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| Put Writing - A Simple Approach |
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Put writing (selling) is designed to complement a conservative
investing portfolio because it offers two different methods for generating
profits with relatively low risk.
1) Earning consistent (small) returns with portfolio collateral by selling
out-of-the- money options.
2) The sale of in-the-money puts to acquire stocks at a reduced price, which are
eventually sold for a gain.
The basic strategy involves selling a put against cash or other collateral held
in a brokerage account. According to the terms of a put contract, a put writer
is obligated to purchase an equivalent number of underlying shares at the sold
strike price if assigned an exercise notice on the written contract. The
purpose of the collateral is to assure that money is available to purchase the
underlying stock should the put be physically assigned to the investor's
account. However, if the share value is above the sold strike price at
expiration, the put will expire worthless and the option premium retained by
the seller constitutes a profit.
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| Selling "Premium" for Profit |
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Writing puts for monthly income generally involves selling
"out-of-the-money" options on a stock that the investor expects to finish above
the sold strike price. With careful selection of the underlying issue, most of
the sold puts will expire worthless, allowing the investor to receive a
favorable profit without ever having to buy the underlying stock. Of course,
there is still the mandatory margin requirement but this commitment of
collateral funds is almost always less costly than the outright purchase of an
equivalent number of shares. For example, the margin necessary for a long stock
purchase is typically 50%, whereas the initial collateral requirement for a
cash-secured put is often less than 25% of the value of the underlying issue.
This amount can vary due to prices changes in the underlying issue, but the
ratio for margin maintenance is similar. Additional information on these
requirements can be found here:
http://www.cboe.com/LearnCenter/pdf/MarginManual2000.pdf
Despite the high probability of success with this strategy, losses can (and do)
occur. The most common causes of a failed position are unexpected news or
events, which lead to a sharp decline in the price of the underlying stock.
Bearing this fact in mind, it is crucial for investors to sell puts only when
they would be happy owning shares of the underlying stock, because assignment
is possible at any time before the put expires.
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| Buying Stock at a Discount |
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An investor who is interested in buying a stock may also consider
selling a cash-secured put as a means of acquiring the issue. Usually, when a
person wants to buy a stock at a specific price, he will use some type of
"limit" order. The problem is, after the initial order is placed, the stock
will not be purchased until it trades at or below the limit price. Instead of
waiting for that movement to occur, he could simply write an in-the-money put.
A specific amount (based on the bid price of the option) of money will be paid
to his account for the obligation to buy the stock. If the stock price remains
below the strike price of the sold put at expiration, the option will be
assigned and the investor will be obligated to purchase the stock. The basis in
the stock is easily calculated -- it is simply the strike price of the option
minus the credit received in the initial transaction. More importantly, it is
necessary for the investor to decide whether this net cost (for each share) is
acceptable prior to initiating the trade.
The secret to success with this approach is balancing the probability of
assignment against the net cost of the stock. Obviously, an investor who wants
to own a particular issue can simply purchase it outright in the open market,
so there must be an particular advantage to the sale of a put before the
strategy becomes viable. This is where a lesser-known aspect of option pricing
can tip the scales in favor of a short put. Without going into extensive
detail, suffice it to say the greatest amount of time-value (or excess premium)
in the value of an option exists in the strike price(s) closest to current
value of the underlying stock. Therefore, investors who are interested in stock
ownership should focus on selling strike prices equal to, or slightly below,
the current price of the stock, where there is favorable profit potential and,
at the same time, a reasonable expectation of owning the issue. This technique
is commonly used by fund managers, as well as large corporations, because it
pays them for assuming the obligation to buy a particular stock that they
intend to eventually add to their portfolios.
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| The PPP Approach |
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Our approach with the PPP Portfolio involves the sale of
deep-out-of-the-money options, where the probability of a successful outcome is
very high. Generally, we try to achieve a 3-5% monthly profit (based on the
minimum collateral/margin requirements) with at least 10-15% downside
protection in the overall cost basis of the position. That can be a difficult
task when the market is in a bearish trend but there are always a few
candidates with favorable technical indications, regardless of the current
outlook. At the same time, if we don't have confidence in what we have to
offer, it won't be listed, and that is the overriding measure of any candidate
we include in the portfolio.
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| Strategy Specifics: Cash-Secured Put |
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The strategy of writing cash-secured puts consists of one
transaction; the sale of put options on a specific issue or index. The put
writer retains the money earned from the sale of the puts, regardless of how
much the stock increases or decreases in price. If the options are assigned,
the put writer is obligated to purchase an equivalent amount of underlying
shares at the sold (short) strike price. Of course, the funds received from the
sale of the put will partially offset the cost of buying the stock, and will
hopefully result in a net purchase price below the current market value. But,
if the share price of the underlying issue falls significantly, there will be a
loss (unrealized until the stock is sold) in the position. The only positive
aspect at that point is the ability to sell the shares at a higher price in the
future.
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| Risk/reward calculations: |
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Maximum profit = the initial credit received
Maximum risk = the sold (put) strike price - the initial credit received
Break-even point = the sold (put) strike price - the initial credit received
(Note: The final price of the stock determines the actual profit when that price
is below the sold put strike but above the break-even/cost-basis.)
Return On Investment = credit received / margin (collateral) requirement
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| Margin (collateral) formulas: |
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The margin requirement per contract is the greater of:
The credit received plus 40% of the underlying stock price, less the
out-of-the-money amount;
(0.40 * Stock Price + Credit - (Stock Price - Strike Price))
- or -
The credit received plus 20% of the underlying stock price;
(0.20 * Stock Price + Credit)
The second formula generally applies when the sold strike price is considerably
lower than the current stock price (deep-out-of-the-money), thus it is the more
common formula for the positions in the PPP Portfolio.
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| Strategy Advantages |
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Most option strategies take advantage of leverage by enabling a
trader to achieve large profits on relatively small moves in the underlying
issue. In return for leverage, option buyers sacrifice time -- their
predictions must be correct AND timely because an option's "premium" (or time
value) erodes each day it is in existence. The problem with this approach is it
provides very little margin for error and that is why few retail option buyers
make money on a consistent basis. In contrast, traders who sell "premium" have
time on their side. Each passing day has a positive effect on a short option
position. In addition, a cash-secured put is not dependent on directional
movement by the underlying issue to achieve profitability. The only requirement
is that the share value of the stock remain above a specific price for given
period.
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| Position Management |
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Similar to all option trading techniques, cash-secured puts need
to have some type of exit point in case the market, stock, and/or sector or
industry group moves in the opposite direction from that which is expected. In
fact, learning when to initiate a closing transaction is probably the most
important aspect of becoming a successful trader. Also, the success of a high
probability/low profit strategy such as writing cash-secured puts is keeping
losses at a minimum. There are never any big winners to offset the big losers,
so there simply can't be any big losers. Obviously, a gapping issue will
occasionally wipe out a portion of previous gains and there is nothing you can
do about it. At the same time, you must manage the remaining positions
effectively or there will be no profits to offset the (rare) catastrophic
losers.
A put writer has many different alternatives when the underlying issue moves
below the sold strike price before option expiration but in most cases, the
appropriate action should be taken prior to that event, when the issue
experiences a technical change in character such as "breaking-out" of a trading
range or closing below a moving average. Most methods for taking profits and
preventing losses, as well as making adjustments or rolling down and out to new
positions, fit into one of two categories: a pre-arranged target profit or loss
limit; or a technical exit based on the chart indications of the issue. The
first technique, using a mechanical or mental closing stop to terminate a play
or initiate a roll-out, is simple as long as you adhere to the initially
established limits. The alternative method, a technicals-based exit, is more
difficult. However, there are many different indicators available to establish
an acceptable exit point; moving averages, trend-lines, and previous
highs/lows, and with this type of loss-limiting system, you exit the play after
a violation of a pre-determined level. In any case, the closing trade or
adjustment should be based on the existing market, sector, and industry group
conditions, as well as the current outlook for the underlying issue and the
ratio of potential gain to additional risk.
One outstanding principle that new investors fail to adhere to is the need to
outline a basic exit strategy, before initiating any position, to eliminate
emotional decisions. This plan must be simple enough to implement while
monitoring a portfolio of plays in a volatile market. In addition, these
exit/adjustment rules should apply across a range of situations and be designed
to compensate for one's weaknesses and inadequacies. Also, to be effective in
the long term, they must be formulated to help maintain discipline on a general
basis and at the same time, offer a timely memory aid for difficult situations.
