Editor's Note:

The U.S. market closed quadruple-witching Friday with gains and the S&P 500 at record highs.

AMP hit our entry trigger.

We want to exit our CVS trade on Monday morning.


Current Portfolio:


CALL Play Updates

Ameriprise Financial - AMP - close: 119.14 change: +1.34

Stop Loss: 114.40
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 8.3%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: Our new trade on AMP is now open. The plan was to buy calls if shares hit $118.80. AMP rallied at the open on Friday and closed up +1.13%. This is a new all-time high for the stock. I would still consider new positions now at current levels.

Earlier Comments: June 18, 2014:
AMP is in the financial sector. The company, and its subsidiaries, provides a range of financial products including advice and wealth management. The company had a record year in 2013 and it looks like the momentum has continued into 2014. The company' last earnings report was its Q1 results, reported on April 28th. Wall Street was expecting a profit of $1.88 per share on revenues of $2.84 billion. AMP delivered $2.04 with revenues rising +11% to $3 billion.

AMP's Q1 results were a +19% improvement from a year ago. Furthermore both revenues and margins are improving. AMP raised its dividend 12 percent to 58 cents (currently at a 2.0% yield) and announced a $2.5 billion stock buy back program.

Technically shares of AMP are in a long-term up trend and just recently broke out from a five-month consolidation. Traders have already jumped in to buy the dip at prior resistance near $115.00.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Sep $120 call (AMP140920c120) entry $3.60

06/20/14 triggered @ 118.80
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 20 at $118.80
Average Daily Volume = 823 thousand
Listed on June 18, 2014


Anadarko Petroleum - APC - close: 111.55 change: +1.33

Stop Loss: 99.90
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 76.0%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: The rally in energy stocks continued on Friday and APC has broken out past potential resistance at the $110.00 level. Investors may want to start raising their stop loss.

Earlier Comments: June 10, 2014:
APC is in the basic materials sector. The company is a very active oil and natural gas producer. They have assets in the Rocky Mountains, the Southern U.S., the Gulf of Mexico, and Alaska. Plus, APC is active internationally with assets in Algeria, Brazil, China, Colombia, Ghana, Liberia, Mozambique, New Zealand, Sierra Leone, and South Africa. Altogether APC has a strong onshore and off-shore portfolio.

The company's latest earnings report on May 5th was better than expected. Wall Street was expecting $1.14 per share. APC delivered $1.26. APC said they set record volumes in the quarter at 819,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day. Management went on to raise their full-year sales-volume. A week later they increased their dividend by 50% from 18 cents to 27 cents per share.

APC could end up a big liquefied natural gas (LNG) producer with their assets in Mozambique (Southeast Africa). Last year APC drilled two natural gas off-shore wells. This year they could drill up to eight new wells. The company recently upgraded their view on how much recoverable gas in their northern Mozambique assets to 50 trillion to 70 trillion cubic feet. APC is developing an LNG project and plan to deliver their first LNG cargo in 2018.

One of the biggest headlines for APC has been its settlement over the TROX litigation. This refers to a large lawsuit over the bankrupt Tronox company, which was spun-off from APC's Kerr-McGee division. Previously the estimated penalty range for this TROX lawsuit was in the $5.15 billion to $14.17 billion with many analysts estimating the final results would probably be around $10 billion. On April 3rd this year APC reported they would settle this for $5.15 billion, the very low end of the range and the stock exploded higher. Getting past this TROX liability has removed a very dark cloud for the company and the stock price.

It is worth noting that APC still has potential legal risk from the April 2010 Macondo well blow out. BP Plc was the operator and majority owner of the well but APC did own 25% of it. The U.S. judges are arguing that APC will be held responsible for its 25% of the penalties. The final numbers could be huge. The U.S. Clean Water Act allows the government to fine the companies $1,100 per barrel of oil spilled into the Gulf. Plus, they could add another $4,300 penalty per barrel for gross negligence. Right now BP is arguing with the courts over how much oil was spilled. The U.S. is claiming 4.2 million barrels of oil escaped into the Gulf of Mexico. BP estimates only 2.45 million barrels. APC management has suggested they may not be fined for any gross negligence penalties since they did not have any direct operational involvement. The penalty phase for this lawsuit is scheduled for January 2015. This issue is clearly not stopping the rally in shares of APC today.

Technically shares of APC have been consolidating sideways under resistance near $105 with a bullish trend of higher lows. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out.

- Suggested Positions -

Long NOV $110 call (APC141122C110) entry $4.80*

06/11/14 APC hit our trigger at $105.25
rumors this morning that XOM might buy APC.
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 11 at $105.25
Average Daily Volume = 2.8 million
Listed on June 10, 2014


Capital One Financial - COF - close: 83.43 change: +1.43

Stop Loss: 74.95
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +100.0%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: COF continues to show relative strength with a +1.74% surge on Friday. This is a bullish breakout past recent resistance near the $82.00 level.

Our call option has doubled in value and more conservative traders may want to take some money off the table and/or raise their stop loss.

Earlier Comments:
COF is in the financial sector. The company provides financial services and products in the United States, United Kingdom and Canada. They're probably best known for the Capital One credit cards.

The financial sector took a leadership role in today's widespread market rally. The group has been lagging the big cap indices the last few weeks. If financials resume their up trend it's going to be a rising tide that helps lift shares of COF to new highs.

Financials should also benefit from the big picture view that interest rates will rise. Some of the federal reserve governors have been hinting that the Fed may have to raise rates sooner than expected. If rates do start rising then investors could start buying financials ahead of this trend.

Credit card companies are also showing strength in their loan quality. COF said their charge off rates have been dropping (losses from unpaid loans).

Technically shares of COF have a long-term bullish trend of higher lows and it's about to breakout past resistance and hit new multi-year highs. The point & figure chart is already bullish and suggesting an $83 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Sep $80 call (COF140920C80) entry $2.30*

05/28/14 triggered @ 78.75
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on May 28 at $78.75
Average Daily Volume = 3.0 million
Listed on May 27, 2014


CVS Caremark Corp. - CVS - close: 76.79 change: -0.66

Stop Loss: 74.65
Target(s): to be determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -42.3%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: Drug store stocks underperformed on Friday. It looks like the bounce in CVS is struggling. Shares dropped -0.85% on Friday. More importantly Friday's move has created a bearish engulfing candlestick reversal pattern.

While the long-term trend for CVS is still up the short-term trend has turned more treacherous. We're suggesting an immediate exit on Monday morning. The current bid/ask spread is $0.60/0.65.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Aug $80 call (CVS140816C80) entry $1.04

06/21/14 prepare to exit on Monday morning, June 23rd.
05/22/14 triggered @ 77.25
option format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on May 22 at $77.25
Average Daily Volume = 5.1 million
Listed on May 21, 2014


Demandware, Inc. - DWRE - close: 68.28 change: +0.13

Stop Loss: 59.85
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 1.1%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: Traders bought the dip in DWRE on Friday morning and shares made it back into positive territory before the closing bell.

Earlier Comments: June 17, 2014:
DWRE provides cloud-based digital commerce solutions. They first introduced their platform in 2004. According to DWRE's website they "power more than 200 retail brands across more than 800 sites around the globe."

The stock was hammered lower this spring as investors sold everything that might be considered high-growth or a momentum-stock. DWRE corrected from $80 to $45 but shares have since rebounded.

Earnings have been strong. The company reported Q4 numbers in February that beat estimates and DWRE management raised their Q1 and 2014 guidance. DWRE reported their Q1 numbers on May 6th. Wall Street was expecting a loss of 9 cents per share on revenues of $29.0 million. DWRE delivered a loss of 7 cents. Revenues were up +57% to $32.2 million. DWRE's CEO said their momentum from 2013 carried over into 2014. The first quarter this year saw record subscription revenues.

Technically shares of DWRE have broken through resistance in the $60-65 zone and all of its major moving averages. The stock also has short interest that is about 8.5% of the small 31.8 million share float. New relative highs could spark more short covering. Currently the point & figure chart is bullish and suggesting a long-term target of $99.00.

I would consider a more aggressive, higher-risk trade. DWRE can be volatile and the options are not cheap. I'm suggesting small positions to limit our risk.

*small positions* - Suggested Positions -

Long Oct $70 call (DWRE141018c70) entry $6.92

06/18/14 triggered @ 66.75
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 18 at $66.75
Average Daily Volume = 705 thousand
Listed on June 14, 2014


Expedia Inc. - EXPE - close: 78.32 change: +0.44

Stop Loss: 71.45
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +22.8%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: EXPE saw some volatility this week after an upgrade on the 17th and a surge toward $80.00. The volatility vanished on Friday with EXPE trading inside an 80-cent range.

I am not suggesting new positions at the moment.

Earlier Comments: June 9, 2014:
EXPE is in the services sector. The company is in the super competitive online travel industry with rivals like Priceline.com (PCLN) and Orbitz Worldwide (OWW).

EXPE is developing a trend of beating analysts' estimates with strong profit and revenue growth. This past quarter EXPE reported revenues of $1.2 billion. That is the fifth quarter in a row that EXPE has delivered double-digit year over year revenue growth. The company has also seen surging growth in its bookings. Q3 2014 saw 15% bookings growth. Q4 2014 was +21%. Q1 2014 was +29%.

Analyst firm Cantor Fitzgerald recently offered bullish comments on EXPE and raised their price target. The company is having success with its Expedia Traveler Preference program. In Q3 2013 there were about 35,000 hotels in the program. By Q1 2014 that has grown to 51,000 hotels. As more hotels join it will boost EXPE's room nights metric and sales.

Billionaire hedge fund manager David Tepper's Appaloosa Management is also bullish on EXPE. The latest 13F filing showed that Appaloosa had initiated a new stake in EXPE in the first quarter of 2014.

Bears could argue that EXPE, PCLN and OWW could face competition from companies like Google and Facebook as they seek to boost their ad revenues to their large audiences. Reuters has reported that Google is experimenting with some programs with a few hotels. This threat is probably a few years away and could eventually make EXPE as potential takeover target.

Technically EXPE experienced a correction from $81 to $67 earlier this year. The stock found support in the $67 area and just recently EXPE has broken out past some key resistance.

At the moment shares of EXPE are flirting with a breakout past potential round-number resistance at the $75.00 mark. The Point & Figure chart is bullish and forecasting at $90.00 target. I do expect the $80.00 area to offer some overhead resistance. We will choose a target later as the play progresses.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Oct $80 call (EXPE141018C80) entry $4.15*

06/11/14 triggered @ 75.75
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 11 at $75.75
Average Daily Volume = 1.6 million
Listed on June 09, 2014


Hanesbrands Inc. - HBI - close: 88.20 change: +0.95

Stop Loss: 81.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +19.0%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: HBI continues to push higher and added +1.0% to close above the $88.00 level for the first time. Shares are still trading near a trend line of higher highs.

Earlier Comments:
HBI is in the consumer goods sector. The company designs and manufacturers apparel. You wouldn't normally think of basic apparel maker as a momentum stock but HBI has been outperforming. Shares just ended the week at a new all-time high.

The company has delivered on its earnings results. When HBI last reported in January and April this year the company beat Wall Street's estimates both times and raised their guidance both times.

Think about that. HBI is not a retailer but their products are sold through retailers. Most of retail got hammered in the first quarter due to lousy winter weather. Yet HBI managed to beat estimates and then raised its guidance.

Jim Cramer has pointed out what many analysts are saying on the company. HBI has strong brand names like Hanes, Champion, Playtex, and Bali. HBI owns most of their supply chain, which allows them to keep and improve their strong margins. Their first quarter saw margins increase 180 points. Most of Wall Street is bullish on HBI's recent acquisition of Maidenform. HBI believes they can generate significant margin improvement in the Maidenform brand by 2016.

