Editor's Note:

If you were not Apple (AAPL) you didn't get a lot of press today. That didn't seem to matter as the market retreated and the S&P 500 closed under 2,000 again.

EXPE and URI hit our stop loss. HLF hit our bearish entry trigger.


Current Portfolio:


CALL Play Updates

Amgen Inc. - AMGN - close: 137.39 change: -1.88

Stop Loss: 135.90
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Average Daily Volume = 3.0 million
Entry on September -- at $---.--
Listed on September 08, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below

Comments:
09/09/14: AMGN, like most of the market today, hit some profit taking. Shares retreated -1.3% and remain in what might be a new trading range of $136-140. We are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $140.25.

Earlier Comments: September 8, 2014:
Biotech stocks have been leading the market higher this year. The BTK biotech index is up +32.5% year to date. The IBB biotech ETF is up +19.1%. AMGN is up +20.8% versus the S&P 500's +8% gain in 2014.

The company describes itself as focusing "on areas of high unmet medical need and leverages its biologics manufacturing expertise to strive for solutions that improve health outcomes and dramatically improve people's lives. A biotechnology pioneer since 1980, Amgen has grown to be the world's largest independent biotechnology company, has reached millions of patients around the world and is developing a pipeline of medicines with breakaway potential."

They are one of the first major biotech firms to go public. Today the California-based company has grown to 20,000 employees with a presense in more than 75 countries. Annual revenues are set to hit $19.5 billion this year. The company invests near $4 billion in R&D every year. AMGN has is a combination of mature drugs and a new stable of treatments working through their pipeline.

The company recently received good news after the FDA granted priority review to AMGN's Ivabradine treatment for chronic heart failure. Wall Street is also eager for AMGN's new cholesterol drug, which could be its next multi-billion blockbuster. This new cholesterol drug, Evolocumab, is a PCSK9 inhibitor to lower LDL cholesterol for patients that can't use statin drugs. AMGN recently filed some key regulatory paperwork with the FDA as it races against rival Regeneron to be the first mover in this new field of cholesterol treatments.

Enthusiasm for AMGN's new pipeline should continue. In addition to Evolocumab and Ivabradine, AMGN should see progress on Kyprolis, Talimogene laherparepvec, Blinatumomab, Trebananib, Brodalumab, and AMG 416 in the next six months.

The company's last earnings report was better than expected. AMGN reported on July 29th. Wall Street was looking for earnings of $2.07 a share on revenues of $4.9 billion. The company reported $2.37 a share with revenues up +10.7% to $5.18 billion. Management also guided higher and raised estimates for 2014 earnings growth and revenue growth. Several analysts have raised their price targets and the point & figure chart is bullish and currently forecasting at $152 target.

Tonight we're suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $140.25.

Trigger @ $140.25

- Suggested Positions -

Buy the 2015 Jan $150 call (AMGN150117C150)

Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Concur Technologies - CNQR - close: 109.46 change: -0.30

Stop Loss: 104.90
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +78.2%
Average Daily Volume = 576 thousand
Entry on August 19 at $100.50
Listed on August 16, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: CNQR held up pretty well only losing 30 cents on the session. The stock appears to be coiling for a bullish breakout past short-term resistance near $110.

Earlier Comments: August 16, 2014:
CNQR is in the technology sector. The company provides travel and expensive management solutions. The company was founded back in 1993. Their focus is helping companies control travel costs. The business has been growing over 23,000 customers and over 25 million users.

The company press release describes Concur as "the leading provider of spend management solutions and services in the world, helping companies of all sizes transform the way they manage spend so they can focus on what matters most. Through Concur's open platform, the entire travel and expense ecosystem of customers, suppliers, and developers can access and extend Concur's T&E cloud. Concur's systems adapt to individual employee preferences and scale to meet the needs of companies from small to large."

There is no denying that it has been a rocky year for CNQR investors. The stock struggled with resistance near $130.00 for over a month earlier this year. When the momentum names corrected lower in March shares of CNQR were crushed. The stock produced a two-month retreat down to $75.00.

Meanwhile earnings continued to improve. When CNQR reported earnings on April 29th they beat estimates by six cents and guided higher for the second quarter. Their most recent earnings report was August 4th. Wall Street expected a profit of $0.16 on revenues of $175.1 million. CNQR delivered a profit of $0.25 with revenues rising +28.6% to $178.4 million. Management also raised their 2014 guidance.

Stocks analysts are starting to notice and a few of them have upgraded their price targets on CNQR into the $110-115 region. If shares of CNQR can breakout past resistance near $100 and its 200-dma then it might sprint towards $110. That's because the stock has a significant chunk of short interest.

The most recent data listed short interest at 12.2% of the relatively small 55.5 million share float. Since the $100 mark is significant resistance a breakout could definitely spark some short covering. The point & figure chart is already bullish and projecting at $108 target.

Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $100.50.

- Suggested Positions -

Long NOV $105 call (CNQR141122C105) entry $5.05*

09/03/14 new stop @ 104.90
08/27/14 CNQR is not moving. Investors may want to exit now. We are moving the stop loss up to $98.40
08/19/14 triggered @ 100.50
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


The Greenbrier Companies - GBX - close: 70.18 change: -1.89

Stop Loss: 69.40
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Oct$75c: -64.9% & Dec$80c: -44.8%
Average Daily Volume = 600 thousand
Entry on September 03 at $73.50
Listed on September 02, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: GBX underperformed the broader market with a -2.6% dip towards round-number support at the $70.00 mark. The intraday low was $69.70. Our stop is currently at $69.40 . If there is any follow through lower tomorrow we'll likely see GBX hit our stop.

Earlier Comments: September 2, 2014:
The shale-oil boom in the U.S. has had a number of impacts. Obviously one of them has been a surge in U.S. production. A side effect of all this production has been the use of railroads to transport a lot of this crude oil. The U.S. department of transportation has reported that back in 2008 the railroads averaged about 9,500 carloads of crude oil transport a year. Today that number is closer to 415,000 carloads a year and likely to grow, especially as the U.S. government stalls any decision on new pipeline construction (like the controversial XL Keystone pipeline). Lack of options have driven a big surge in demand for railcars that can transport oil.

According to the company's website, "Greenbrier, headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon, is a leading supplier of transportation equipment and services to the railroad industry. We build new railroad freight cars in our 4 manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and Mexico and marine barges at our U.S. manufacturing facility. Greenbrier also sells reconditioned wheel sets and provides wheel services at 9 locations throughout the U.S. We recondition, manufacture and sell railcar parts at 4 U.S. sites. Greenbrier is a 50/50 joint venture partner with Watco Companies, LLC in GBW Railcar Services, LLC which repairs and refurbishes freight cars at 38 locations across North America, including 14 tank car repair and maintenance facilities certified by the Association of American Railroads. Greenbrier builds new railroad freight cars and refurbishes freight cars for the European market through our operations in Poland. Greenbrier owns approximately 8,300 railcars, and performs management services for approximately 235,000 railcars."

GBX's railcar manufacturing business is obviously growing due to the demand to transport oil but don't overlook the reconditioning and refurbishing business. Just two months ago (July 2014) the U.S. DOT proposed new rules on transporting crude oil and flammable materials. That's significant because the oil from the Bakken shale is volatile and prone to combustion. These new standards would phase out the old DOT 111 tank cars. This would force railcar owners to either buy new cars or retrofit the old ones to meet the new standards.

GBX earnings are projected to grow double digits in 2014 and 2015. Their most recent earnings report was July 2nd. Wall Street expected a profit of $0.74 a share on revenues of $572.4 million. GBX beat those estimates with a profit of $1.03 a share on revenues of $593.3 million. That was more than double its $0.50 earnings in the second quarter. Gross margins surged from 11.5% to 16.3%, well above prior growth estimates.

GBX management said their railcar backlog grew from 15,200 units from February 2014 to a backlog of 26,400 units as of May 31st. The estimated value of this railcar backlog is $2.75 billion. Their marine barge backlog hit $110 million. GBX went on to raise their guidance for Q4 and 2014. Management also said they bought back 352,000 shares during the prior quarter and they're only halfway through their $50 million stock buyback program.

Now some traders feel that shares of GBX may have gotten ahead of themselves. That's one potential explanation behind the big short interest. The most recent data listed short interest at 22.4% of the small 22.3 million share float. Further gains in GBX could spark more short covering.

Today's high was $73.29. We're suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $73.50.

- Suggested Positions -

Long OCT $75 call (GBX141018C75) entry $2.85*

- or -

Long DEC $80 call (GBX141220C80) entry $2.99

09/03/14 triggered @ 73.50
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Hess Corp. - HES - close: 99.49 change: -0.26

Stop Loss: 98.40
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -35.8%
Average Daily Volume = 1.97 million
Entry on August 03 at $101.55
Listed on August 30, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: HES briefly traded to a new two-week low late this afternoon. Fortunately the stock managed a rebound and pared its losses for the session. I am not suggesting new positions at this time.

Earlier Comments: August 30, 2014:
HES started back in 1933 with one man and a used 615-gallon oil delivery truck. Today they have over 700 wells across a dozen different countries around the world, including the U.S., Norway, Iraq, China, and several in Africa. Hess bills itself as a leading global independent energy company that produces oil and natural gas with over 1.3 billion barrels of oil equivalent proven reserves.

The stock has been a decent performer with a strong rally from its 2012 lows. An improving earnings picture has helped. Back in April they reported significantly better than expected EPS growth and revenues for the first quarter. Their second quarter results came out July 30th. Wall Street was looking for a profit of $1.18 on revenues of $2.49 billion. HES delivered a profit of $1.38 with revenues of $2.85 billion.

HES has also announced plans to form an MLP thanks to pressure from activist investor Elliott Management. The company plans to spin off its distribution assets in the North Dakota Bakken shale area. Exploring for oil and gas can be a risky, capital-intensive business. Yet the distribution side is much more stable. MLPs, or master limited partnerships, are much more tax efficient and they pass almost all of their income directly to shareholders as dividends (similar to real estate investment trusts). HES joins a growing crowd of major oil companies forming MLPs like ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon (MRO), and Royal Dutch Shell (RDS). HES an initial public offering for its MLP in the first quarter of 2015.

Technically shares of HES have been consolidating gains near resistance at $100 for several weeks. You can see the big spike higher in late July as a knee-jerk reaction to its earnings news. Now after a month of churning sideways the consolidation is narrowing. Shares of HES look poised to breakout higher.

Friday's intraday high was $101.22. We're suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $101.55.

- Suggested Positions -

Long NOV $105 call (HES141122C105) entry $1.95*

09/03/14 triggered @ 101.55
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Lockheed Martin - LMT - close: 174.94 change: +0.17

Stop Loss: 169.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -7.2%
Average Daily Volume = 1.1 million
Entry on September 08 at $175.55
Listed on September 06, 2014
Time Frame: 10 to 14 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: Shares of LMT were in slow climb higher most of the day until rolling over late in the session. Traders may want to wait and see if this afternoon pullback continues tomorrow before considering new positions.

Earlier Comments: September 6, 2014:
A few years ago the word "sequestration" was a buzzword in politics and the defense industry. The defense cuts were supposed to be so bad that it would force the democrats and republicans to work together and prevent the Budget Control Act of 2011 from becoming law. Well we all know how that worked out. Politics won and the budget cuts were enacted. The U.S. is supposed to be cutting $500 billion in defense spending from 2012-2021.

Yet these drastic cuts have not slowed the defense stock's performances. The group had a banner year in 2013 with big stock market gains. They continue to show leadership in 2014. Shares of LMT are up +17.4% in 2014 versus a +8.6% gain for the S&P 500.

According to a company press release LMT describes itself as, "Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, Lockheed Martin is a global security and aerospace company that employs approximately 113,000 people worldwide and is principally engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and sustainment of advanced technology systems, products and services. The Corporation’s net sales for 2013 were $45.4 billion."

The company has continued to capture a number of big government contracts including a $915 million deal to build a "space fence" for the U.S. Air Force.

It is worth noting that LMT is the U.S. government biggest defense contractor and just over 80% of LMT's revenues come from the U.S. government. The company is being proactive in trying to broaden their customer base and hope to achieve 20% of sales from outside the U.S. At the moment LMT already has sales in 70 different countries. The plan seems to be working with 25% of the company's backlog coming from international orders.

Many believe that LMT's F-35 joint strike fighter program will be a key revenue driver in the future. The F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) is already the world's most expensive weapons system with a price tag near $400 billion. Earlier this year the JSF program suffered a setback after its engines, built by a subcontractor, caught fire. LMT believes they have solved the engine problem and the JSF program is getting closer to completion with over 19,500 hours of flight time. LMT already has 11 countries planning to purchase the new F-35 JSF planes.

LMT's earnings have been strong in spite of the sequestration. Back in April they report their Q1 results that beat estimates. Wall Street expected a profit of $2.53 a share on revenues of $10.89 billion. LMT beat the bottom line estimate with $2.87 per share but missed the revenue estimate at $10.65 billion for the quarter. However, management gave an optimistic outlook and raised their 2014 guidance on both net profits and revenues. When LMT reported earnings again in July they deliver a profit of $2.76 a share on revenues of $11.31 billion. That beat Wall Street's estimate of $2.66 and revenues of $11.15 billion. Management raised their EPS guidance again. The company has beaten analysts estimates four quarters in a row.

The company is shareholder friendly with a strong stock buyback program and a dividend yield of 3.2%. The point & figure chart is bullish and forecasting at $200 price target. Tonight we're suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $175.55.

- Suggested Positions -

Long DEC $180 call (LMT141220C180) entry $3.45*

09/08/14 triggered @ 175.55
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


LyondellBasell Industries - LYB - close: 113.03 change: -0.97

Stop Loss: 112.25
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +28.0%
Average Daily Volume = 2.5 million
Entry on August 15 at $110.50
Listed on August 04, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: Caution! LYB lost -0.85% today. More importantly the stock has broken down below short-term technical support at its simple 10-dma. It hasn't done that since July. If the market continues to sink tomorrow we will likely see LYB hit our stop at $112.25.

Earlier Comments: August 4, 2014:
One way to play the shale-gas boom in the U.S. is plastics. The bloom of natural gas production has been a huge blessing for LYB. According to the company's website, "We participate in the entire petrochemical value chain, from refining to specialized petrochemical product end uses. We are the largest producer of polypropylene and polypropylene compounds; a leading producer of propylene oxide, polyethylene, ethylene and propylene; a global leader in polyolefins technology; and a producer of refined products, including biofuels. Additionally, LyondellBasell is a leading provider of technology licenses and a supplier of catalysts for polyolefin production."

The recent spike in LYB's stock price was a reaction to better than expected earnings results. Wall Street was looking for LYB to deliver a profit of $1.93 a share on revenues of $11.5 billion. LYB surpassed expectations with a profit of $2.22 a share with revenues rising +9.1% to $12.12 billion.

The stock has been an earnings machine with rising earnings the last four years in a row. Analysts are now estimating LYB will see earnings rise 11% in 2014 and 16% in 2015. Jefferies recently raised their price target on LYB from $120 to $125 as they upgraded their EPS estimates on the company.

After a strong rally from $100 to $110 in mid July the stock was short-term overbought and due for a pullback. Traders jumped in to buy the dip near LYB's simple 10-dma last week. Now LYB is rebounding higher.

More aggressive traders may want to buy the bounce today. We are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $110.50 since the July high is $110.38.

FYI: For more background on the LYB story Forbes.com has a great article that you might find interest. You can read it here.

- Suggested Positions -

Long DEC $115 call (LYB141220C115) entry $2.50*

08/30/14 new stop @ 112.25
08/28/14 new stop @ 109.75
08/23/14 new stop at $108.75
08/15/14 triggered @ 110.50
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
08/14/14 adjust the stop loss to $107.40 (trade not open yet)
08/14/14 LYB almost hit our trigger but failed at $110.49
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Nike, Inc. - NKE - close: 81.84 change: -0.56

Stop Loss: 77.95
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +25.6%
Average Daily Volume = 2.8 million
Entry on September 05 at $80.50
Listed on September 04, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: NKE was not immune to the market's widespread pullback today. If this dip continues we can use a decline into the $80-81 zone as a new entry point.

Earlier Comments: September 4, 2014:
Nike made headlines earlier this week when there was a bit of a bidding war for NBA star Kevin Durant. Durant's endorsement contract with NKE was coming to an end and rival Under Armour (UA) was trying to steal Durant away from NKE with a $200 million deal. In the end NKE outbid its rival and offered the 25-year old Durant a $300 million deal over the next ten years. Some of suggested that it could be worth a total of $350 million over the next 20 years. While I personally find numbers like these outrageous it's pocket change for NKE, which is sitting on $5.14 billion in cash and brings in a net profit of $2.7 billion a year on revenues of almost $28 billion annually.

Meanwhile the winds of fashion seem to be blowing in NKE's favor. There's a new trend being called "athleisure" where activewear and fashion intersect. Last year apparel sales fell -1%. Yet sales of activewear rose +7%. The activewear market now accounts for 16% of the U.S. market and has grown to almost $34 billion.

NKE's most recent earnings report was better than expected. Wall Street was looking for a profit of $0.75 on revenues of $7.34 billion. The company beat estimates with $0.78 on revenues of $7.42 billion. Gross margins improved 170 basis points to 45.6 percent. Management reported that they spent $912 million on buying back 12.3 million shares of stock last quarter as part of their $8 billion stock buyback program.

Technically shares of NKE have been stuck under major resistance at the $80.00 level since December 2013. Investors have been slowing buying the dips and now the stock looks poised to breakout past resistance. The point & figure chart is bullish and currently forecasting at $98 target.

Tonight I'm suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $80.50. Shares of NKE do not move super fast so we'll use the 2015 January calls.

- Suggested Positions -

Long 2015 Jan $85 call (NKE150117C85) entry $1.95*

09/05/14 triggered @ 80.50
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


O'Reilly Automotive - ORLY - close: 156.45 change: -1.79

Stop Loss: 155.90
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -20.4%
Average Daily Volume = 626 thousand
Entry on September 02 at $157.50
Listed on August 25, 2014
Time Frame: 6 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: Today's action in ORLY looks bearish with a close below short-term technical support at its 10-dma. Any follow through lower tomorrow will hit our stop at $155.90.

Earlier Comments: August 25, 2014:
The U.S. economy is slowly improving. We are seeing slow but consistent job growth. Yet consumers remain cautious. While there has been a healthy trend of new car sales this year most consumers are keeping their old cars. Of the 247 million cars in the U.S. the average age is at a record high. Passenger cars have hit an average age of 11.4 years while light trucks are at 11.3. If consumers are keeping their cars this long that is going to mean more replacement parts and repairs. That has been good news for the auto part companies.

ORLY is one such company. According to their company website, "O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is one of the largest specialty retailers of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States, serving both professional service providers and do-it-yourself customers. Founded in 1957 by the O'Reilly family, the Company operated 4,257 stores in 42 states as of June 30, 2014."

One analysts on Wall Street called ORLY a "well-oiled machine." It's easy to see why. The company has delivered four years of consistent double-digit earnings growth. Steady same-store sales are impressive considering the tough retail environment we've seen over the last few years. The company's margins are expected to grow over the next 12-18 months. ORLY is on track to open 200 new stores in 2014. They have also boosted their stock buyback program. On August 13th ORLY announced an additional $500 million, which bumps their total stock repurchase program to $4.5 billion.

Technically shares have been consistently bouncing off their long-term trend of higher lows (on the weekly chart below). ORLY did spent the last few months consolidating sideways but it has started to breakout past resistance. This is our chance to hop on board. A rally past $158.00 could create a new point & figure chart buy signal.

Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $157.50. We're listing the October $160 call. You may want to consider a longer-dated option (like the Novembers or 2015 Januarys).

- Suggested Positions -

Long Oct $160 call (ORLY141018C160) entry $2.20*

09/06/14 new stop @ 155.90
09/02/14 triggered @ 157.50
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Spirit Airlines - SAVE - close: 71.88 change: -1.36

Stop Loss: 69.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -34.2%
Average Daily Volume = 544 thousand
Entry on September 08 at $73.75
Listed on September 06, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: Airline stocks underperformed the rest of the transportation stocks. SAVE was no exception and lost -1.85%. I am not suggesting new positions at this time. If the 20-dma doesn't hold then look for a dip to $70.00.

