What happens when the business you have been running profitably for decades is eliminated by change? H&R Block's days are numbered. They will probably be around for years to come but their business is slowing. Fewer people are turning to HRB for help with their taxes.
NEW DIRECTIONAL CALL PLAYS
No New Bullish Plays
NEW DIRECTIONAL PUT PLAYS
HRB - H&R Block - Company Description
H&R Block has been doing taxes since 1946. They provide tax preparation, banking and other services to the general public through a system of retail offices.
Unfortunately for HRB the times are changing. The general public is moving to do-it-yourself tax preparation software like Turbo-Tax from Intuit (INTU). That is not the biggest problem. On Wednesday Senator Elizabeth Warren introduced the "Tax Filing Simplification Act of 2016" and Bernie Sanders is a co-sponsor.
Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and John Kasich have all said they would drastically change the tax code and Ted Cruz wants to simplify it enough so that all your taxes can be submitted on a post card sized form. If a republican wins the election the tax preparation business is going to suffer. However, if Hillary wins she has proposed 18 new taxes to raise $1 trillion in new revenue. That will further complicate the preparation situation.
Obamacare has also made tax preparation harder and more complicated. Taxpayers have been forced to use accountants to prepare their forms because of the complications. HRB could do it but the perception is that you need somebody other than a part time tax preparer to give you the right advice.
In the last quarter HRB posted a loss of 34 cents that was larger than the analyst estimates for 26 cents. It was also larger than the 13 cent loss in the year ago quarter.
Revenue declined -6.7% because of lower volumes of clients. Revenue of $474.5 million missed estimates for $505 million. Tax preperation fees declined -4.2%. Operating expenses rose +1.7%. Long-term debt rose from $500 million to $2.6 billion. Cash burn rose from $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion.
Earnings are June 8th.
I am recommending a July option so there will still be some earnings expectation premium left when we exit before earnings.
Buy July $23 put, currently $1.30, no initial stop loss.