NEW DIRECTIONAL PUT PLAYS
Ross Stores Inc. - ROST - close: 65.06 change: -0.74
Stop Loss: 67.15
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
According to the company website, Ross Stores, Inc. is an S&P 500, Fortune 500 and Nasdaq 100 (ROST) company headquartered in Dublin, California, with fiscal 2013 revenues of $10.2 billion. The Company operates Ross Dress for Less ("Ross"), the largest off-price apparel and home fashion chain in the United States with 1,146 locations in 33 states, the District of Columbia and Guam at fiscal 2013 year end.
Ross offers first-quality, in-season, name brand and designer apparel, accessories, footwear and home fashions for the entire family at everyday savings of 20% to 60% off department and specialty store regular prices. The Company also operates 130 ddâ€™s DISCOUNTS in ten states.
The retail sector has had a rough year. 2014 started off with a harsh winter that kept consumers at home. Just about everyone blamed the terrible weather on terrible sales numbers in the first quarter. ROST joined the crowd when they reported earnings in February and lowered guidance. The first quarter has been followed by a tough Q2 as well.
Winter seemed like it would never go away. When spring finally showed up retailers were fighting for every consumer dollar. The apparel stores are facing a very competitive and highly promotional environment. There have been warnings and bearish commentary from all sort of retail players including Family Dollar, The Container Store, Rent-A-Center, and retail giant Wal-Mart.
This year the consumer has had to suffer through elevated gasoline prices at the pump and a sharply rising food prices. Everything from beef, pork, vegetables, and eggs have been rising. Every dollar spent on groceries and gas is another dollar that doesn't make it into the discretionary items.
ROST has been no exception. The company's most recent same-store sales figures had fallen to just +1% growth.
Wall Street is concerned as well. There is a growing worry that ROST's sales growth will remain stuck in low single digits. Margins are also under pressure and will likely be flat to down. It's no surprise
Technically ROST's bearish trend of lower highs and lower lows has pushed the stock to key support near $65.00. This is where the stock bounced back in February. The intraday February 2014 low was $65.15. Today ROST dipped to $64.96 intraday.
I am suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $64.75. If triggered our short-term target is $60.00. Earnings are coming up on August 21st. We may choose to exit prior to the earnings announcement.
I am listing the November puts but you might want to use the August puts, which have more volume. Today the August $65 put was popular with over 2,000 contracts trading.
Trigger @ $64.75
- Suggested Positions -
Buy the Nov $62.50 PUT (ROST141122P62.5) current ask $2.30
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike
Entry on July -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 1.4 million
Listed on July 14, 2014