on March 01, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 4.3 million
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
03/03/14: TSN briefly traded below the bottom of its recent trading range. The stock managed to pare its losses but still underperformed the market with a -1.6% decline. If shares do not improve soon we will likely remove it as a candidate.

Earlier Comments:
It is possible that the $40.00 level could be round-number resistance. Therefore we're suggesting small bullish positions if TSN can trade at $40.15. If triggered our multi-week target is $44.50.

Trigger @ 40.15 *small positions*

Suggested Position: buy TSN stock @ $40.15



BEARISH Play Updates


None. We do not have any active bearish trades.




CLOSED BULLISH PLAYS

American Airlines Group - AAL - close: 36.10 change: -0.83

Stop Loss: 35.35
Target(s): 39.85
Current Gain/Loss: - 3.2%

Entry on February 24 at $36.50
Listed on February 20, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 13.3 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: AAL was an underperformer today. Actually a number of the airline stocks were hit with profit taking today. AAL was down -4.3% at its worst levels of the session before bouncing near its 20-dma. Our newly adjusted stop loss was hit at $35.35. The intraday low was $35.32.

closed Position: Long AAL stock @ $36.50 exit $35.35 (-3.2%)

03/03/14 stopped out.
03/01/14 new stop loss @ 35.35
02/24/14 triggered @ 36.50

chart:



SolarWinds, Inc. - SWI - close: 45.25 change: -0.93

Stop Loss: 44.45
Target(s): 49.50
Current Gain/Loss: - 0.1%

Entry on February 18 at $44.50
Listed on February 15, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 8 weeks
Average Daily Volume = 1.27 million
New Positions: see below

Comments:
03/03/14: The stock market's weakness this morning sparked a gap down in SWI today. This stock saw another spike lower just before noon and this second drop was enough to hit our stop loss at $44.45.

closed Position: long SWI stock @ $44.50 exit $44.45 (-0.1%)

- (or for more adventurous traders, try this option) -

MAR $45 call (SWI1422C45) entry $1.45 exit $1.00 (-31.0%)

03/03/14 stopped out
03/01/14 new stop loss @ 44.45
02/27/14 new stop loss @ 43.90
02/20/14 new stop loss @ 43.45
02/18/14 entry trigger hit at $44.50

chart: