NEW DIRECTIONAL CALL PLAYS
ULTA Salon - ULTA - close: 120.97 change: +3.25
Stop Loss: 116.90
Target(s): To Be Determined
Current Option Gain/Loss: Unopened
Average Daily Volume = 925 thousand
Entry on October -- at $---.--
Listed on October 28, 2014
Time Frame: Exit PRIOR to earnings on December 4th
New Positions: Yes, see below
Why We Like It:
ULTA is in the services sector. They're considered a specialty retailer. Founded in 1990 the company is headquartered in Chicago. According to the company website, "ULTA Beauty is the largest beauty retailer that provides one-stop shopping for prestige, mass and salon products and salon services in the United States. Ulta Beauty provides affordable indulgence to its customers by combining unmatched product breadth, value and convenience with the distinctive environment and experience of a specialty retailer. ULTA Beauty, through its stores and ulta.com, offers a unique combination of over 20,000 prestige and mass beauty products across the categories of cosmetics, fragrance, haircare, skincare, bath and body products and salon styling tools, as well as salon haircare products. ULTA Beauty also offers a full-service salon in all of its stores."
The stock had a rough time late last year when ULTA missed earnings estimates and guided lower back in December 2013. Shares collapsed from the $120 area toward the $90-95 zone. They missed and warned again in March. Yet it would appear that ULTA has worked out the kinks as the company's last two earnings reports have been strong. In June and in September ULTA reported quarterly results that were above Wall Street's estimates on both the top and bottom line. More importantly management guided higher for the next quarter both times.
Investors were really impressed with the latest quarterly report in September. You can see the huge gap higher in the stock price. Analysts were expecting a profit of $0.83 a share on revenues of $713.3 million. ULTA delivered $0.94 a share with revenues up +22.2% to $734.2 million. They also reported a very strong +9.6% same-store sales growth versus a tough +8.4% sale growth against the year ago period. Margins also saw improvement in the quarter.
ULTA management also laid out their long-term, five-year estimates. The company is forecasting annual comparable store sales growth in the 5% to 7% range. They expect EPS growth to be in the low 20% area. Their expansion plans include opening 100 stores a year.
Jim Cramer lists ULTA as one of his best picks in this industry.
Mary Dillon, ULTA's Chief Executive Office, said, "A significant improvement in traffic, successful new product and brand launches, and rapid e-commerce growth drove better than expected top line performance. As a result, the Ulta team delivered healthy operating margin expansion in the second quarter. We are raising our outlook for the year and now expect to achieve sales and earnings per share growth in the 20% range, reflecting our confidence in continued strong market share gains."
The company is definitely seeing growth in its online sales. Their second quarter saw e-commerce sales soar almost 55%. They plan to grow their e-commerce sales to 10% of total revenues.
Technically shares of ULTA dipped toward support during the market's September-October pullback. Now shares have rebounded back toward resistance in the $120 area. Today saw ULTA showing relative strength and a new 2014 closing high. We want to hop on board if ULTA can breakout past the $120-121 area. We are suggesting a trigger to buy calls at $121.75.
Trigger @ $121.75
- Suggested Positions -
Buy the DEC $125 call (ULTA141220C125) current ask $5.50
Option Format: symbol-year-month-day-call-strike