Using this type of system addresses a number of problems, but the most
significant obstacle it eliminates is the need for "judgment under fire." In
short, a sound exit strategy will help you avoid exposing your portfolio to
excessive losses and that's important because the science of successful trading
is far less dependent on making profits, but rather on avoiding undue outflows.
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| Specific Exit/Adjustment Strategies |
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Selling cash-secured puts is a popular strategy among
conservative investors and there are a few ways to limit potential losses or
even capitalize on a reversal (or transition) to a new trend in the underlying
issue. In the case of short puts, there are three common methods to exit or
cover a losing position. The first alternative is to simply buy back the sold
options at a debit and register the loss. Second, you can use a popular exit
technique among day-traders; covering (by shorting the stock) the sold options
as the stock moves through the short strike. This is a great method for
"bailing out" on an issue in which the trend or technical character has changed
significantly due to news or events, but you must be prepared to repurchase the
stock in the event of a recovery. Another strategy is to "roll-out" of the
position to longer-term options. This approach works best when the price of the
underlying issue is near the sold option strike, but has not endured a
significant change in (technical) character. To initiate this strategy, the
(short) puts are repurchased and new puts are sold with a lower strike and/or a
more-distant expiration, in the best possible combination that will achieve a
credit in the trade. The most optimum adjustment would use the same strikes in
the closest available month, so that you would be selling the highest relative
premium without committing to a long-term position. Obviously, this outcome is
not always possible, and I caution against using this technique on all but the
most high quality (blue-chip) issues, as you can quickly run out of downside
margin if the stock declines further.
One thought I would add concerning position adjustments (as opposed to position
exits) is that in almost every case, the decision you make about a specific
trade should be based on your analysis of the underlying issue and your
forecast for its future movement. That assessment is then factored into the
risk-reward outlook for the strategy and the specific position you are
considering. Of course, that's a very subjective task and the best advice I
have seen on the subject is: If conditions dictate that a new position in the
issue is viable, based on the fundamental/technical indications, the size of
the premium/credit, and your personal criteria regarding the profit/loss
outlook, then it should be considered as a candidate along with any other
potential plays currently being evaluated.
The great thing about option trading is that once you become experienced with
the various adjustment techniques, you can turn many losing plays into winning
ones with the effective use of stops and by rolling out-of/in-to new positions
when the stock moves against you. When you do lose, at least you have reduced
your losses by leveraging against another position. In all cases where an
attempt to recover a losing position is made, you must be prepared for further
draw-downs and have thorough knowledge of the strategy. Also, as with any
trading technique, it must be evaluated for portfolio suitability and reviewed
with regard to your personal approach and trading style.
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| Explanation of the Watch List: |
The "WATCH LIST" is nothing more than a
quick way to see where the current stock price is in relationship to the short
side of our trade.
It simply works like this: |
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If the strike is more than two strikes away from our SHORT side
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We Code It GREEN |
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If the stock remains in the normal trading range.
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We Code It WHITE |
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If the stock goes below the predetermined WATCH LIST Target ( if put spread )
or above ( if call spread).
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We code it in YELLOW. ( The yellow just means we should be
watching the issue. |
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If the issue goes into the MONEY against our "Short" position
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We code it RED and will act on the position by closing out the
position or by "rolling" the position up or down if warranted |
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| It is nothing more than a gauge to measure, quickly where we are
and which position we might have to WATCH and maybe even potentially acted
upon.
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| Additional Information |
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| The best books on the subject of "premium-selling" techniques
are the original bibles of option trading: "Option Volatility & Pricing:
Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques" by Sheldon Natenberg, and "Options
As A Strategic Investment" by Lawrence G. McMillan (both available in your
local library). |
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| FAQs |
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1) What is the experience level and capital requirement for
trading this portfolio?
Investors who participate in the PPP Portfolio should have a fundamental
knowledge of common option trading strategies and position adjustment
techniques. Traders who write uncovered options should also have a thorough
understanding of margin maintenance requirements and the potential obligations
that the sale of an uncovered option entails. More information on margin is
available here:
http://www.cboe.com/tradtool/marginmanual2000.pdf
In addition, all derivatives traders are required to read the Characteristics
and Risks of Standardized Options before opening a position. Here is a link to
that document:
CharacteristicsandRisksofStandardizedOptions.pdf
As far as capital requirements, the objectives of the PPP Portfolio can
generally be achieved with a $10,000 account balance. However, large unexpected
swings in the market (or a specific issue) can significantly increase the
margin maintenance requirement. When this occurs, it may be necessary to secure
additional funds to manage the portfolio efficiently. Traders who are not
certain they will be sufficiently capitalized should make the necessary
adjustments during position selection and when choosing the number of contracts
for a specific issue.
Selling "premium" can be a very aggressive strategy, especially when you have no
desire to own the underlying issue. A similar technique that provides
catastrophic downside protection, as well as consistent margin requirements, is
the put-credit spread. Investors who can not tolerate the maximum risk in a
cash-secured put should consider this strategy; it is often a viable
alternative for bullish issues with similar characteristics.
2) How often are new plays published and when is the portfolio updated?
New positions are listed on a weekly basis, generally on Sunday afternoon, as
long as market conditions are favorable. Additional candidates may be published
during the week (after the major exchanges close) to supplement the portfolio.
Updates on individual issues will be made, whenever possible, in a timely
manner. However, traders are encouraged to maintain stop-loss orders on all
positions to limit potential draw-downs from unexpected news or events.
3) How do you choose the positions in the PPP portfolio -- what is your primary
selection criteria?
In choosing the portfolio candidates, we generally look for positions that
provide a minimum potential profit of 3-4% per month (annualized) with downside
protection of at least 10%. Using deep-out-of-the-money puts, that allows us to
focus on positions with a very high probability of profit, sometimes as high as
90%, which corresponds roughly to the 2nd standard deviation of a normal
distribution. (For those of you who like statistics, the market almost always
remains within the 2nd standard deviation of a normal distribution). Obviously,
it would be great if every published position were in this category but since
that isn't possible, the best course of action is to choose trades that offer a
favorable balance between probability of profit and potential downside risk.
That's the real challenge in any form of trading and although we try to
identify only candidates that will help the portfolio achieve its specified
goals, not every play is a winner so the main objective is to limit losses and
close losing positions before they become costly, preserving your trading
capital for the next success.
4). What is the "target" entry price and why do you list that price for each
position?
Many of our subscribers are less experienced traders that need simple, easy to
understand strategies and one of the first skills new participants must learn
is to execute a favorable opening trade. A good technique for initiating an
option position is to place the order as a "limit" order. Thus, when a new
position is listed, we include a suggested "target" to help traders determine
the appropriate price for the order. This is simply a recommended entry point;
just an opinion of what a trader might expect to receive for the sale of the
option. It should be a reasonable price to initiate the play even with small
changes in the underlying stock. The "target" is often less than the quoted BID
price (try to avoid paying "market" price for option orders!) and occasionally,
you can add $0.05-$0.10 to the initial credit when opening a new option
position. Of course, the success of this approach varies, depending on the
price of the options, whether they are ITM or OTM, the time value remaining,
the volatility of the stock, etc. In addition, you may need to adjust this
target based on the activity of the underlying issue, the trading volume of its
options or the implied volatility of the series being traded.
5). How do we know when to exit a position?
Cash-secured puts, as well as all option trading techniques, need to have some
type of position closing mechanism in case the market, stock, and/or sector
moves in the opposite direction from that which is expected. Most methods for
taking profits and preventing losses, as well as making adjustments or rolling
up/down to new positions, fit into one of two categories: a pre-arranged target
profit or loss limit; or an exit trade based on the historic prices/technical
character of the underlying issue. The easiest system for directional,
option-based strategies involves a mechanical or mental stop to close the
position (or initiate a "roll-out" to a new play). Technical analysis; moving
averages, trend-lines, and previous highs/lows, is generally used to establish
the exit or "stop" point and with this type of loss-limiting system, you simply
close the spread after the underlying stock violates the pre-determined level.
If you choose to adjust or roll forward into a new position, always consider
the existing market, sector, and industry group conditions, as well as the
current (technical) outlook for the underlying issue and the ratio of potential
gain to additional risk. More information on position adjustment techniques is
available in the strategy tutorial here: http://www.optioninvestor.com/page/oin/cm/tutorial/
6). Do you provide portfolio data for "auto-trading" services?
No, not at this time. However there are plans to offer the service at a later
date. More on this subject will be published when it becomes available.
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