The Point & Figure chart for HBI is bullish with a $92 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Oct $90 call (HBI141018C90) entry $2.94

06/04/14 triggered @ 85.25
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 04 at $85.25
Average Daily Volume = 690 thousand
Listed on May 31, 2014


PPG Industries - PPG - close: 204.57 change: +1.35

Stop Loss: 200.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: - 6.8%
Time Frame: 8 to 10 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: PPG struggled with short-term resistance near $204 and its 10-dma all week. Friday's move is bullish with a close above this level. Now shares need to get past short-term resistance near $206.00.

Earlier Comments:
Big cap industrial names have been leading the market higher. PPG is one of them. The company is in the basic materials sector. PPG manufacturers coatings, specialty materials, and glass products.

PPG has developed a strong trend of beating Wall Street's earnings estimates. They just did it again when they reported earnings on April 17th with EPS coming in 10 cents above estimates. Revenues were up +17% year over year to $3.64 billion. Earnings were up +33% from a year ago at $1.98 per share. The company is also seeing margin improvement.

Last month PPG's management announced a $2 billion stock buyback program and raised their dividend by +10% to $0.61 per share. PPG's CEO said that his company saw volumes improve in Europe for the first time in ten quarters. The tough winter in the U.S. did not hurt them. Thus far PPG has been able to pass along small price increases to offset rising commodity costs.

Technically the stock is in a long-term up trend. Shares have spent the last three months consolidating below the $200 level. Now the bullish pattern of higher lows is about to push PPG through major resistance near $200-201.

The Point & Figure chart is bullish and forecasting at $222.00 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Aug $210 call (PPG140816C210) entry $3.65*

06/19/14 new stop @ 200.75
05/30/14 triggered @ 202.00
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on May 30 at $202.00
Average Daily Volume = 552 thousand
Listed on May 29, 2014


Starbucks Corp. - SBUX - close: 76.60 change: -0.63

Stop Loss: 71.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 8.4%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: After Thursday's upgrade-inspired rally shares of SBUX hit a little profit taking on Friday. The company also made headlines by announcing they would raise coffee prices soon. A drought in Brazil, the world's biggest coffee producing country, has fueled a 53 percent jump in coffee prices this year.

SBUX says they will raise the price for certain drinks between 5 cents to 20 cents starting on June 24th. The price of a 12-ounce bag off Starbucks coffee will jump from $8.99 to $9.99.

Personally, I find this a bit surprising since three months ago the company sais they had no plans to raise prices. Just a week or two ago SBUX said they had almost all of its 2014 coffee expense already price and almost 45% of next year's coffee already priced. Could this be a case of SBUX using the drought in Brazil as an excuse to raise prices and bump their margins? If their customers don't care, then why not? A 10-cent price increase is not going to stop me from buying a grande ice coffee at my local Starbucks.

Earlier Comments: June 14, 2014:
The twin-tailed siren of Stabucks could be ready to sing for investors again. The company is named after the first mate in Herman Melville's Moby Dick. According to company literature their mission is "to inspire and nurture the human spirit - one person, one cup and one neighborhood at a time."

Notice it didn't say one cup of coffee at a time. Make no mistake. Coffee is big business. According to Business Insider coffee is worth about $100 billion globally and planet earth drinks about 500 billion cups of coffee every year. Quite a few of those cups are consumed at Starbucks' ubiquitous coffee chain, which now has over 10,000 company-run stores and over 9,500 licensed stores.

Believe it or not but tea is a bigger market. Tea producers churn out more than 4 billion kilograms of tea every year. Tea is the second-most consumed beverage behind water. Several months ago SBUX purchased the Teavana chain for $620 million. Now they're planning to update and expand the brand into 1,000 tea bars in the next five years.

SBUX recently said that food remains a big opportunity and currently food sales are only 22% of its U.S. business. SBUX purchased the French bakery chain "La Boulange" in 2012 and they've started distributing some of the bakery's products in more than 6,000 Starbucks stores. These should reach all of their coffee stores by the end of this year. They're also testing lunch items and testing alcohol sales in certain states. That means Malbec wines and bacon-wrapped dates could be available at a Starbucks store near you soon. The company said that adding food items has increased purchases and boosting ticket growth.

This past week SBUX said they're going to roll out wireless charging mats for smartphones in some of their stores soon.

Put it altogether and the company has big plans. Their latest earnings report in late April was mixed. Profits were in-line with estimates but revenues were a miss although same-store sales came in above expectations. SBUX management raised their Q4 guidance and 2014 guidance following its results.

- Suggested Positions -

Long OCT $80 call (SBUX141018c80) entry $1.66

06/17/14: triggered @ 75.65
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 17 at $75.65
Average Daily Volume = 3.5 million
Listed on June 14, 2014


U.S. Silica Holdings - SLCA - close: 52.21 change: -1.24

Stop Loss: 48.40
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: - 4.7%
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: Hmm... Friday's decline in SLCA (-2.3%) technically confirms Thursday's bearish reversal pattern. Yet at the same time traders bought the dip on Friday morning and SLCA's up trend remains intact.

I would hesitate to launch new positions. More conservative investors might want to adjust their stop loss.

Earlier Comments: June 14, 2014:
There is a new gold rush going on for sand! America's shale oil and gas boom has created another boom for sand producers. Energy companies use hydraulic fracking to mine oil and gas out of tight shale formations. This fracking technique blasts millions of gallons of water at high pressure into shale rock where the oil and gas is trapped. These wells can cost between $4 million and $12 million each. In order to maximize their returns drillers use proppants to help "prop" open these minute cracks in the shale rock to help the oil and gas escape to the surface.

The cheapest and one of the most effective proppants has been fine sand. SLCA has been providing sand for industrial use for over 100 years. The company currently has 297 million tons in reserve. Oil and gas industry demand for proppants is expected to rise +30% between 2013 and 2016. That might be underestimated. The energy industry consumed 56.3 billion pounds of sand for fracking in 2013. That's up 25% from 2011.

According to SLCA they saw a +45% increase in demand for their sand. SLCA's CEO reported that some hydraulic fracking wells have doubled their use of sand from 2,500 tons per well to 5,000 tons. There are some wells using up to 8,000 tons.

Demand has been so strong that SLCA is actually sold out of some grades of sand and they're raising prices (about +20%) on non-contracted silica. SLCA believes demand for their products will rise another 25% this year alone.

Wall Street has taken notice of the dynamics of the sand industry and shares of SLCA have soared from their February 2014 lows. It may not be a coincidence that the stock was added to the S&P 600 smallcap index in February this year.

We are not setting an exit target tonight but Point & Figure chart for SLCA is bullish with a $69 target.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Sep $55 call (SLCA140920C55) entry $3.15*

06/17/14 triggered @ 52.15
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on June 17 at $52.15
Average Daily Volume = 1.2 million
Listed on June 14, 2014


United Parcel Service - UPS - close: 102.50 change: +0.13

Stop Loss: 101.75
Target(s): to be determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 48.4%
Time Frame: 4 to 8 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
06/21/14: The bounce in UPS has stalled the last couple of days. Companies like UPS and FDX could be facing higher fuel prices as oil pushes higher. That might be weighing on investors' minds.

More conservative traders may want to go ahead and take profits now. We are going to raise the stop loss to $101.75 and hope the bounce continues next week.

Earlier Comments:
I am concerned that the $105 level could be resistance. More conservative traders may want to start taking profits now or closer to $105.00.

We're not setting an exit target yet but the Point & Figure chart for UPS is bullish with a $123 target (up from $114 a few weeks ago).

- Suggested Positions -

Long Jul $100 call (UPS140719C100)* entry $1.98

06/21/14 new stop loss @ 101.75
05/29/14 more conservative investors may want to start taking profits now or as UPS gets closer to potential resistance at the $105 level.
05/12/14 triggered @ 100.25
*I've provided the more standardized option symbol format.
symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:

Entry on May 12 at $100.25
Average Daily Volume = 2.9 million
Listed on May 10, 2014




PUT Play Updates

Currently we do not have any active put trades.