NEW DIRECTIONAL PUT PLAYS
Autoliv, Inc. - ALV - close: 98.84 change: -1.25
Stop Loss: 101.55
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Average Daily Volume = 392 thousand
Entry on September -- at $---.--
Listed on September 15, 2014
Time Frame: 4 to 6 weeks
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
The auto part makers have been a bright spot in the market over the past year and a half or so. It looks like the group is starting to diverge. Stocks like DLPH, TRW, and LEA still look relatively strong. Yet BWA and ALV have broken down.
Who is ALV? According to their website, "For over 60 years, Autoliv has focused on one very important issue: saving lives. Our innovative products save 30,000 lives every year and prevent 10 times as many injuries.
We are first and foremost a safety technology company. In the world of automotive occupant safety, we were the first to introduce the two- and three-point seat belt system and airbags for front and side impacts. We were also the first to launch pyrotechnic belt pretensioners and pedestrian protection systems. We develop, manufacture and market airbags, seatbelts, steering wheels, passive safety electronics and active safety systems such as radar, night vision and camera vision systems. We also produce anti-whiplash systems, pedestrian protection systems and integrated child seats.
Autoliv Inc. is the result of a merger in 1997 of the Swedish company Autoliv AB, and the U.S. company Morton ASP."
Earnings momentum may have peaked. The company's most recent earnings report back in July was a miss. Wall Street expected a profit of $1.55 a share but ALV only delivered $1.45 with profits falling -2% from a year ago. Revenues did come in above expectations at $2.38 billion. Yet the sell-off on earnings may have started the current correction in ALV stock.
Technically shares look bearish. ALV produced a double top with the peaks in June and July. The bullish breakout past resistance near $104 in early September proved to be a bull trap. Now ALV is breaking support at its simple 200-dma and its long-term bullish trend (see weekly chart below).
Tonight we're suggesting a trigger to buy puts at $98.45.
Trigger @ $98.45
- Suggested Positions -
Buy the OCT $95 PUT (ALV141018P95) current ask $1.50
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike