Strong auto sales in February showed that consumers are taking advantage of the low gasoline prices to upgrade their autos. However, only about 10% are even considering a new car. The rest are stuck driving their current car that averages more than 9 years old.
The cheaper fuel prices means consumers are driving more and those old car parts are wearing out at a faster pace.
NEW DIRECTIONAL CALL PLAYS
DLPH - Delphi Automotive - Company Description
Delphi manufacturers vehicles components and provides electrical and electronic, powertrain and safety technology solutions to the automotive and commercial vehicle markets worldwide. Whether you are buying a new car or repairing an old one the odds are very good you are using Delphi parts.
Vehicle sales in February were 17.54 million units on an annualized basis. As we move farther into spring and summer those numbers are going to rise sharply. Cheap gas means consumers are going to buy more new cars and upgrade their rides to the SUV category when possible.
Delphi reported earnings of $1.39 and beat consensus estimates for $1.37. Revenue of $3.88 billion rose +11% and also beat estimates for $3.79 billion. The company guided for full year earnings of $5.80-$6.10 and revenue of $16.6 to $17.0 billion.
Shares rallied after earnings and broke through resistance at $68 last week to close at $71.53. The next significant resistance is $77.25. Earnings are April 28th.
I am recommending we buy the May $75 calls at $2.40 so there will still be some earnings expectation premium in them when we exit before earnings. April options expire on the 15th so premiums will deflate significantly before we ever get to the earnings event. I am recommending an entry point at $72.50 and just over Friday's high. If the market does take profits early in the week we can lower the strike price and entry target depending on what happens to Delphi shares.
With a DLPH trade at $72.50
Buy May $75 call, currently $2.40, initial stop loss $65.85.
NEW DIRECTIONAL PUT PLAYS
No New Bearish Plays