Earlier Comments: September 6, 2014:
Airline stocks have been some of the best performers in 2014. The XAL airline index is up +26.2% this year versus the +8.6% gain in the S&P 500. A significant drop in crude oil prices has played a big part and should help boost margins for the entire industry.

One stock leading the charge is SAVE. According to a company press release, "Spirit Airlines is committed to offering the lowest total price to the places we fly, on average much lower than other airlines. We operate more than 270 daily flights to over 55 destinations in the U.S., Latin America and the Caribbean." Last year SAVE's average fare was $133. That's 65% lower than the average domestic airline flight. That is just their basic ticket with no frills and they charge you for extras to boost their margins. The strategy seems to be working.

SAVE reported better than expected earnings back in April with revenues up +18.3% from a year ago, beating analysts' expectations. They did it again in July when SAVE reported their Q2 numbers. The company beat estimates on both the top and bottom line with revenues soaring +22.6% from a year ago. Management reported that their adjusted pre-tax margins improved from 17.8% to 21.3%.

The stock is in rally mode with SAVE closing near all-time highs on Friday. The Point & Figure chart is already bullish and forecasting an $82.00 target. Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $73.75.

- Suggested Positions -

Long OCT $75 call (SAVE141018C75) entry $2.13*

09/08/14 triggered @ 73.75
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike




PUT Play Updates

Chart Industries - GTLS - close: 64.74 change: -0.06

Stop Loss: 68.75
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 0.0%
Average Daily Volume = 617 thousand
Entry on August 29 at $65.60
Listed on August 28, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: The midday gains in GLTS reversed. The stock looks poised to hit new lows.

Keep an eye on the April low near $64.00, which might spark a short-term bounce.

Earlier Comments: August 28, 2014:
If you have seen the 1986 movie Top Gun then you know that Tom Cruise's character "Maverick" and his RIO "Goose" fly through the jet wash of another aircraft and their plane enters a flat spin that Maverick is unable to pull out of. Spoiler - their plane crashes.

Both the stock price and the earnings results for GTLS appear to be in a flat spin that they cannot pull out of. According to the company website, "Chart Industries, Inc. is a leading independent global manufacturer of standard and custom engineered products and systems for a wide variety of cryogenic and gas processing applications. Our equipment is used in the production, storage, distribution and end-use of atmospheric and industrial gases as well as natural gas itself."

A growing portion of their business is natural gas. "Major equipment designed and manufactured by Chart is used in the liquefaction, distribution and storage of LNG, plus we also supply LNG fueling stations and vehicle fueling systems." Considering the huge surge of natural gas demand you might think GTLS business would be booming. Yet the company seems to be struggling.

Shares of GTLS delivered an amazing rally in 2013. That is until late October. GTLS reported earnings in late October 2013 that missed profits estimates, missed the revenue estimate and management lowered guidance. When GTLS reported earnings in February 2014 they missed estimates, missed the revenue number and lowered guidance. In April 2014 they missed estimates, missed the revenue number and lowered guidance. Are you seeing a trend here? Their latest earnings report was July 31st, 2014 and guess what? GTLS missed the EPS estimate, missed the revenue estimate, and lowered guidance.

Technically the oversold bounce from its August lows has completely reversed. Today is worth noting since GTLS has broken down to a new closing low for 2014. This trend will likely continue.

Today's intraday low was $65.70. I am suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $65.60.

- Suggested Positions -

Long OCT $65 PUT (GTLS141018P65) entry $2.50*

08/29/14 triggered @ 65.60
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Herbalife Ltd. - HLF - close: 46.49 change: -2.28

Stop Loss: 50.55
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: + 9.2%
Average Daily Volume = 1.5 million
Entry on September 09 at $47.90
Listed on September 08, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: Our new trade on HLF is off to a strong start with a -4.6% decline. Shares gapped down at $48.51 and then plunged to new 2014 lows. Our suggested entry point was hit at $47.90.

Earlier Comments: September 8, 2014:
HLF calls itself a nutrition company. Most see it as a multi-level marketing firm. Its detractors would call HLF a pyramid scheme.

