Friday is the biggest day of the year for the Russell Indexes. They "should" decline as stocks still in the index but being deleted at the close, are sold to make room for new additions.
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IWM - Russell 2000 ETF - ETF Profile
The Russell 2000 represents the 2,000 smallest stocks in the Russell 3,000, which is the largest 3,000 stocks in the market. They are routinely called the small cap stocks but the index contains a lot of midcap stocks as well. There is a smaller index called the Russell Microcap index for even smaller stocks.
On the Friday in June after quadruple witching expiration, Russell rebalances their indexes. Some stocks move up from the R2K to the Russell 1000 and some move down from the 1000 to the 2000. Other stocks are added like IPOs or stocks that have grown to the point where they qualify for insertion. Others that are in a downtrend, have seen their market cap shrink and they no longer qualify for inclusion.
Russell put out their updated list of additions and deletions last week. All the fund managers that index to the Russell indexes have to buy the additions and sell the deletions at the close on Friday. A lot will actually do it at the close but some have been making changes for the last several days. A lot will begin selling earlier in the day to avoid the rush.
Since selling a stock that is technically still in the index until the close will make index decline, the Russell 2000 "should" close at the low for the day. Buying additions to the indexes on Friday has no impact on the indexes since they are not technically index components until Monday. Since fund managers will be adding positions and adjusting most of next week, the index should rise.
In theory, the Russell should decline into the close on Friday. I am recommending a short-term call on the Russell IWM ETF. We only want to hold it a week or maybe two.
ENTER THE POSITION AT THE CLOSE
Buy July $141 call, currently $1.34, initial stop loss $137.50.
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