If you are looking for new bullish candidates then consider checking out EXPE, PKG, and ZBRA. They are on the top of my list as potential plays.
NEW DIRECTIONAL PUT PLAYS
Bally Technologies - BYI - close: 57.93 change: -1.07
Stop Loss: 60.35
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Time Frame: 8 to 12 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
BYI is in the services sector. The company designs, manufactures, and sells gaming equipment (gambling type games, slot machines, etc.). After an incredible run in 2013 shares of BYI have reversed sharply and is in a bear market with a -29.9% drop from its January 2014 highs.
Looking at the earnings news you would think BYI should be doing better. They raised guidance after their Q4 report and offered bullish guidance again when they reported earnings on May 1st. Their most recent results missed Wall Street estimates by two cents with a profit of $1.10 per share but revenues came in better than expected. Revenues were up +30% thanks to its acquisition of SHLF entertainment. In spite of this news investors were not happy with the results and have continued to sell BYI.
It would appear that the game-making business is facing industry-wide headwinds. BYI is considered one of the biggest and strongest in the industry but the big names are losing market share with new comers making an already competitive business even worse. Casino operates are delaying or cutting back on upgrading new machines. Expectations on how many slot machines Vegas is going to replace in 2014 has been downgraded.
A number of analyst firms have been downgrading their price targets on BYI over the last few months. News of a new CEO came as a shock. After less than a year and a half on the job BYI announced they were replacing their CEO with its former CEO effective May 23rd. This was a surprise. As one analyst put it, "You don't change CEOs when things are going well."
The May 20th low was $57.35. I am suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $57.25. BYI could find potential support near $52.00 and near $50.00.
FYI: The Point & Figure chart for BYI is bearish with a $50 target.
Trigger @ $57.25
- Suggested Positions -
Buy the Oct $55 PUT (BYI141018P55) current ask $3.10
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike
Entry on June -- at $---.--
Average Daily Volume = 697 thousand
Listed on June 02, 2014