According to the company's website, "Herbalife is a global nutrition company that has been changing people’s lives with great products since 1980. Our nutrition, weight-management, energy and fitness and personal care products are available exclusively to and through dedicated Independent Herbalife Members in more than 90 countries. We are committed to addressing the global obesity epidemic by offering high-quality products, one-on-one coaching with an Herbalife Member and a community that inspires customers to live a healthy, active life. The company has over 7,400 employees worldwide, and its shares are traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: HLF) with net sales of $4.8 billion in 2013."

HLF's biggest opponent is influential hedge fund manager Bill Ackman. Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management has famously bet $1 billion that HLF is an illegal pyramid scheme and once the facts come to light the government will shut it down. Unfortunately for Bill this is a fight he has been waging since late 2012. It has definitely generated a roller coaster ride in HLF's stock price.

Back in July Ackman promised to deliver a death blow to HLF in an over hyped presentation. Unfortunately, Wall Street failed to see the smoking gun and shares of HLF surged about 25% in one day. Yet there hasn't been any follow through. In fact shares of HLF have reversed and are trading near their 2014 lows.

The latest earnings report did not help. HLF reported earnings in late July and missed both the top and bottom line estimates. Management lowered their 2014 guidance. The company seems to be having trouble retaining their independent salesmen. At the same time there is a growing scrutiny of MLMs overseas, especially in big markets like China and India.

The stock is hovering above support near $48.00. A breakdown would look very bearish for HLF. The Point & Figure chart is already bearish and forecasting a $28.00 target. A drop under $48.00 would generate a new triple-bottom breakdown sell signal on the P&F chart.

I do want to caution investors that this should be considered a more aggressive, higher-risk trade due to the high amount of short interest. The most recent data listed short interest at 44% of the 60.0 million share float. I suggest limiting your position size to reduce risk.

(small positions) Suggested Positions -

Long Oct $45 PUT (HLF141018P45) entry $2.37

09/09/14 triggered @ $47.90
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Las Vegas Sands - LVS - close: 62.85 change: +0.42

Stop Loss: 64.65
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +136.6%
Average Daily Volume = 4.6 million
Entry on August 27 at $67.40
Listed on August 26, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: LVS sprinted higher early this morning but then ran into trouble around $63.25 and spent the rest of the day drifting sideways.

I am not suggesting new positions at this time.

Earlier Comments: August 26, 2014:
The high-speed growth in the world's biggest gambling hub is slowing down. Investors are taking notice. It used to be that when the world wanted to gamble the came to Las Vegas. Today the biggest gambling center in the world is Macau, a city in southern China.

LVS describes itself as "the world's leading developer and operator of Integrated Resorts. Our collection of Integrated Resorts in Asia and the United States feature state-of-the-art convention and exhibition facilities, premium accommodations, world-class gaming and entertainment, destination retail and dining including celebrity chef restaurants, and many other amenities." LVS has properties in Vegas, Pennsylvania, Singapore, and Macau.

Macau has been the major focus for casino companies the last few years. The coastal strip of Macau is the only place in China where gambling is legal. Forbes described Macau as "Vegas on steroids." Macau overtook Vegas as the world's biggest gambling center back in 2006 with Chinese tourists accounting for nearly 66% of its traffic.

After years of booming growth in Macau the area is facing a few hurdles. One of them is rising wage costs. Current laws force casino operators to hire locals. This has driven unemployment in Macau down to 1.7%. Employees are unhappy. They make less than half that their counterparts in Vegas make. There has been a number of demonstrations as casino workers demand higher wages. There is currently the threat of a labor strike on August 28th this year.

Macau is also suffering from an economic slowdown in China. The country has been slowing grinding down for years. China is still expected to grow more than +7% this year but that's a multi-year low. Another issue has been China's crackdown on corruption this year. This new pressure from Beijing has thrown a wet blanket on VIP traffic to Macau. Yet another challenge for Macau is growing competition from foreign destinations. Other countries are starting to add gambling resorts, which could pressure traffic to Macau.

Analysts have been adjusting their earnings and revenues estimates lower for the casino stocks. That's not surprising given the recent reports of slowing revenue numbers. Macau's gambling regulators said gross gaming revenues dropped -3.7% in June and -3.6% in July. Morgan Stanley just slashed their 2014 Macau estimates from +12% to +6%.

Technically shares of LVS are bearish. The stock has broken significant support near $70.00. The oversold bounce is starting to roll over under resistance. The point & figure chart is bearish and forecasting at $56.00 target.

Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $67.40.

- Suggested Positions -

Long OCT $65 PUT (LVS141018P65) entry $1.50*

09/06/14 new stop @ 64.65
09/02/14 new stop @ 68.25
08/27/14 triggered @ 67.40
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike


Pentair Plc - PNR - close: 67.32 change: +0.40

Stop Loss: 68.65
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: +13.8%
Average Daily Volume = 2.0 million
Entry on August 26 at $68.90
Listed on August 23, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: PNR bucked the market's down trend today and managed a +0.59% gain. We can look for what should be short-term resistance near $68.00.

I am not suggesting new positions at this time.

Earlier Comments: August 23, 2014:
Pentair is considered part of the industrial goods sector. They manufacture industrial equipment across the globe. According to the company website, "Pentair is a global water, fluid, thermal management, and equipment protection partner with industry leading products, services, and solutions. Pentair reports the performance of its business within four reporting segments that focus on five primary verticals."

Long-term the stock has had a strong 2012 and 2013 performance. The rally appears to have peaked in 2014 when the market started pulling back in March this year. If you recall many of the momentum names and higher-growth stocks were hammered lower starting in March. PNR doesn't really qualify as a big momentum name or a high-growth name but shares have been unable to recover anyway. Shares have trended lower from the March peak, currently down -16% from its 2014 highs and down -10.6% year to date.

PNR's earnings results have not helped the stock's performance. Back in April they beat estimates but missed the revenue number and then guided lower for the second quarter. Their most recent earnings report was July 31st. Depending whose estimate you use PNR either reported in-line profits or managed to just beat by a penny. Revenues disappointed again. PNR missed the revenue estimate with a -2.7% decline from a year ago to $1.91 billion. Management lowered guidance again but they also announced they were exiting their struggling water transport business.

PNR collapsed on this late July earnings news and lowered guidance with a drop toward $64. Shares have spent three weeks with an oversold bounce that is just now starting to roll over under resistance. PNR appears to have resistance near $70-71 and its 50-dma and 300-dma (see daily chart below). The point & figure chart is bearish and currently forecasting at $61 target.

Tonight we are suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $68.90.

- Suggested Positions -

Long Nov $70 PUT (PNR141122P70) entry $3.60*

09/06/14 new stop @ 68.65
08/26/14 triggered @ 68.90
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike



CLOSED BULLISH PLAYS

Expedia Inc. - EXPE - close: 85.93 change: -1.83

Stop Loss: 86.45
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -22.7%
Average Daily Volume = 2.3 million
Entry on August 18 at $86.25
Listed on August 16, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: EXPE underperformed the market today with a -2.0% decline that broke down below its 10-dma and 20-dma. Our stop loss was hit at $86.45.

- Suggested Positions -

NOV $90 call (EXPE141122C90) entry $4.40 exit $3.40* (-22.7%)

09/09/14 stopped out
*option exit price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was closed.
09/06/14 new stop @ 86.45
08/30/14 new stop @ 84.90
08/23/14 new stop @ 83.95
08/18/14 triggered @ 86.25
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart:


United Rentals, Inc. - URI - close: 115.56 change: -2.74

Stop Loss: 115.65
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: -17.8%
Average Daily Volume = 1.0 million
Entry on August 19 at $115.25
Listed on August 18, 2014
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: see below

Comments:
09/09/14: URI broke down under its simple 10-dma and when it broke through this short-term support the stock accelerated lower. URI underperformed the market with a -2.3% decline. Our stop was hit at $115.65.

- Suggested Positions -

DEC $120 call (URI141220C120) entry $5.60* exit $4.60** (-17.8%)

09/09/14 stopped out
**option exit price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was closed.
09/04/14 new stop @ 115.65
08/30/14 new stop @ 114.25
08/28/14 new stop @ 113.25
08/19/14 triggered @ 115.25
*option entry price is an estimate since the option did not trade at the time our play was opened.
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike

chart: